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SKIVT-L  November 2017, Week 3

SKIVT-L November 2017, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 15 Nov 2017 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (246 lines)

Expires:201711152100;;438424
FPUS51 KBTV 151109
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
607 AM EST Wed Nov 15 2017


VTZ006-152100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
607 AM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

.TODAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Light and variable
winds, becoming south around 10 mph this afternoon.
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy until midnight, then cloudy with a chance
of rain showers or a slight chance of snow showers after midnight.
Lows in the lower 30s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
30 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
.THURSDAY...Snow showers likely in the morning. Rain showers likely.
Snow accumulation a dusting to 1 inch possible. Highs around 40.
South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the morning. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Rain or snow showers likely. Light snow
accumulation possible. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph
with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs around 30. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
30 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20.
.SATURDAY...Rain likely or a chance of snow. Little or no snow
accumulation. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation
70 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Rain or snow. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of
precipitation 80 percent.
.SUNDAY...Snow showers or a chance of rain showers. Highs in the
upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 20.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the upper 20s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s.

$$


Expires:201711151200;;439380
ASUS41 KBTV 151130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED NOV 15 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-151200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 32 28 85 CALM 30.31S
MONTPELIER FOG 26 26 100 CALM 30.31S VSB<1/4
MORRISVILLE CLEAR 22 22 100 NE3 30.31S
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 25 25 100 MISG 30.30R
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 23 23 98 CALM 30.30S
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 31 30 96 CALM 30.30S
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 30 29 96 CALM 30.30R FOG
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 30 29 96 CALM 30.31F
HIGHGATE* FAIR 28 26 95 CALM 30.31S
NEWPORT* FAIR 21 21 97 SW3 30.30F
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 31 29 92 CALM 30.29S FOG
ISLAND POND* N/A 16 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 19 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 32 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 21 N/A N/A CALM N/A

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 37 32 81 S8 N/A WCI 31
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 37 32 81 SE8 N/A WCI 31
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 36 32 87 SE6 N/A WCI 31

$$


Expires:No;;434205
FXUS61 KBTV 150922
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
422 AM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure moves east of the region today which allows for
southerly winds to develop. This combined with some sunshine
will allow for temperatures to climb into the upper 30s to
middle 40s. Dry weather is expected today but an upper level
trough of low pressure will gradually move into the region late
tonight and especially on Thursday. Some rain and snow is
expected late tonight before changing over to rain on Thursday.
Colder air moves back in Thursday night and the rain will change
back to snow...but only minor accumulations are possible over
the higher terrain. Dry weather returns for Friday before
another trough of low pressure moves in for the weekend and
brings more rain and snow.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 344 AM EST Wednesday...Satellite trends continue to show
the erosion of clouds across the area early this morning...mainly
over the Saint Lawrence Valley of New York and northeast
Vermont. Unfortunately its still going to take awhile to get the
remainder of the area cleared out and it looks like later this
morning it should as southerly flow develops along with
sufficient mixing. Highs today should reach the upper 30s to
middle 40s with no precipitation expected.

Upper trough moving across the Upper Midwest this morning will
eventually move into the region late tonight and especially on
Thursday. Feel precipitation will not get into the area until
after midnight tonight...but clouds and southerly flow will keep
temperatures up in the larger valleys to support precipitation
in the form of rain with snow in the mountains. Eventually
warmer air moves in on Thursday at all levels to change most of
the area over to rain showers as highs reach into the upper 30s
to middle 40s. Downslope wind component to the flow pattern
suggests Champlain Valley will see the least amount of
precipitation tonight into Thursday...generally under a tenth of
an inch...and a tenth to a quarter inch over the remainder of
the area. In terms of snow the mountains will see a dusting to 2
inches tonight into Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 420 AM EST Wednesday...The short term will feature
developing northwesterly low-level upslope flow of 25 to 30
knots as the main forcing for lift transitions from the
thermodynamics with the upper trof to orographic. Cold air
advection will commence as 925mb temps around 0C fall to -12C by
Fri morn so any rain showers will change to snow showers as
freezing levels lower from around 3000 ft to the surface area
wide by around 06z. Upslope forcing will peak out 06-09z with
Froude numbers just below 1 suggesting precip/snowfall mainly at
and just west of the summits with little in the valleys. Snow
showers will gradually dry up by mid morning with moisture
decreasing and rising heights aloft. Not expecting a whole lot
of QPF Thursday night into Friday, mainly 0.10 or less to as
much as 0.40 at some of the summits. Could be a inch or less of
snow on the higher terrain mainly on the western slopes but
increasing as you go up in elevation 4 or 5 inches at the
summits above 3000 ft. Low temps by Friday morning will be in
the 20s. Highs on Friday mainly in the upper 20s to lower 30s as
skies clear out. Clouds will be on the increase again Friday
night as a ridge of high pressure moves in but warm advection
starts aloft. Lows will be in the mid teens to lower 20s. In
addition, winds will become increasing brisk as they shift from
the south to west northwest Thursday night post cold frontal
passage at 20-30 mph.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 420 AM EST Wednesday...The long term feature of
interest will be the development of a closed low in
southeastern Canada over the weekend with our area under its
influence with lots of clouds, rain and snow showers and cooling
temperatures.

