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SKIVT-L  November 2017, Week 3

SKIVT-L November 2017, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 19 Nov 2017 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (244 lines)

Expires:201711192100;;634189
FPUS51 KBTV 190809
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
306 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017


VTZ006-192100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
306 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

.TODAY...Rain this morning, then snow showers likely this afternoon.
Total snow accumulation a dusting to 2 inches. Highs in the upper
30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 35 mph, becoming
west 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph this afternoon. Chance of
precipitation near 100 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. A chance of snow showers, mainly until midnight.
Lows in the lower 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
40 mph. Chance of snow 50 percent. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 20s. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
35 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 19. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 30. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of snow or rain showers.
Highs in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20. 
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the lower 20s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the lower 20s. 
.SATURDAY...Snow or rain showers likely. Highs in the mid 30s.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. 

$$


Expires:201711191200;;642428
ASUS41 KBTV 191130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SUN NOV 19 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-191200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT RAIN  47  44  90 S7        29.04F                  
MONTPELIER     LGT RAIN  36  36 100 CALM      29.11F FOG              
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    40  39  98 SE6       29.11F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    LGT RAIN  47  46  95 S7        29.05F                  
RUTLAND*       LGT RAIN  47  45  93 SE13      29.07F                  
SPRINGFIELD    LGT RAIN  39  39 100 N3        29.13F FOG              
HIGHGATE*      RAIN      44  44 100 CALM      29.04F                  
NEWPORT*       RAIN      38  38 100 SW7       29.08F                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    56  49  77 S24G46    29.10F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     37 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     37 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     36 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     46  45  93 S16         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     46  46 100 S24         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     45  43  93 S7          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;642766
FXUS61 KBTV 191137
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
637 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Strong low pressure will sweep across the area today with 
strong and gusty winds as temperatures trend colder and steadier
rains taper to snow showers. Relatively quiet weather is 
expected from Monday onward through much of next week with early
indications suggesting a good travel day for the upcoming 
Thanksgiving holiday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 350 AM EST Sunday...Deepening 982 mb surface low near 
KART early this morning will take an expected climo track 
through the St. Lawrence Valley today before exiting quickly 
toward the Gaspe Peninsula by this evening. The forecast is 
predicated on this scenario and largely follows persistence from
our prior forecast showing steadier rains ending from southwest
to northeast this morning as the system's sharp cold front 
sweeps across the area. Strong cold thermal advection will 
quickly follow the front as winds shift west/northwesterly and 
trend quite gusty under a deeply mixed boundary layer. Perusal 
of area forecast soundings continue to support maximum gusts 
from 25 to 40 mph with a few gusts near 45 mph along the eastern
slopes of the Adirondack and Green Mountains where isolated 
power outages will be possible. This seems plausible given 
robust post- frontal 3-hourly pressure rises from 5 to 9 mb from
late morning into this afternoon. As colder air pushes into the
area, lingering precipitation will trend more showery in nature
and quickly transition to snow across northern NY and the 
northern mountains of VT where minor accumulations from a 
dusting to 2 inches or so will be possible. Little accumulation 
is expected in the Champlain and lower CT River Valleys. 
Temperatures will take on a non-diurnal trend and will be 
somewhat challenging as readings gradually fall into the 
afternoon. Using a blend of our prior forecast and this 
morning's BTV 4km WRF output supports morning highs in the 30s 
across the Dacks/SLV and lower to mid 40s in VT before readings 
falling into the upper 20s to lower 30s for most spots by early 
evening.

