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SKIVT-L  March 2017, Week 5

SKIVT-L March 2017, Week 5

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 31 Mar 2017 06:50:04 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (237 lines)

Expires:201703312000;;351056
FPUS51 KBTV 310723
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
320 AM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017


VTZ006-312000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
320 AM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Cloudy with a chance of snow. Rain likely this afternoon.
Snow accumulation a dusting to 1 inch. Highs in the upper 30s. Light
and variable winds. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Snow or rain likely until midnight...then snow after
midnight. Snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Lows around 30. Light
and variable winds. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Snow. Rain in the afternoon. Additional snow
accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Highs in the upper 30s. Light and
variable winds. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Snow showers likely. Additional light snow
accumulation possible. Lows in the upper 20s. North winds around
10 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 30. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs around 40. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of snow showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. Chance of snow 40 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 

$$


Expires:201703311100;;359032
ASUS41 KBTV 311030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI MAR 31 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-311100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    33  24  69 CALM      30.11S                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    29  23  78 CALM      30.16R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    28  23  81 CALM      30.15R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     30  24  78 MISG      30.13R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      29  22  75 CALM      30.14R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    32  25  74 S3        30.10F                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    37  20  50 S10G16    30.10R WCI  30          
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    34  24  67 CALM      30.14R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      31  23  71 E3        30.12S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      28  22  76 CALM      30.14S                  
BENNINGTON     FLURRIES  34  30  85 N3        30.07F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     23 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     30 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     21 N/A N/A SE21        N/A  WCI   6          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     32  32 100 S1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     34  30  86 N2          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     34  28  80 NE5         N/A  WCI  30          

$$


Expires:No;;354504
FXUS61 KBTV 310837
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
437 AM EDT Fri Mar 31 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Widespread snow and mixed precipitation will advance into the region 
today and tonight before tapering off on Saturday. A significant wet 
snowfall is expected across higher terrain, especially in 
central and southern counties. Quiet weather returns by Sunday into 
Monday before additional chances of rain and snow arrive by the 
middle of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 430 AM EDT Friday...The forecast generally remains on 
track for today into Saturday with widespread snow and mixed 
precipitation moving into the region as low pressure tracks east
into the mid Atlantic region. Latest progs suggest a slightly 
slower arrival time of precipitation into the northeastern half 
of the forecast area today with some areas remaining dry until 
early afternoon. All current warnings and advisories remain in 
place however. Accumulations were tapered back slightly across 
our southern and western counties as latest consensus model 
output now suggests the northeastern edge of mid-level warming 
will advance into these areas with a mix with or change to sleet
this evening and tonight. This remains a difficult snow 
accumulation forecast given 1) the potential mix with sleet and 
2) boundary layer warming where precipitation may mix with or 
change to rain for awhile this afternoon/early evening in lower 
elevations. Regardless, difficult to locally hazardous travel is
expected in the warning/advisory areas tonight into Saturday 
morning. By Saturday the surface low will exit offshore into the
New York Bight and gradually lose influence as precipitation 
trends more scattered and showery by afternoon. Please see our 
winter weather page at www.weather.gov/btv/winter for specific 
accumulation forecasts and probabilities. High temperatures 
today and on Saturday should range through the 30s to near 40 in
mildest locales. Lows tonight mainly in the upper 20s to lower 
30s. Winds light.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 430 AM EDT Friday...By Saturday night scattered snow 
shower activity continues to wane across the area, though may 
tend to linger in the northern mountains with parent upper 
trough swinging into the region. Additional minor accumulations 
will be possible in these areas accordingly as lows bottom out 
in the mid 20s to around 30. Dry weather then returns by Sunday 
as large scale ridging builds east. Partly sunny skies are 
expected in most areas as high temperatures top out in the lower
to mid 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 430 AM EDT Friday...Sunday night through Friday...Sunday 
night and Monday will be dry with surface high pressure ridging 
over the north country. Precipitation will spread from Southwest
to Northeast across our forecast area Monday night and continue
through Tuesday before ending Tuesday night. GFS keeps low 
pressure system to our Northwest and ECMWF keeps low pressure 
system tracking to our Southeast. Either way, looks like some 
rain for our area. Track of low will likely impact temperatures 
which in turn impacts precipitation type. At this point looks 
like some snow showers at night, then rain showers during the 
day. Could see another highly elevation dependent snow fall with
significant accumulation possible above 2000 feet. From 
Wednesday onward the forecast has a lot more uncertainty with 
models not showing much agreement. Both GFS and ECMWF do show 
another system to possibly impact the North Country towards the 
end of the week. We will have maximum temperatures generally in 
the 40s with minimum temperatures in the 30s through the period.


&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 06Z Saturday...VFR continues through 12z at all TAF 
sites. Precipitation moves across the North Country southwest 
to northeast between after 12z bringing cigs and vsbys to 
MVFR...further deteriorating mid to late morning to MVFR/IFR as 
wintry mix of mostly rain-snow and some sleet affects the area. 
Generally expect precip to change to rain during the midday, 
before colder air in the boundary layer begins a mix of rain and
snow as diurnal heating wanes and nocturnal cooling increases.

Light winds tonight will be shifting out of the south to 
southeast during the mid morning hours. KMSS will remain out of 
the NE with gusts to 25kts developing in the late morning.

Temperatures warm into the mid 30s to low 40s Friday, allowing 
for melting on paved surfaces with rain in the afternoon before 
changing to snow in the late afternoon/evening. Through 00Z 
Saturday expect snow/sleet accumulations of a dusting to about a
quarter in at KMSS/KPBG/KBTV. Generally 1-2 inches possible 
through 00Z Saturday at KRUT/KSLK/KMPV.

Outlook 06Z Saturday through Tuesday... 

06Z Saturday - 12Z Saturday...MVFR to LIFR in snow and wintry 
mix. 
12Z Saturday - 12Z Sunday...IFR improving to MVFR/VFR as snow
tapers off. 
12Z Sunday - 00Z Tuesday...VFR as lingering terrain showers
diminish.
00Z Tuesday onward...VFR/MVFR in rain/snow showers.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EDT Saturday for VTZ003-004-
     006-011-016>018.
     Winter Storm Warning until 2 PM EDT Saturday for VTZ007-008-
     010-012-019.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT 
     Saturday for VTZ001-002-005-009.
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EDT Saturday for NYZ029>031-
     035.
     Winter Storm Warning until 2 PM EDT Saturday for NYZ034.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 2 PM EDT 
     Saturday for NYZ028.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...KGM/Neiles

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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