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July 2017, Week 5

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Subject:
Daily Morning Vermont Weather
From:
"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sat, 29 Jul 2017 06:50:02 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (201 lines)
Expires:201707292000;;998756
FPUS51 KBTV 290809
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
405 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017


VTZ006-292000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
405 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

.TODAY...Patchy dense fog this morning. Mostly sunny. Highs in the
lower 70s. Light and variable winds, becoming north around 10 mph
this afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...Clear. Patchy dense fog after midnight. Lows around 50.
North winds around 10 mph until midnight, becoming light and
variable. 
.SUNDAY...Patchy dense fog in the morning. Sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Light and variable winds, becoming northwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. West winds around
10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around
10 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 50s. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 

$$


Expires:201707291100;;004298
ASUS41 KBTV 291030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT JUL 29 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-291100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    53  51  93 E3        29.94R                  
MORRISVILLE    FOG       46  46 100 CALM      29.97S VSB<1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     48  48 100 MISG      29.95R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      47  46  97 CALM      29.98R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      50  49  97 CALM      29.94R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    51  49  92 SE6       29.94R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    51  48  89 CALM      29.93S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      51  51  99 CALM      29.93S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      46  46 100 S5        29.97R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    52  50  93 CALM      29.91R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     39 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     43 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     48 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     48 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     59  55  88 E1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     59  54  82 NW8         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     57  55  94 S5          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;002692
FXUS61 KBTV 290935 CCA
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Burlington VT
535 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Pleasant conditions expected through the weekend as high pressure
building into the region will keep the North Country dry and 
seasonably cool. Temperatures warm back to more normal values 
next week, with our next chance for showers expected towards 
the middle to end of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 305 AM EDT Saturday...High pressure continues to build
into the region and should keep the North Country under quite
pleasant conditions through the weekend. Cirrus from the
convection to our south continues to thin through the overnight
hours and shallow fog is moving into the climo favoured areas.
We should continue to radiate out and cool through around 9-11z
before the sun rises and the fog begins to mix out. Expect clear
skies today with plenty of sun and another night tonight with 
clear skies and some light fog developing in the normal sheltered
river valleys.

925mb temps in the 15C-17C range support our highs in the upper
70s today and will light warm air advection anticipate low 80s
on Sunday. Overnight lows should radiate out to slightly below
normal in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 529 AM EDT Saturday...The short term starts with high 
pressure ridge at the surface on Sunday, shifting south which 
will allow a cold front to bring showers and thunderstorms 
across the North Country during the day Wednesday. GFS currently
showing marginal CAPE values for most of the area, but 
1000-1500 J/kg around the international border. Expect the front
to weaken as it moves across the area late Monday into Monday 
night. Showalter only about -1 with little low level shear. Have
included slight chance to chance of thunder before the evening 
hours. High pressure builds in behind the front Monday 
night/early Tuesday.

Warming trend is expected throughout the short term with min 
temperatures Sunday night starting below normal, warming to near
to slightly above normal Monday and Monday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 529 AM EDT Saturday...The next chance for precipitation 
looks to be Wednesday. SW flow ahead of cold front approaching 
from the NW will increase moisture over the North Country. 
Expect temperatures to warm to slightly above seasonal norms in 
the SW flow before the cold front moves through the region. 
There are some timing differences in model guidance regarding 
FROPA and possible convection ahead of the front. Models 
continue to diverge for the end of the week. At this point, GFS 
and ECMWF develop a deepening mid-level trough but differ on 
evolution, orientation, and track of this trough.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 06Z Sunday...Generally VFR with the exception of 
IFR/LIFR fog at MPV and SLK. High clouds from the south continue
to thin over the North Country and will erode through the 
morning leaving SKC for the next 24 hours. Radiational fog has 
developed at SLK/MPV and will bounce around under the thin 
cirrus until 8-9z before staying IFR. Expect fog again Saturday 
overnight as calm winds and clear skies should allow for 
radiational fog to develop again. Winds will be calm through 
the rest of the overnight hours and then trend northerly at 5-10
knots shortly after day break before going calm overnight 
Saturday.

Outlook...

Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA...Slight Chance TSRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. Chance SHRA...Slight Chance TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Deal
NEAR TERM...Deal
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...KGM
AVIATION...Deal

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