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SKIVT-L  July 2017, Week 1

SKIVT-L July 2017, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 5 Jul 2017 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (200 lines)

Expires:201707052000;;309873
FPUS51 KBTV 050844
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
441 AM EDT Wed Jul 5 2017


VTZ006-052000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
441 AM EDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Light and variable winds. 
.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Light and variable winds,
becoming south around 10 mph after midnight. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers, mainly in the
morning. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. Chance
of rain 30 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
around 10 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 10 to
15 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows around 60. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 

$$


Expires:201707051100;;313698
ASUS41 KBTV 051030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUL 05 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-051100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     56  52  86 E3        30.20R                  
MONTPELIER     PTCLDY    49  49 100 CALM      30.26R                  
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    48  48 100 CALM      30.25R FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     51  51 100 MISG      30.21R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      49  49  98 CALM      30.25R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      52  50  95 CALM      30.21R                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     53  48  83 SE10      30.22R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       50  48  93 CALM      30.24R VSB 1/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      55  54  97 CALM      30.19S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      51  50  96 SW3       30.22R                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     52  49  89 CALM      30.21R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     50 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     43 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     45 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     50 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     55 N/A N/A W8          N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     63  55  77 S8          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     63  59  88 SE7         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     61  57  88 SE7         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;309587
FXUS61 KBTV 050839
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
439 AM EDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will remain over the region for one more day, dry
seasonable weather continues. Unsettled weather with showers 
and storms return for Thursday afternoon into the weekend with 
some increase in humidity levels.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 400 AM EDT Wednesday...High pressure will crest over the 
region today and begin to slide eastward this afternoon. Warm 
southerly return flow will bring temps back to seasonal normals.
No precipitation is expected and it should be mostly sunny.

Southerly flow continues overnight along with increasing clouds
on warm air advection ahead of next approaching system. Should
not have any fog development or precipitation. Minimum
temperatures will be a bit warmer with increasing humidity also,
generally upper 50s to mid 60s. Showers will spread
northeastward into the area early Thursday morning.

Chance for showers continues Thursday morning especially over
the Dacks with a weak shortwave crossing the area, but not much
surface forcing so chance for showers fades going into the day.
A rumble or two of thunder is possible, but low confidence.
Precipitation will be light. Temperatures Thursday will be a bit
warmer than normal and close to Wednesday temps.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 419 AM EDT Wednesday...Weak southerly flow will bring an
increase of cloud cover through the evening Thursday night and
however shower activity should be spotty to isolated at best.
There isn't much in the way of moisture or forcing so I backed
off the chances for rain overnight. As we move into Friday 
during the day a surface trough will dig into the North Country
and bring showers and thunderstorms. A convergent boundary will
set up along with a narrow surge of PWAT and be the focus of
showers moving through. Generally expecting 0.1-0.3" of rain
across northern New York but the PWATs generally dissipate over
Vermont so rainfall will be slightly less. Temps will be near 
normal with lows overnight in the 60s and highs on Friday in the
mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 419 AM EDT Wednesday...The weekend still appears to active
to start as the trend in guidance has been to slow down the
passage of the upper level trough. So now instead of the front
clearing by mid morning, its going to be more mid afternoon.
Thus we'll be in the warm sector a bit longer and instability
increases so we'll see more thunderstorms accompany the showers
as the front passes. PWATs will still be high but not as high as
initially thought. The concern will remain if any showers
produce locally heavy rainfall but the flow isn't parallel to
the boundary so training storms isn't currently a concern.

Once the front swings through, we should be looking at a quiet
end of the weekend and start of the next workweek. The ridge
builds in and should keep the region on the drier side Monday
into Tuesday. Temps will cool behind the front but will stay
fairly close to normal with highs in the 70s and lows in the
50s.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06z Thursday...Some patchy dense fog around the area
tonight. Had a bit of fog at MSS and now at MPV. Think that the
fog will continue to be a bit sporadic overnight. Any fog that
forms will lift shortly after sunrise today. Mainly clear skies
are expected over the 24 TAF forecast period. Winds will be
light and pick up this afternoon out of the South. 

Outlook...

Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Friday: VFR. Chance SHRA...Slight Chance TSRA.
Friday Night: VFR. Likely SHRA...Slight Chance TSRA.
Saturday: VFR. Chance SHRA...Slight Chance TSRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...Deal
LONG TERM...Deal
AVIATION...Neiles

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

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