Another more vigorous system will approach Saturday as a rather
strong low pressure system moving up through the Great Lakes
then north and west of region Saturday night into Sunday. It
still looks like Sat will be the wettest of the week with warm
advection front and warm air advection followed by a sharp
cold/occluded front Sat night. Timing has slowed a bit from
yesterday's forecast as precip looks to reach BTV midday
Saturday. Precip type could still start as a mix or change from
snow to rain Sat followed by mainly rain showers by Sat eve.
Saturday could be pretty windy with some gusty winds possible
both ahead and behind the cold front with cold advection on
Sunday. Any rain showers will be changing to snow showers behind
the cold front Saturday night with Lake Ontario and upslope
snow showers continuing Sunday. Monday into Tuesday now look
mainly dry as the trof lifts out quickly with warm advection on
the back side with high pressure over the Southeast US. Models
in OK agreement through the weekend but timing differences creep
into the forecast early next week for lower confidence.
Temperatures will be on the cool side of average with highs
mainly in the lower 30s to lower 40s with lows in 20s.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...VFR/MVFR ceilings will persist through
about 14z before clouds become scattered for the remainder of
the period. Will see some thicker mid level clouds moving in
after 00z but still looking at VFR ceilings. No precipitation is
expected through the period. Winds will be light...but become
more south and southeast after 15z and will increasing in speeds
with gusts in the 10 to 20 knot range after 00z.

Outlook...

Thursday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance
SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHSN.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Likely SHRA,
Chance SHSN.
Saturday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Likely
SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance
SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Sisson
LONG TERM...Sisson
AVIATION...Evenson

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
March 2006, Week 5
March 2006, Week 4
March 2006, Week 3
March 2006, Week 2
March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
February 2006, Week 3
February 2006, Week 2
February 2006, Week 1
January 2006, Week 5
January 2006, Week 4
January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
December 2005, Week 4
December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
November 2005, Week 5
November 2005, Week 4
November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
June 2005, Week 5
June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
December 2004, Week 4
December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
December 2004, Week 1
November 2004, Week 5
November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
May 2004, Week 4
May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
April 2004, Week 5
April 2004, Week 4
April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
March 2004, Week 5
March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
February 2004, Week 2
February 2004, Week 1
January 2004, Week 5
January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
January 2004, Week 2
January 2004, Week 1
December 2003, Week 5
December 2003, Week 4
December 2003, Week 3
December 2003, Week 2
December 2003, Week 1
November 2003, Week 5
November 2003, Week 4
November 2003, Week 3
November 2003, Week 2
November 2003, Week 1
October 2003, Week 5
October 2003, Week 4
October 2003, Week 3
October 2003, Week 2
October 2003, Week 1
September 2003, Week 5
September 2003, Week 4
September 2003, Week 3
September 2003, Week 2
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August 2003, Week 3
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August 2003, Week 1
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June 2003, Week 1
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May 2003, Week 3
May 2003, Week 2
May 2003, Week 1
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April 2003, Week 4
April 2003, Week 3
April 2003, Week 2
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March 2003, Week 5
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March 2003, Week 3
March 2003, Week 2
March 2003, Week 1
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February 2003, Week 3
February 2003, Week 2
February 2003, Week 1
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January 2003, Week 4
January 2003, Week 3
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January 2003, Week 1
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December 2002, Week 4
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 5
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
October 2002, Week 5
October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
September 2002, Week 5
September 2002, Week 4
September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
August 2002, Week 5
August 2002, Week 4
August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
July 2002, Week 5
July 2002, Week 4
July 2002, Week 3
July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
June 2002, Week 3
June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
May 2002, Week 4
May 2002, Week 3
May 2002, Week 2
May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
December 2001, Week 2
December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
November 2001, Week 4
November 2001, Week 3
November 2001, Week 2
November 2001, Week 1
October 2001, Week 5
October 2001, Week 4
October 2001, Week 3
October 2001, Week 2
October 2001, Week 1
September 2001, Week 5
September 2001, Week 4
September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
September 2001, Week 1
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August 2001, Week 3
August 2001, Week 2
August 2001, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 3
July 2001, Week 2
July 2001, Week 1
June 2001, Week 5
June 2001, Week 4
June 2001, Week 3
June 2001, Week 2
June 2001, Week 1
May 2001, Week 5
May 2001, Week 4
May 2001, Week 3
May 2001, Week 2
May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
February 2001, Week 4
February 2001, Week 3
February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
January 2001, Week 4
January 2001, Week 3
January 2001, Week 2
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April 2000, Week 3
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April 2000, Week 1
March 2000, Week 5
March 2000, Week 4
March 2000, Week 3
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March 2000, Week 1
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February 2000, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 3
June 1999, Week 2
June 1999, Week 1
May 1999, Week 5
May 1999, Week 4
May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
April 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 5
March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
February 1999, Week 2
February 1999, Week 1
January 1999, Week 5
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January 1999, Week 1
December 1998, Week 5
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