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SKIVT-L  September 2017, Week 1

SKIVT-L September 2017, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 3 Sep 2017 06:50:05 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (232 lines)

Expires:201709032000;;812903
FPUS51 KBTV 030741
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
338 AM EDT Sun Sep 3 2017


VTZ006-032000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
339 AM EDT Sun Sep 3 2017

.TODAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Rain. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds around 10 mph,
becoming west after midnight. Chance of rain 90 percent. 
.LABOR DAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of rain in the morning.
Much warmer with highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. 

$$


Expires:201709031100;;819627
ASUS41 KBTV 031030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 03 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-031100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT RAIN  55  50  83 S8        30.03R                  
MONTPELIER     LGT RAIN  48  48 100 CALM      30.10S                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    45  44  97 SW3       30.07S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     46  46 100 MISG      30.06F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      44  43  97 CALM      30.09S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    RAIN      53  49  86 S5        30.02F                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    53  47  79 S9        30.04                   
SPRINGFIELD    LGT RAIN  52  50  93 CALM      30.09S                  
HIGHGATE*      DRIZZLE   53  47  82 S3        30.01R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      46  44  94 CALM      30.06S                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    52  45  77 SW9       30.03F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     48 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     41 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     45 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     50 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     43 N/A N/A E30G41      N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     59  52  77 SW15        N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     57  54  88 S21         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     55  52  88 S13         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;813751
FXUS61 KBTV 030803
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
403 AM EDT Sun Sep 3 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Widespread rain will move through the North Country today as 
the remains of Harvey interact with upper level low pressure 
across the northeast. Monday will be a brief return to dry 
weather before a period of unsettled weather moves into the 
region through much of the workweek.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 400 AM EDT Sunday...High pressure will give way to the 
advancing upper level through over the Great Lakes and the 
remnants of Harvey. The moisture from Harvey has been over the 
Mid-Atlantic while the energy has been more over the Ohio Valley
region and so the remnants haven't phased yet with the upper 
level trough. Showers associated with the moisture tracked 
across southern Vermont but should continue to skirt east of the
forecast area through the rest of the overnight. The widespread
rain that will impact the North Country is just getting into 
central New York now and should begin falling over northern New 
York shortly. The rain will overspread the region and thus I've 
kept the mention of definite rain across the full forecast area 
through much of the day.

Given the trough hasn't phased yet and isn't quite as strong as
initially through the threat of the strong southeasterly 
downslope winds has decreased. I still expect 25-35 mph wind 
gusts to be possible but based on Bufkit soundings the inversion
height should be just below the ridgeline. Thus if a wave were 
to break the strongest downsloping winds would be above the 
critical layer rather than be trapped below it. Nonetheless, it 
still should be fairly gusty on the western slopes through mid 
day. By mid day the rain should mix out any inversion and 
stabilize the boundary layer ending the significant wind threat.

The trough clears the North Country late this evening but there
will be some lingering rain during the evening so unfortunately
outdoor activities may end up with some rainfall. As the flow 
turns northwest behind the trough anticipate some orographic 
rain to linger around as Froude numbers show highly blocked 
flow. The rain should be confined to the western slopes and 
generally above 2000ft.

Temps during the day will be on cooler side as cloudy skies and
widespread rain lead to max temps only in the 50s with lows 
this evening only 2-5 degrees cooler.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 346 AM EDT Sunday...Flow aloft backs to the southwest on 
Monday and low level warm air advection begins to take place. As
a result...highs will climb back into the 70s. Frontal boundary
remains well upstream as it becomes parallel to the upper flow 
and moves little as a result. Thus forcing will be limited on 
Monday and have continued to keep the forecast dry. The one item
of note on Monday is the strengthening low level flow out 
across the Saint Lawrence Valley of New York. The channeled 
southwest flow will help promote wind gusts in the 30 to 40 mph 
range.

As upper trough gets more established over the eastern third of the 
United States Monday night into Tuesday...frontal boundary will 
gradually move into the region and provide a focus for showers. The 
showers will be more concentrated over northern New York and 
eventually across Vermont on Tuesday. Indications are frontal 
boundary will be over southern Vermont and if there is any threat 
for thunder Tuesday afternoon it will across the southern half of 
Vermont. Have kept the idea of a chance for thunder in this area. 
Highs on Tuesday will remain in the 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 346 AM EDT Sunday...Large upper trough becomes established
over the eastern third of the country Tuesday night through 
Friday. This will help to keep the threat of precipitation going
over the area through much of the extended. Frontal boundary 
will become more oriented from southwest to northeast and be 
positioned just to our east. As a result...we will see the 
threat for showers be greatest over Vermont with slightly less 
chance over northern New York Tuesday night through Thursday 
night. Eventually the upper trough axis moves over the area 
Friday into Saturday and the dynamics associated with the upper 
trough will enhance the potential for showers. WIth the clouds 
and precipitation through much of the extended time period high 
temperatures will generally be in the 60s to around 70.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 00Z Monday...VFR conditions expected to persist through
at least 09Z Sunday. Mid and high level clouds continue to 
spread northward across the North Country this evening. Rain 
and deteriorating conditions will reach the Adirondacks around 
sunrise 09z-11z...spreading to KMSS, KMPV and KPBG between 12Z- 
15Z. KRUT and KBTV will likely see VFR conditions longer due to 
downsloping winds, which may also result in stronger gusts of 
20-30kts at KRUT at times. MVFR conditions expected to affect 
all terminals during the mid-day into the late afternoon. 

Outlook...

Labor Day: VFR. Windy with gusts to 33 kts. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Breezy. Slight Chance SHRA...Slight Chance TSRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA...Slight Chance TSRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Likely SHRA.
Wednesday: VFR. Occasional SHRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR/MVFR. Occasional SHRA.
Thursday: VFR. Likely SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Deal
NEAR TERM...Deal
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Deal

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April 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 5
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March 2005, Week 4
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March 2005, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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