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SKIVT-L  June 2017, Week 1

SKIVT-L June 2017, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 4 Jun 2017 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (220 lines)

Expires:201706042000;;693996
FPUS51 KBTV 040759
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
356 AM EDT Sun Jun 4 2017


VTZ006-042000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
356 AM EDT Sun Jun 4 2017

.TODAY...Partly sunny. Patchy fog this morning. A chance of showers
this afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. Light and variable winds.
Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 50. Light and variable winds, becoming southeast around
10 mph after midnight. 
.MONDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds
around 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. 

$$


Expires:201706041100;;701008
ASUS41 KBTV 041030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUN 04 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-041100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    51  49  92 CALM      29.97R                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       43  43 100 CALM      30.01R VSB 3/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       43  43 100 CALM      29.98S VSB<1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     45  45 100 MISG      29.96S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       44  44  99 SW3       29.99R VSB<1/4          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      46  45  98 CALM      29.99R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    47  45  93 E6        30.00S                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    44  42  93 CALM      29.99S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      48  48 100 CALM      29.96R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    44  44 100 CALM      29.97R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    43  41  93 CALM      30.01R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     41 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     43 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     43 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     43 N/A N/A W22         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     54  50  87 SW8         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     54  52  94 S12         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     52  50  93 S3          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;693593
FXUS61 KBTV 040748
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
348 AM EDT Sun Jun 4 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A dry start to the day is expected for the entire North Country
with just some clouds and areas of fog this morning. Clouds will
be increasing this afternoon along with the chances for
precipitation...especially across northern New York. Some
showers will linger over the area Sunday night and Monday
morning...but as a low pressure system moves toward the region
Monday night and Tuesday rain showers should become fairly
widespread. Below normal temperatures are expected right through
early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 348 AM EDT Sunday...Trends in the data continue to 
support a less ominous threat of precipitation for today. Flow 
aloft wants to stay more northwest today and not begin backing 
to the west this afternoon. Convective complex over the eastern 
Great Lakes early this morning continues to weaken and with 
northwest flow any leftover precipitation from this system 
should stay to our south. Other than some early morning 
fog...expecting only mid and high level moisture to increase 
across the area this morning. Still looking for some showers to 
develop over northern New York later this morning with the 
backing westerly flow and some instability forming to our west. 
This activity should then spread into Vermont...mainly in the 
mid/late afternoon hours. Highs today will generally be in the 
60s.

Tonight and Monday...once again trends in the day suggest threat
of precipitation will exist...but will not be as widespread as
previously thought. This is in response to slower timing of the
upper trough closing off into an upper low. As a result...we
will see some showers Sunday night and Monday morning...but they
will not be widespread. Its really not until Monday afternoon
that the upper low gets close enough to increase dynamic support
for a greater likelihood of showers...and possibly a few storms
over northern New York. Easterly component to the low level flow
on Monday suggests highs only in the upper 50s to lower 60s east
of the Green Mountains and in the 60s over the remainder of the
area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 348 AM EDT Sunday...Very little change from previous 
forecaster thinking for the early part of next week as we remain
locked into the current wet pattern. As upper level low 
pressure drops from southern Ontario into the eastern Great 
Lakes Monday night, surface low pressure develops off the 
Delmarva Peninsula tracking northeast to the benchmark by 12Z 
Tuesday. Increasing southeasterly surface flow will advect rich 
Atlantic moisture into the region while increasing southwesterly
flow and shortwave energy ejecting from the upper low will 
provide the lift necessary for showers to become fairly 
widespread through the night and into Tuesday. As the surface 
low tracks farther northeast off the coast Tuesday, surface 
winds trend northeasterly favoring some drying across 
northeastern portions of the area while across northern New York
showers will likely continue through much of the day. Temps 
over the 24 hour period remain below normal with lows in the 
40s/50s and highs in the mid 50s to around 60.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 348 AM EDT Sunday...Overall trend for Tuesday night 
through Thursday night continues to be towards drier conditions 
as the aforementioned upper low remains nearly stationary over 
western NY/PA. Deep layer moisture generally weakens through the
period, especially at the surface where some weak ridging looks
to develop, but in all honesty I really can't rule out showers 
either day in such close proximity to upper level cyclonic 
circulation. As the surface flow backs to the south/southwest 
temps look to return to more seasonal normals with highs in the 
upper 60s to low 70s and lows in the mid 40s to low 50s. Friday 
and Saturday both feature chances for afternoon showers and 
potential thunderstorms as a series of weak shortwaves track 
through the northeast, and upper level low pressure finally 
kicks east off the eastern seaboard.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Overall looking at VFR conditions through
the period. The only exception to this will be at KMPV where
clear skies...light winds...and lingering low level moisture
will allow for low clouds and fog to develop with VLIFR
conditions expected between 08z and 14z. The threat for showers
will be increasing after 18z and continue through the remainder
of the period. However...visibilities should remain in the VFR
category. Winds will generally be less than 10 knots through the
period.

Outlook...

Monday: MVFR. Breezy. Likely SHRA. 
Monday Night: MVFR. Likely SHRA. 
Tuesday: VFR. Likely SHRA. 
Tuesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA. 
Wednesday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. 
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. 
Thursday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...Evenson

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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