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SKIVT-L  September 2017, Week 1

SKIVT-L September 2017, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 5 Sep 2017 06:50:04 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (220 lines)

Expires:201709052000;;913888
FPUS51 KBTV 050831
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
428 AM EDT Tue Sep 5 2017


VTZ006-052000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
428 AM EDT Tue Sep 5 2017

.TODAY...Cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Light and variable winds. 
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Light and variable winds. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Light and
variable winds. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Light and
variable winds. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 

$$


Expires:201709051100;;918138
ASUS41 KBTV 051030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE SEP 05 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-051100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    68  60  75 S18G29    29.63R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    64  59  83 S12       29.71R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    64  60  87 S3        29.65R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     64  60  87 MISG      29.66S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      61  58  91 SE3       29.70R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    DRIZZLE   67  59  76 SW6       29.68R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    68  60  75 S9        29.69F                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    59  57  93 NW3       29.75R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    66  61  83 S8        29.61R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      60  59  97 S3        29.65R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    66  60  81 SW5       29.74F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     59 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     55 N/A N/A SW31G43     N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     68  63  83 SW16G22     N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     68  63  83 S30G36      N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     66  61  82 S13         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;915130
FXUS61 KBTV 050902
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
502 AM EDT Tue Sep 5 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Somewhat unsettled weather is expected across the North Country
today. There will be scattered showers this morning...then a
better chance for showers over Vermont later this afternoon.
There will even be the threat of thunderstorms...some with gusty
winds and small hail...over the southern half of Vermont.
Precipitation tapers off tonight...but returns again on
Wednesday...especially from the northern Adirondacks eastward.
Below normal temperatures are also expected for Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 502 AM EDT Tuesday...An interesting early morning with 
stronger low level flow mixing down at times producing rather 
gusty winds with some of the showers or when the showers have 
passed. Wind gusts in the 30 to 50 mph range...especially over 
northern New York...have been reported. Should overall continue 
to see a decrease in areal coverage of the showers this 
morning...but plenty of cloud cover to linger. This will be 
critical for the development of instability later today and 
indications are south central and southern Vermont will have the
best chance at any instability. Deep layer shear will be 
sufficient over this area so the idea of a threat for stronger 
storms in this area looks good. Feel the area south and east of 
a Montpelier to Rutland line will be the area to watch for 
stronger storms and have continued the wording of gusty winds 
and small hail for this area. Elsewhere instability will be 
limited...but deep layer shear will be stronger. Enough for a 
threat of showers...but will be hard for anything to get 
organized. Highs will generally be in the upper 60s to upper 
70s.

For tonight...Any convection comes to an end or moves east
during the first half of the night. Threat for stronger storms
also comes to an end. Lows will generally be in the 50s with 40s
over the northern Adirondacks.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 432 AM EDT Tuesday...The large scale synoptic pattern for
tomorrow through the end of the work week continues to feature 
a broad upper trough digging through the Ohio Valley Wednesday, 
then up through the Northeast for Thursday and Friday. A stalled
frontal boundary ahead of the upper trough will serve as the 
focus for showers to persist across much of Vermont through 
Wednesday night, while points westward should stay fairly dry 
with just some spotty showers possible, especially across the 
higher terrain of the northern Adirondacks. As the upper trough 
settles over the region for Thursday and Friday, precipitation 
becomes more diurnally driven, with scattered showers most 
abundant during the mid-late afternoon hours and generally 
waning during the overnight hours. The cold nature of the upper 
trough with 500mb temps falling below -20C and modeled soundings
showing some weak elevated instability even support the 
possibility of some graupel on Friday as well. Temps through the
period remain on the cool side of normal with highs mainly in 
the 60s and lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 417 AM EDT Tuesday...After a fairly active week the trend
going into the weekend and early next week will be towards 
quieter weather as the aforementioned upper trough finally 
shifts east off the eastern seaboard and is replaced by upper 
level ridging and surface high pressure by Sunday. Overall 
Friday night and Saturday morning should be fairly dry with 
maybe a few isolated to scattered showers, but by Saturday 
afternoon surface high pressure should be in control with 
clear/sunny skies expected for Saturday night through Monday. 
Below normal temperatures continue through the weekend as the 
upper trough exits, but Monday should see a return to normal.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...Potential for low level wind shear will
exist at a number of spots across the area through 12z with 35
to 45 knot winds from the southwest at 2000 feet. Otherwise
threat for gusty winds and low level wind shear will taper off
after 12z as winds become more south and southwest with time.
Otherwise...look for VFR/MVFR conditions through much of the 
period with scattered showers through the morning hours. The
potential for thunderstorms will exist after 21z...but mainly
south and east of a KMPV to KRUT line.

Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Thursday: VFR. Likely SHRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Friday: VFR. Likely SHRA.
Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 500 AM EDT Tuesday...Still keeping a lake wind advisory in
effect through mid-morning as winds will still be in the 15 to
25 knot range from the south. They will turn to the southwest
later this morning and taper off below advisory criteria. Expect
very choppy conditions to continue through mid-morning which
could have an impact on smaller crafts.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...Evenson
MARINE...Evenson

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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October 2004, Week 3
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June 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 1
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