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SKIVT-L  November 2017, Week 2

SKIVT-L November 2017, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 13 Nov 2017 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (231 lines)

Expires:201711132100;;336660
FPUS51 KBTV 131116
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
614 AM EST Mon Nov 13 2017


VTZ006-132100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
614 AM EST Mon Nov 13 2017

.TODAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of light snow. Highs in the
mid 30s. Light and variable winds. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Light and variable winds. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 30s. Light and variable winds. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Light and
variable winds. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds
around 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain or snow showers likely. Little or no snow
accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Rain showers likely. Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of snow or rain showers likely. Lows in
the lower 20s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. 
.SATURDAY...Rain or snow showers likely. Highs in the upper 30s.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Snow or rain showers likely. Lows in the upper
20s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Snow showers likely or a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 

$$


Expires:201711131200;;337219
ASUS41 KBTV 131130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON NOV 13 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-131200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    28  20  71 CALM      30.40S                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    23  21  92 CALM      30.41S                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    18  17  96 CALM      30.41S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     22  19  89 MISG      30.40S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   MOCLDY    20  18  91 CALM      30.40S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    30  22  73 CALM      30.38S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    29  21  72 N3        30.37F                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    28  22  78 CALM      30.41S                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    25  19  76 E3        30.41S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      16  14  93 SW5       30.40S WCI   9          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    33  23  66 CALM      30.36S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     21 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A      9 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     19 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     27 N/A N/A SW10        N/A  WCI  17          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     34  28  80 S6          N/A  WCI  29          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     34  28  80 N6          N/A  WCI  29          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  25  74 E5          N/A  WCI  27          

$$


Expires:No;;337570
FXUS61 KBTV 131138
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
638 AM EST Mon Nov 13 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A band of moisture will lift up across much of the North Country 
today and produce a little light rain or light snow...especially in 
the mountains. Dry weather returns for tonight and Tuesday but 
plenty of clouds will linger over the area. High temperatures today 
and Tuesday will be a couple degrees below normal for this time of 
year.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 638 AM EST Monday...Overall forecast in good shape with
only minor changes to match current conditions across the area.
Otherwise...band of moisture and light precipitation over 
western and central New York will lift northeast through the 
morning hours and then push off to the east in the afternoon. 
Drier air currently over the region will hold off any 
precipitation until after sunrise...but should moisten up 
sufficiently for light precipitation to develop. Some cooling 
takes place as the air mass moistens and most locations will see
the precipitation as light snow. Eventually temperatures warm 
enough in the larger valleys for a little light rain. The key 
point of this event is that the precipitation will be light with
less than 0.05 inches expected. Highest amounts will be in the 
mountains where a dusting to half inch of snow is expected with 
trace amounts expected elsewhere. Thus it should have no impact 
on travel. Have increased precipitation chances for today... 
especially in the mountains. Highs will generally be in the 30s 
with cloudy skies expected.

No precipitation is expected tonight and Tuesday...but based on 
satellite imagery there is an extensive amount of clouds upstream 
that will move into the region. Thus have tried to keep more clouds 
in the forecast tonight with some decrease in clouds on Tuesday. 
With all the cloud cover tonight have gone with slightly warmer 
minimum temperatures. Lows will be in the mid 20s to around 30. 
Highs on Tuesday will be in the mid 30s to lower 40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 415 AM EST Monday...A ridge of high pressure will stretch
along the east coast Tuesday night into Wed morning as a short 
wave ridge moves by bringing fair seasonably weather. Low 
temperature Wed morning will be 20s rising to highs in the upper
30s to mid 40s Wed afternoon.

A short wave trof will quickly follow by Wed eve with warm evening
with warm advection, increasing clouds, and a chance of 
light overrunning precipitation Wednesday night. Some uncertainty in 
when the precipitation arrives and the resultant precipitation type, 
but it looks like it will move rapidly from west to east after 00z. 
Temperatures will be steady or rising Wed night so it could start 
as a light mix especially in the higher terrain and east of the 
Green mountains before becoming mainly rain showers by Thursday 
morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 415 AM EST Monday...A rather changeable weather pattern 
is expected in the long term period with growing model 
differences by the weekend leading to less certainty in the 
forecast. All in all it looks like typical November weather with
lots of clouds, rain and/or snow showers, and fairly average 
temperatures with highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s and lows in 
the mid 20s to mid 30s.

A cold front will move through the area Thursday with a chance of 
rain showers changing to snow showers mainly in the higher terrain 
later in the day with a NW upslope flow expected.

Another ridge of high pressure is is expected on Friday with a brief 
dry period for Fri. 

Another more vigorous system will approach Fri night or Saturday a 
rather strong low pressure system moving up through the Great Lakes 
well north and west of region. At this time looks like Sat will be 
the wettest of the week with warm front and warm air advection 
followed by a cold front Saturday or Sat night and cold advection on 
Sunday. Precip type could be interesting depending upon when it 
starts, but right now if it starts Friday night could start as a mix 
with mainly rain showers on Sat before changing to snow showers 
behind the cold front Sunday with some Lake Ontario snow 
showers. Saturday could be pretty windy with some strong gusty winds 
possible ahead of the cold front.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 12Z Tuesday...Clouds will continue to increase across
the area from the southwest today. Thus looking at VFR ceilings
through about 20z then there will be a trend toward MVFR
ceilings for the rest of the period. A band of light
precipitation...mainly in the form of snow...will move up from
western and central New York and affect most of the area through
about 00z. With the light precipitation...visibilities will
generally be VFR...but periods of MVFR/IFR visibilities are
possible this afternoon...especially at KSLK, KRUT, and KMPV. 
Winds will generally be at speeds less than 10 knots through the
period.

Outlook...

Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Likely
SHRA, Likely SHSN.
Thursday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance
SHSN, Chance SHRA.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Sisson
LONG TERM...Sisson
AVIATION...Evenson

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