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SKIVT-L  November 2017, Week 2

SKIVT-L November 2017, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Thu, 9 Nov 2017 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (269 lines)

Expires:201711092100;;140107
FPUS51 KBTV 091129
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
627 AM EST Thu Nov 9 2017


VTZ006-092100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
627 AM EST Thu Nov 9 2017

.TODAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow showers until
midnight, then snow showers after midnight. Total snow accumulation
a dusting to 2 inches. Lows around 20. South winds 10 to 15 mph with
gusts up to 25 mph, becoming west 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
35 mph after midnight. Chance of snow near 100 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of snow showers in the
morning. Brisk with highs in the mid 20s. West winds 15 to 25 mph
with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of snow 20 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder with lows around 9 above.
Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. 
.VETERANS DAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 15 to 20. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers. Highs
in the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 

$$


Expires:201711091200;;140143
ASUS41 KBTV 091130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST THU NOV 09 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-091200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     27  21  78 SE3       30.21F                  
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    18  18 100 S3        30.24F FOG              
MORRISVILLE    CLEAR     19  17  92 CALM      30.23S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     20  18  92 MISG      30.24S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      18  17  95 NE3       30.23S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      23  20  89 CALM      30.22S                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     23  21  92 S5        30.23F WCI  17          
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     20  18  92 CALM      30.28S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      32  22  64 S6        30.19S WCI  27          
NEWPORT*       FAIR      23  20  87 CALM      30.21R                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     20  17  88 CALM      30.22F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     19 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     14 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     18 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     21 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     23 N/A N/A S10         N/A  WCI  12          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     37  28  70 SW17        N/A  WCI  28          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     37  34  87 S21         N/A  WCI  27          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  27  80 S8          N/A  WCI  25          

$$


Expires:No;;132111
FXUS61 KBTV 090830
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
330 AM EST Thu Nov 9 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Prevailing ridge of high pressure extending from Maine
southwestward across southern New York and Pennsylvania will
bring dry weather and seasonable temperatures today. For
tonight, a strong cold front will sweep eastward from
southeastern Ontario, bringing a quick round of rain and snow
showers overnight, with a coating to an inch of snow possible 
in most areas. Following the frontal passage, temperatures will
plummet quickly through the 20s early Friday morning with 
developing brisk west- northwesterly winds. Will likely see some
icy spots on roadways for the morning commute. High pressure 
building eastward from the Great Lakes will then bring a dry 
weekend with seasonably cool temperatures. Temperatures will 
moderate back closer to normal to begin the workweek next 
Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 215 AM EST Thursday...The prevailing 1026mb sfc ridge 
from NE swwd across NY/PA will maintain quiet conditions thru 
the daylight hrs today. Another chilly start with mostly clear 
skies; sunrise temps generally expected in the low-mid 20s, 
except locally in the mid-upr teens across the nrn Adirondacks 
and valleys of far nern VT. Surface winds are light and variable
early with stable PBL, but will see a gradual increase out of 
the south and southwest at 10-15 mph between the departing ridge
and deepening sfc low along an arctic front across sern Ontario
and the nrn Great Lakes region. A few gusts up to 25 mph are 
possible vcnty of Lake Champlain. In terms of clouds, still 
dealing with some stratocu advecting newd from Lake Ontario 
across the nrn Adirondacks into far nrn VT. Will continue to 
deal with some scattered lower clouds (4-6kft), while at the 
same time seeing an increase in high clouds from west to east 
with filtered sunshine for the afternoon hrs. Despite this, air 
mass is gradually moderating, and with south/sw flow, will see 
temps about 5 degrees warmer than yesterday, with afternoon 
highs generally 44-49F, and locally reaching 50F in the St. 
Lawrence Valley. 

Tonight, we see impacts from the digging 500mb trough across the
Great Lakes and attendant arctic cold front, which will be
translating rapidly esewd. Appears the sfc bndry and associated
narrow frontal precipitation band will reach St. Lawrence 
County by 02-03Z, and move across the Champlain Valley 04-06Z, 
and push east of the CT River Valley by 08-09Z. Temperatures are
initially warm (40F or so ahead of the front), so will see a
transition from rain showers to snow showers during the quick 
burst of precipitation with FROPA, generally lasting an hour or 
less in most locations. Will see some brief gusty winds - up to 
30 mph - with the precipitation, so where precip is mostly snow
(above 1000ft or so), will see some snow squalls with vsby 
below 1/4sm briefly. The strong 925mb frontogenesis forcing and 
axis of 50-100 J/kg SBCAPE along the cold front will result in 
quick moderate to heavy precipitation, and should yield a quick 
coating to 1" of snow in spots, especially higher elevations. 
Even where snow melts on contact with roadways, the quick drop 
in temperature following the frontal bndry will yield a "flash 
freeze" situation, and would expect a few icy spots on the roads
for the Friday morning commute. Will continue mention of this 
in this morning's Hazardous Weather Outlook, as motorists may 
wish to leave a few extra minutes for their commute.

