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SKIVT-L  June 2017, Week 2

SKIVT-L June 2017, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 8 Jun 2017 06:50:04 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (216 lines)

Expires:201706082000;;896375
FPUS51 KBTV 080727
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
323 AM EDT Thu Jun 8 2017


VTZ006-082000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
323 AM EDT Thu Jun 8 2017

.TODAY...Patchy dense fog this morning. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 80s. Light and variable winds. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy until midnight, then mostly cloudy with a
slight chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the mid 50s. Light
and variable winds. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 10 to
15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Light and variable
winds. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 

$$


Expires:201706081100;;904107
ASUS41 KBTV 081030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU JUN 08 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-081100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     52  49  89 E3        30.02R                  
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    46  46 100 CALM      30.08R FOG              
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    44  44 100 CALM      30.05R FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     47  47 100 MISG      30.03R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      47  46  97 CALM      30.05S FOG              
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      47  47  99 CALM      30.03R                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     48  45  89 SE12      30.05R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       46  45  96 CALM      30.05R VSB<1/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      56  50  81 S5        29.99R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      49  47  93 SW6       30.02R                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     45  44  97 CALM      30.04R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     48 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     41 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     43 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     45 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     54 N/A N/A W20         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     59  52  77 S10         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     57  54  88 S15         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     54  52  94 S5          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;897100
FXUS61 KBTV 080747
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
347 AM EDT Thu Jun 8 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Another nice day is on tap for the North Country today, with
temperatures warmer than yesterday in the mid 70s to low 80s,
but there will be a few isolated terrain driven showers possible
across the Adirondacks during the afternoon. Slightly cooler
temperatures are expected for Friday and Saturday, along with a
continued chance for afternoon showers and perhaps an isolated
thunderstorm. Building heat moves in for Sunday into next week 
with several days well into the 80s and possibly 90s and daily 
chances for showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 347 AM EDT Thursday...Mid/upper level ridge over the 
forecast area this morning will begin to break down and shift 
offshore through today as upper level low pressure over the 
central Appalachians lifts slightly northward into western PA. 
While mainly dry conditions are expected across eastern areas
under the exiting ridge, weak surface instability combined with
some stretched vorticity shifting in aloft might be enough to 
spark a few isolated showers over the Adirondacks this 
afternoon. Any convective activity shouldn't hinder afternoon 
or evening outdoors plans though with highs slightly warmer 
than yesterday in the mid 70s to low 80s.

Mainly dry conditions continue into tonight as well with lows 
running mainly in the 50s, but chances for showers will increase
after sunrise Friday across eastern areas as coastal low 
pressure tracking east of the benchmark will thrown some 
deeper moisture westward into portions of New England. Best 
chance for showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder will be east 
of the Green Mountain spine during the mid-morning to early 
afternoon hours, with chances lowering into the evening as the 
low pulls further offshore. With increased clouds and a more 
west/northwesterly flow over the region, temps will drop back a 
few degrees from Thursday and mainly top out in the low/mid 70s 
west of the Greens, upper 60s to low 70s east.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 317 AM EDT Thursday...Shortwave trough enters the region 
from the northwest Friday night with scattered showers/isolated 
storms gradually waning through the evening hours with loss of 
heating. Lows mainly in the 50s. This feature will be across the
area Saturday morning, exiting east by Saturday afternoon. 
While forcing is weak and most areas will remain dry, the 
running idea of a 20/30 pop for a few showers/isolated storms 
still looks reasonable, especially across from the Dacks 
eastward. Highs seasonably mild from 75 to 80.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 317 AM EDT Thursday...Models remain consistent in showing
warm temperatures across the area from Sunday onward into early
next week as upper ridging builds east from the central Conus. 
Problematic will be the placement of a weak frontal boundary 
sinking southward from southern Canada in the Monday-Wednesday 
time frame which will trend stationary over time. The location 
of this boundary will govern the eventual placement of potential
convection across the area during this time frame. This 
morning's GFS is the fastest and most robust on driving the 
frontal feature southward by Monday night, with other global 
output slower with less cross-boundary baroclinicity. Given the 
uncertainty of the frontal position and any convective-driving 
shortwave features in the robust westerly flow aloft I'll 
maintain lower end chance pops in the 20-40 percent range at 
this point. It still looks like later Sunday/Sunday evening 
(north) and Monday (area wide) would be the best shot at more 
organized, potentially stronger storm activity. Time will tell. 
As mentioned above, temperatures will trend considerably warmer 
with highs solidly into the 80s to locally near 90 on Sunday and
Monday, cooling slightly by Tuesday/Wednesday (upper 70s to mid
80s) with better cloud coverage and the frontal boundary in the
vicinity.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 06Z Friday...VFR conditions are expected through the 
period with clear skies and light winds overnight. Only 
exception will be KMPV where VLIFR will develop from 08-12Z, and
perhaps some MVFR BR at KSLK. Fog to lifts after 12Z with 
scattered clouds around FL060-080 thereafter, mainly over the 
mountains, and a few afternoon showers possible over the 
Adirondacks.

Outlook...

Friday: VFR. Breezy. Chance SHRA...Slight Chance TSRA.
Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Sunday: VFR. Breezy. Chance SHRA...Chance TSRA.
Sunday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Monday: VFR. Chance SHRA...Chance TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...Lahiff

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
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November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
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August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
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April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
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March 2006, Week 4
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
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November 2005, Week 2
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October 2005, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
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August 2005, Week 4
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
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December 2004, Week 3
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
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February 2004, Week 3
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February 2004, Week 1
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November 2003, Week 3
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November 2003, Week 1
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
September 2002, Week 5
September 2002, Week 4
September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
August 2002, Week 5
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August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
July 2002, Week 5
July 2002, Week 4
July 2002, Week 3
July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
June 2002, Week 3
June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
May 2002, Week 4
May 2002, Week 3
May 2002, Week 2
May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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March 2001, Week 5
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March 2001, Week 3
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March 2001, Week 1
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February 2001, Week 1
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December 1998, Week 5
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