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SKIVT-L  May 2017, Week 1

SKIVT-L May 2017, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 3 May 2017 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (211 lines)

Expires:201705032000;;034339
FPUS51 KBTV 030732
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
329 AM EDT Wed May 3 2017


VTZ006-032000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
329 AM EDT Wed May 3 2017

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the upper
40s. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain
50 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Isolated rain showers until midnight. Lows
in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph, diminishing to around 10 mph after midnight. Chance of rain
20 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Light and variable
winds. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. Light and variable winds. 
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs around 50. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of rain
80 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Chance
of rain 70 percent. 
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers. Highs in
the upper 40s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 30s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs around 50. 

$$


Expires:201705031100;;042183
ASUS41 KBTV 031030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED MAY 03 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-031100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    47  40  76 SW3       29.67R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    44  40  85 W10       29.69R                  
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  43  39  86 VRB5      29.67R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     45  41  86 MISG      29.64R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   MOCLDY    43  39  86 SW3       29.66R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    46  41  81 S5        29.70R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    47  39  74 SW8       29.71R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    49  36  61 CALM      29.71R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    46  39  78 W3        29.67R                  
NEWPORT*       LGT RAIN  42  39  89 W10       29.65R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    49  38  65 VRB5G16   29.75R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     41 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     34 N/A N/A W35         N/A  WCI  19          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     46  39  76 W7          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     48  41  76 SW12        N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     48  41  76 SW14        N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;036697
FXUS61 KBTV 030819
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
419 AM EDT Wed May 3 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Clouds with upslope showers are expected to prevail this morning
with some clearing skies by mid afternoon. Temperatures will be
below normal with breezy west to northwest winds. High pressure
will build into the region tonight with clear skies and light
winds...allow for the formation of areas of frost. Thursday will
be dry with increasing clouds...before widespread rain arrives
on Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 351 AM EDT Wednesday...Mid/upper level trof conts across
the ne conus today with several embedded short waves. 1st piece
of energy is crossing our northern cwa attm...with additional
spokes of 5h vorticity moving from west to east across our
central/northern cwa between 12z-18z. This energy...combined
with favorable 925mb to 850mb upslope flow of 35 to 45 knots
will help in terrain driven showers. Have continued to mention
likely to cat pops from the dacks into the northern Greens this
morning...with schc/chc wording in the valleys. Progged 850mb
temps <0c support snow near the summits, especially with
whiteface down to 30f...some light accumulation is possible.
A chilly day is anticipated with highs only in the upper
30s/lower 40s mountains to mid 50s warmer valleys. Soundings
continue to support good mixing of winds to the surface with
gusts up to 25 to 30 knots, especially SLV/northern Dacks.

Tonight...sounding show moisture quickly dissipates as surface
high pres builds into our cwa. This will relax the gradient 
with clearing skies. Setting up the potential for areas of frost
in the cpv...where the growing season has started as of May 
1st. Dayshift will have to examine the potential for frost 
advisory. Expecting lows mainly in the mid 20s to mid 30s. Still
some uncertainty on how quickly winds decouple and latest 
thermal profiles show 925mb to 850mb temps warming by 06z 
tonight...making for a challenging forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 418 AM EDT Wednesday...Upper level ridging moves over the
region into Thursday leading to quiet and dry day to start the
short term. This will change quickly as the ridge give way to an
large low pressure system bringing increased clouds Thursday
evening before bringing widespread precipitation on Friday.
Temperatures for Thursday see highs in the upper 50's to low 60s
and overnight lows 40's to upper 30's. Friday will see a bit
cooler conditions with highs in the lower 50's and some areas
not making out of the 40's.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 418 AM EDT Wednesday...No real change at all to the long 
term period discussion that we seen for the last few days. 
Deepening upper low slowly moves into western portion of our CWA
by Saturday evening. The low closes off over the Northeast US 
by the end of the weekend and remains over the area well past 
then end of the long term period. Expect quite a bit of clouds 
and precipitation off and on throughout the period and beyond. 
If you've ever wondered what it's like weather wise in the 
Seattle area, it looks like you might get your chance to find 
out next week. The clouds and precipitation will limit 
temperatures from falling significantly and thus looking at 
temperatures generally at or slightly below seasonal normals. 

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 00Z Thursday...A mix of mvfr/vfr cigs expected through
this morning with ifr cigs anticipated at slk between 07z-15z.
Current obs show cigs at 1200 feet and given btv 4km and nam 3km
trends showing lowering moisture profiles...thinking ifr cigs
will develop at slk with prevailing upslope southwest winds at
10 to 15 knots. Meanwhile...mainly mvfr cigs at rut/mss thru
12z...before drier air and vfr conditions develop. Look for
breeze southwest winds at 10 to 20 knots with some higher
gusts...especially mss/slk between 14z-22z today. Vfr will
prevail at all sites from 18z thru 06z Thursday.

Outlook...

Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. Chance RA.
Friday: VFR/MVFR...except IFR CIGS likely at MSS/MPV Breezy. 
Definite RA. 
Friday Night:MVFR with IFR MPV/MSS. Likely SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. Chance SHRA. 
Saturday Night: MVFR. Likely SHRA. 
Sunday: VFR/MVFR. Chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...MV
LONG TERM...MV
AVIATION...Taber

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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