Friday will feature brisk NW winds (15-25mph gusts to 35mph) and
the coldest air mass of the season. Will see rapid drying with
skies becoming partly to mostly sunny. However, some upslope
clouds and flurries may linger Friday morning across the nrn
Adirondacks and nrn Green Mtns. 850mb temps drop to -18C to -19C
by 18Z Friday with strong low-level CAA. This will keep daytime
temps in the mid-upr 20s in the valleys, and holding in the
teens for much of the nrn Adirondacks. Wind chills will be in
the single digits to low teens, so definitely a bit of a shock
to the system given how mild the fall has been overall.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 309 AM EST Thursday...High pressure will be building in
behind the cold front with strong cold air advection. We'll be
looking at our first arctic airmass moving in with lows in the
single digits for most locations Friday night. The eastern 
Champlain valley should benefit from lake effect clouds which 
combined with the warmer water temps should keep areas near the 
lake in the teens. 850 temps Friday night will be -17C to -18C 
and latest water temps are in the low 50s which will generate 
somewhere in the neighborhood of 650 J/kg of Lake Induced Cape. 
So its entirely possible we see some lake effect snow develop 
over western Addison county under the north to northwest flow.

High pressure continues to build over the weekend as the flow
aloft turns zonal. The upper level flow should act to moderate
our temperatures and so after another day with highs in the
upper 20s to lower 30s on Saturday we should see temps in the
40s for Sunday. There won't be much in the way of cloud cover
either day save for the lake effect clouds.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 309 AM EST Thursday...The work week looks to start off 
with a weak upper level shortwave trough that tracks across the
region in otherwise zonal flow. There's a weak surface trough 
that tries to get organized but trends in the guidance seem to 
want to fizzle out the system before it reaches the North 
Country. 

By mid week we see upper level ridging along with a high
pressure building at the surface so we should see quiet weather
with continued moderating temperatures. Highs on Monday will be
in the low to mid 40s and by Wednesday approaching mid to upper
40s with overnight lows warmer a degree or two each night.
Overall we should be fairly close to near normal for
temperatures which is quite the change from our extended period
of above normal temps.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 12Z Friday...Will see VFR conditions with through 00Z 
Friday with just some lake induced clouds (4-6kft) from Lake 
Ontario being advected by the flow newd across portions of nrn 
NY and nwrn VT. Will also see some increase in cirrus clouds 
this afternoon evening from west-east in advance of digging 
upper level trough across the northern Great Lakes region. Winds
generally light and variable early this morning, but as cold 
front moves into southeastern Ontario, will see south winds 
increase to 10-12kt with a few gusts to 18kts, especially at 
BTV. 

Strong cold front and associated band of rain/snow showers makes
its way into the St. Lawrence Valley around 03Z, and reaches
BTV/PBG by 05-06Z, and MPV/RUT by 07-08Z. Will see an abrupt
WNWLY wind shift with 10-15kts and some gusts to 25kts. In terms
of precipitation, will see quick shot of rain, changing over to
snow. Local IFR vsby is possible for brief period (generally
less than 30 minutes) as the frontal precipitation band moves
through. May see a quick coating to 1" of snow, and some icing
of paved surfaces as temperatures plummet through the 20s
following the frontal passage. Could have some modest impact 
for airport ground operations 06-12Z Friday. 

Outlook...

Friday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 30 kt. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Veterans Day: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. Slight chance SN.
Sunday Night: VFR. Chance SN, Chance RA.
Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance RA, Chance
SN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...Deal
LONG TERM...Deal
AVIATION...Banacos

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
December 2008, Week 4
December 2008, Week 3
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December 2008, Week 1
November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
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August 2006, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
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March 2006, Week 4
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March 2006, Week 1
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
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December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 4
November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
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December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
December 2004, Week 1
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
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May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
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March 2003, Week 3
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February 2003, Week 3
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January 2003, Week 3
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
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August 2002, Week 3
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August 2002, Week 1
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July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
June 2002, Week 3
June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
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May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
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December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
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November 2001, Week 3
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November 2001, Week 1
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April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
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March 2001, Week 3
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March 2001, Week 1
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March 2000, Week 5
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December 1999, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 3
June 1999, Week 2
June 1999, Week 1
May 1999, Week 5
May 1999, Week 4
May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
April 1999, Week 5
April 1999, Week 4
April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
February 1999, Week 2
February 1999, Week 1
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January 1999, Week 3
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December 1998, Week 5
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