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July 2017, Week 5

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Subject:
Daily Morning Vermont Weather
From:
"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sun, 30 Jul 2017 06:50:02 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (212 lines)
Expires:201707302000;;045052
FPUS51 KBTV 300725
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
322 AM EDT Sun Jul 30 2017


VTZ006-302000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
322 AM EDT Sun Jul 30 2017

.TODAY...Patchy dense fog this morning. Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
North winds around 10 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Light and variable winds. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the afternoon. Highs around 80. Light and variable winds,
becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain
20 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest
winds around 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Light and variable winds. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs around 80. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 60s. 
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of rain
60 percent. 

$$


Expires:201707301100;;052542
ASUS41 KBTV 301030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUL 30 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-301100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    51  48  89 E3        30.02R                  
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     44  44 100 S3        30.06R FOG              
MORRISVILLE    PTCLDY    42  41  96 CALM      30.04R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     47  47 100 MISG      30.00R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      48  46  90 CALM      30.03R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      48  47  95 CALM      30.02R                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     48  46  93 SE7       30.02R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     47  45  93 CALM      30.00R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      49  49  99 CALM      30.02R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      46  45  97 CALM      30.04R                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     47  45  93 CALM      30.00R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     39 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     41 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     46 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     52 N/A N/A N10         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     59  54  82 E1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     61  55  82 NW9         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     61  54  77 N3          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;047653
FXUS61 KBTV 300822
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
422 AM EDT Sun Jul 30 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather is expected through Sunday as high pressure remains
over the North Country. A weak frontal system will drop south 
from Quebec and could provide some isolated showers generally 
over the higher terrain on Monday afternoon. The next best 
chance for showers will be late in the week as a slow moving low
pressure system will bring widespread showers with embedded 
thunderstorms to the North Country on Thursday and Friday. 
Temperatures should return to seasonable normals with highs in 
the low 80s and lows generally in the 50s to low 60s.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 219 AM EDT Sunday...High pressure remains over the North 
Country with deep subsidence evident in the water vapor 
satellite. The high pressure centered over the Great Lakes will 
continue to reinforce the dry air aloft through the day today. 
Fog is anticipated to develop as radiational cooling is in full 
effect. The crossover temps are starting to be met and show fog 
formation should begin shortly in the climo favoured locales.

Today should be another wonderful day as we are in store for a 
bluebird day with clear skies. Temps will warm slowly and should
be a couple of degrees warmer than yesterday. Expect highs in 
the upper 70s to near 80 with generally north to northwesterly 
winds between 5-10 mph.

Overnight tonight the high pressure will continue to keep the 
area dry and allow for the potential for fog formation as calm 
winds and clear skies will lead to excellent radiational 
cooling. Anticipate the fog will be patchy and relatively thin 
as we'll be several days removed from any precip source with 
plenty of dry air in the low, mid and upper levels.

On Monday our winds will shift from northerly to southwesterly 
which will boost PWATs slightly over the North Country. This 
coincides with a weak front that will drop south out of Quebec 
with enough forcing to develop some isolated showers generally 
with some orographic ascent.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 422 AM EDT Sunday...A few lingering showers will 
dissipate Monday night. Dry conditions Tuesday morning can 
expect slight chance to low chance for showers as weak ripple of
vorticity moves through the 500mb flow. Ridge of high pressure 
at the surface moves over the region Tuesday night. Meanwhile, 
behind the aforementioned ripple of vorticity at 500mb, SW flow 
will set up, bringing in warmer temperatures. Min temperatures 
Monday and Tuesday nights will be in the mid 50s to low 60s. Max
temperatures on Tuesday are expected to be in the 70s to mid 
80s as 925mb temperatures increase to around 20C.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 422 AM EDT Sunday...Models continue to show active 
pattern across the region during the long term as mean mid- 
level trough becomes reestablished and amplifies across the 
Great Lakes and Ohio Valley region. Expect chance of 
showers/thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon/night as an initial 
shortwave in WSW flow with warm and humid airmass over the North
Country. This shortwave will be reflected at the surface as a 
cold front which will take its time to move across the North 
Country as the main trough digs further south over the Great 
Lakes region Thursday night through Friday. This will put the 
North Country in continued SW flow and increase PWATS to 1.5 to 
1.75". Potential widespread shower and scattered thunderstorm 
activity expected each day. The mid-level trough will be slow to
progress eastward, prolonging associated surface low affecting 
the northeast through the weekend. May need to monitor for 
localized flooding issues given slow progression of upstream 
trough to our west and possible training in deep-layer SWLY flow
fields. 

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Overall looking at VFR conditions through
the period as little in the way of cloud cover is expected.
However...there will be a period of IFR/LIFR conditions at KSLK
and KMPV due to low clouds and fog from 07z to 12z. Winds will
generally be under 10 knots through the period.

Outlook...

Monday: VFR/MVFR. Slight Chance SHRA/TSRA.
Monday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA/TSRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA/TSRA.
Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA...Chance TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Deal
NEAR TERM...Deal
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...KGM
AVIATION...Deal

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