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SKIVT-L  November 2017, Week 2

SKIVT-L November 2017, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 10 Nov 2017 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (236 lines)

Expires:201711102100;;190410
FPUS51 KBTV 101140
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
637 AM EST Fri Nov 10 2017


VTZ006-102100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
637 AM EST Fri Nov 10 2017

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers this morning,
then partly sunny this afternoon. Blustery with highs in the mid
20s. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of
snow 50 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder with lows around 8 above. Northwest
winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph until midnight. 
.VETERANS DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 12. Light and variable
winds. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. South winds around
10 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 

$$


Expires:201711101200;;189981
ASUS41 KBTV 101130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST FRI NOV 10 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-101200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    27  15  61 NW18G30   30.03R WCI  14          
MONTPELIER     FLURRIES  24  20  84 NW10      29.98R WCI  14          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    23  14  68 NW14G22   29.99R WCI  11          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     27  18  69 MISG      29.94R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   MOCLDY    23  14  69 W16G31    29.94R WCI   9          
MIDDLEBURY*    MOCLDY    27  19  73 N13G18    30.03R WCI  16          
RUTLAND*       FLURRIES  29  22  75 NW15G28   29.98R WCI  18          
SPRINGFIELD    LGT SNOW  34  25  69 NW22G39   29.94R WCI  22          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      21  12  68 W15G22    30.06R WCI   8          
NEWPORT*       MOCLDY    21  13  70 W15G22    29.97R WCI   8          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    32  22  66 W21       29.99R WCI  20          
SUTTON*          N/A     21 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A      9 N/A N/A W22         N/A  WCI -11          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     28  19  69 NW26G35     N/A  WCI  13          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     28  19  69 NW26G35     N/A  WCI  13          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     28  25  86 W12G20      N/A  WCI  18          

$$


Expires:No;;184776
FXUS61 KBTV 100913
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
413 AM EST Fri Nov 10 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front has moved east of Vermont and gusty 
northwesterly winds are ushering in the coldest air mass of the 
season across the North Country. Will see brisk, winter-like 
conditions today with a few lingering flurries through mid-morning. 
High pressure builds eastward from the Great Lakes with diminishing 
wind tonight and Saturday, and continued cold temperatures. Will see 
temperatures moderate back into the 40s to begin next week with
a more seasonable and continued dry mid-November pattern.  

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 409 AM EST Friday...The strong cold front has passed east
of the CT River Valley at 0830Z, right on schedule. Had a 
number of cloud-to-ground lightning strikes with the frontal 
passage and associated band of rain/snow showers and some 
embedded snow squall activity. Had close CGs here at BTV, and 
wind gusts of 30-40 mph accompanied some of the squalls across 
n-central and nern VT per spotter reports. Also had some reports
of 1-2" snowfall accumulation with the squalls in Morrisville, 
Greensboro, and Sheffield areas. A few lingering flurries thru 
mid-morning expected, especially the nrn Adirondacks and 
central/nrn Greens before air mass dries out further. 

Main concern now is potential black ice on the roadways as 
temperatures have quickly plummeted below freezing, including 23F at 
SLK as of 08Z. While roads won't be icy everywhere, any standing 
water is in the process of freezing, especially given lack of 
antecedent road chemicals with this being the first sub-freezing 
advective cold. We have issued Special Weather Statements across nrn 
NY and VT and will continue with social media messaging concerning 
the black ice and sudden winter like temperatures. P-gradient 
remains strong throughout the daylight hrs. With strong low-level 
CAA, looking for good downward mixing and continued potential for 25-
35 mph gusts thru the daylight hrs. Temps really not recovering this 
afternoon, with afternoon readings generally in the low-mid 20s, and 
locally in the teens across the northern Adirondacks. This will 
create wind chills in the single digits above zero in most areas 
today, so a bit of a shock to the system given the predominantly 
warm fall thus far. 

Moisture flux from Lake Champlain may result in some lake induced 
low stratus clouds this evening and overnight across portions of 
Chittenden and Addison counties, with ceilings around 2000ft 
possible. Strong high pressure will be building ewd across the ern 
Great Lakes overnight, with NW winds remaining 10-15 mph on ern 
periphery of this system. The winds will limit radiative cooling 
effects, but air mass is still quite cold regardless, with lows 
tonight mainly in the single digits to mid teens (warmest near Lake 
Champlain). May set a few record lows tonight. 

High pressure builds across NY and New England on Saturday, with 
light north winds 5-8 mph and plenty of sunshine expected. Saturday 
highs rebound slightly, generally 26-31F. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 346 AM EST Friday...Saturday night should present near 
ideal radiational cooling conditions as high pressure crests 
directly over the North Country. Temps will be warming aloft but
as the winds decouple, we should see temps under a subsidence
inversion fall quickly. Anticipate temps falling into the teens
to single digits before slowly warming near daybreak.

Sunday should be a relatively pleasant day for the North 
Country as winds become southerly and temps warm into the low 
to mid 40s. We'll see increasing cloud cover throughout the day 
as an upper level trough over the Great Lakes dives to our 
south. It should stay far enough south to have little in the way
of sensible weather impacts across northern New York and 
Vermont.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 346 AM EST Friday...High pressure builds back into the 
region to start the work week and we should see a slow warming 
trend that will bring our temps back to near seasonable normals.
With the high pressure we'll also be looking at dry weather 
with partly to mostly cloudy skies. That pattern will continue 
until mid week before our next system brings a mix of rain and 
snow showers to the North Country on Thurs/Fri.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 12Z Saturday...Strong cold front moving ewd across
central and eastern VT is associated with moderate to heavy
rain/snow showers along with isold thunderstorm activity. The
precipitation will exit to the east by 8Z, with just a few
lingering flurries possible at SLK/MPV. Periods of MVFR expected
early this morning, but improving back to VFR after 11-12Z and
through the daylight hrs Friday. Winds will also be strong
areawide with strong NW gradient flow...generally 15-20kts
sustained with gusts to 25-30kts. Will see winds gradually
diminish toward sunset and overnight. As that occurs, will
probably see some 2-3kft ceilings develop at BTV associated with
lake effect clouds from Lake Champlain with arctic air over the
relatively warm lake. Other concern with the falling temps this
morning will be some icy conditions on the tarmac...may result
in some impact for aviation ground ops areawide this AM. 

Outlook...

Veterans Day: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SN.
Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance RA.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 4 AM EST Friday...Lake wind advisory continues today for
NW winds 15-25 kts with gusts to 30kts throughout the daylight
hours. Will see wave heights 3-5 feet on the ern side of Lake 
Champlain. Winds will be slowly abating tonight into Saturday.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...Deal
LONG TERM...Deal
AVIATION...Banacos
MARINE...Banacos

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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November 2007, Week 5
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November 2007, Week 3
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
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