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SKIVT-L  September 2017, Week 1

SKIVT-L September 2017, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 6 Sep 2017 06:53:43 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (214 lines)

Expires:201709062000;;960295
FPUS51 KBTV 060727
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
324 AM EDT Wed Sep 6 2017


VTZ006-062000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
324 AM EDT Wed Sep 6 2017

.TODAY...Patchy fog this morning. Showers. Highs in the lower 60s.
Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 90 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Occasional showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Light and
variable winds. Chance of rain 80 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. A slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. Light and variable winds, becoming
west around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain
50 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
60s. West winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 

$$


Expires:201709061100;;967699
ASUS41 KBTV 061030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED SEP 06 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-061100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    58  57  97 E5        29.90F                  
MONTPELIER     LGT RAIN  56  56 100 CALM      29.95R FOG              
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    55  55 100 SE3       29.93R FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     57  57 100 MISG      29.88R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   LGT RAIN  54  54  99 CALM      29.93R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    LGT RAIN  57  56  97 CALM      29.92R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    57  57 100 CALM      29.91S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    60  58  92 NE5       29.89R                  
HIGHGATE*      MOCLDY    55  55 100 CALM      29.91R                  
NEWPORT*       DRIZZLE   53  53 100 W3        29.93R                  
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN  59  58  96 CALM      29.88F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     54 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     54 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     54 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     61 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     48 N/A N/A W12         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  59  94 S9          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A    N/A N/A N/A S7          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     59  59 100 E3          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;960480
FXUS61 KBTV 060731
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
331 AM EDT Wed Sep 6 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Periods of showers are expected across the North Country through the 
end of the work week as a slow moving upper trough passes through 
the region. Rain will be most persistent across Vermont today and 
tonight, becoming more scattered and diurnally driven Thursday and 
Friday. High pressure will bring a return of dry and seasonal 
weather this weekend into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 330 AM EDT Wednesday...Overall little change in the 
forecast from the previous days thinking as the frontal boundary
which brought heavy rain and a few severe thunderstorms to the 
region yesterday stalls east of the forecast area along the 
eastern seaboard. Deep southwesterly flow aloft persists across 
the area through the period as a slow moving upper trough 
continues to deepen over the Ohio Valley. Meanwhile a wave of 
low pressure developing this morning near the Delmarva peninsula
will ride northward along the stalled frontal boundary bringing
a return of showers this morning through tonight. Rain will 
mainly be focused east of the St. Lawrence Valley with the 
heaviest QPF expected along and east of the Green Mountain 
spine. Much like yesterday, high temps today will be on the cool
side of normal ranging through the 60s with an abundance of 
clouds and precip, while tonight this will help to keep lows 
right around normal in the 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 330 AM EDT Wednesday...We begin the transition to 
precipitation becoming more convective in nature as well as 
diurnally driven. Band of deeper moisture associated with south 
to southwest flow aloft shifts east on Thursday as upstream 
upper trough axis begins to shift east toward the region. Any 
lingering showers over eastern Vermont Thursday morning will 
move east with a window of dry weather across the area. Surface 
heating combined with steepening lapse rates as colder air aloft
begins to move in should enhance the convective potential in 
the afternoon with lapse rates nearly dry adiabatic to enhance 
the development of instability. Have mentioned a slight chance 
of thunder in the afternoon...but vertical depth of convection 
will be a bit limited. With the loss of daytime heating on 
Thursday...highs in the 60s...lapse rates stabilize and 
convection comes to an end with much of Thursday night being 
relatively dry. On Friday as upper trough moves even closer to 
the region core of the coldest air aloft moves over the area. 
Highs on Friday will be a couple of degrees cooler than 
Thursday...but with the colder air aloft lapse rates will become
sufficiently steep for instability to develop. This will lead 
to scattered to numerous showers developing along with the 
potential for some thunder as well. With the colder air aloft 
potential for graupel will also exist and this will need to be 
monitored in future forecasts.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 330 AM EDT Wednesday...Upper trough finally moves east of
the area Friday night into Saturday. Could see some showers 
over eastern Vermont on Saturday...but drying trend will take 
place for the rest of the weekend and early next week as flow 
aloft becomes more northwest and high pressure builds into the 
region. No precipitation is expected Sunday through Tuesday. 
Saturday looks to be the coolest day of the extended with highs 
in the upper 50s to mid 60s. We will begin to see a warming 
trend starting Sunday and continuing into early next week with 
highs getting into the upper 60s to lower 70s. Over the weekend 
mountain locations will be seeing lows in the 30s with lows in 
the 40s elsewhere.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...Challenging aviation forecast for the
overnight hours with an abundance of low level moisture and
calm winds leading to areas of low stratus and fog. Highest
confidence of IFR or below is at KSLK and KMPV which should
persist through 11-13Z. Elsewhere, KRUT and KMSS didn't see any
rain today so I think some MVFR BR will just be floating 
around. Difficulty lies in the less climo favored site of KPBG 
and KBTV. Already see a quick bought of IFR, but then conditions
jumped right back to VFR. Feel conditions overnight at these 2 
sites will be widely variable, with intervals of IFR likely. 
After 12Z, another wave of showers move into the forecast area 
mainly east of KMSS, which should lift conditions to a mix of 
VFR and MVFR. Showers persist through much of the day, though 
most concentrated across VT terminals.

Outlook...

Thursday: VFR/MVFR. Likely SHRA...Slight Chance TSRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Friday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Lahiff

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
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November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
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August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
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April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
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March 2006, Week 4
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
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November 2005, Week 2
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October 2005, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
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August 2005, Week 4
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
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December 2004, Week 3
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
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February 2004, Week 3
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February 2004, Week 1
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November 2003, Week 3
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November 2003, Week 1
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
September 2002, Week 5
September 2002, Week 4
September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
August 2002, Week 5
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August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
July 2002, Week 5
July 2002, Week 4
July 2002, Week 3
July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
June 2002, Week 3
June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
May 2002, Week 4
May 2002, Week 3
May 2002, Week 2
May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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March 2001, Week 5
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March 2001, Week 3
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March 2001, Week 1
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February 2001, Week 1
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December 1998, Week 5
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