By tonight any lingering snow showers across the northern high 
terrain will gradually end as brisk northwest flow abates slightly. 
Any additional accumulations will be minor at best as low 
temperatures bottom out from the mid teens to lower 20s under 
variably cloudy skies. Brisk and seasonably cold weather then 
continues into Monday, though outside a few mountain flurries dry 
weather is expected as surface high pressure builds east from the 
Great Lakes and skies gradually trend partly sunny by afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 400 AM EST Sunday...Monday night and Tuesday will feature
drier weather, and increasing return flow bringing temps back 
above seasonal normals for Tue. Will still have a surface ridge 
over the area Monday night, therefore cool temps, clear skies 
and light winds expected. Increasing southerly return flow on 
Tue as ridge moves east of the region. Temps will edge into the 
50s on Tue.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 400 AM EST Sunday...A cold front will cross our forecast 
area Tuesday night bringing scattered light rain and snow 
showers to the area and colder air for Wed. Have mentioned 
chance pops across our Northern New York zones for Tuesday 
night, then chance across Northern Vermont on Wednesday. Not a 
lot of moisture with this front as low passes well north of our 
region, but think we'll see at least some scattered light 
showers. Rain showers will end as light mountain snow showers. 
We return to dry weather again for Thursday through Friday. 
Friday night through Saturday night will be our next chance at 
some weather. Another low will pass North of the region bringing
scattered rain and snow showers to the area once again. GFS and
ECMWF still differ quite a bit with track and timing of the 
low. Temperatures will trend back below normal for much of the 
week with a few chances for precipitation, but nothing 
significant.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 12Z Monday...Mix of MVFR/IFR/LIFR through 15Z time 
frame, trending mainly VFR/MVFR thereafter as deep low pressure 
passes through the region. Most prevalent IFR/LIFR at
KMPV/KSLK/KMSS. Periods of light rain to continue at eastern
terminals through 12-15Z as strong cold front crosses the 
region and precipitation trends more showery. A period of post- 
frontal IFR shsn likely at KSLK/KMSS for a short window in the 
13-19Z time frame with other terminals trending mainly 
precipitation-free so offered VCSH only after 16Z or so. Winds 
trending westerly from 270-290 at 10 to 20 kts and gusty into 
the 25 to 35 kt range in the 12-15Z time frame behind the cold 
front. This will create enhanced crosswind concerns at KPBG and 
KBTV terminals. Winds will abate somewhat after 00Z Monday but 
remain gusty.

Outlook...

Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance SHSN.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHSN,
Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Thanksgiving Day: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG
WX.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 350 AM EST Sunday...A Lake Wind Advisory remains in 
effect for today as southerly winds shift sharply to the 
west/northwest by late morning and increase into the 15 to 25 
knot range by this afternoon as a strong cold front sweeps 
across the area. This will create significant wave heights in 
the 2 to 4 foot range with a moderate chop. These conditions may
prove hazardous to those operating small craft, especially on 
the eastern half of the broad lake and in Vermont bays/inlets 
with westerly exposures. Gusty northwest winds will abate 
slightly later this evening into Monday.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...JMG
MARINE...JMG

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
March 2006, Week 5
March 2006, Week 4
March 2006, Week 3
March 2006, Week 2
March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
February 2006, Week 3
February 2006, Week 2
February 2006, Week 1
January 2006, Week 5
January 2006, Week 4
January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
December 2005, Week 4
December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 4
November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
June 2005, Week 5
June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
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December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
May 2004, Week 4
May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
April 2004, Week 5
April 2004, Week 4
April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
February 2004, Week 2
February 2004, Week 1
January 2004, Week 5
January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
January 2004, Week 2
January 2004, Week 1
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December 2003, Week 4
December 2003, Week 3
December 2003, Week 2
December 2003, Week 1
November 2003, Week 5
November 2003, Week 4
November 2003, Week 3
November 2003, Week 2
November 2003, Week 1
October 2003, Week 5
October 2003, Week 4
October 2003, Week 3
October 2003, Week 2
October 2003, Week 1
September 2003, Week 5
September 2003, Week 4
September 2003, Week 3
September 2003, Week 2
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May 2003, Week 3
May 2003, Week 2
May 2003, Week 1
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April 2003, Week 4
April 2003, Week 3
April 2003, Week 2
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March 2003, Week 3
March 2003, Week 2
March 2003, Week 1
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February 2003, Week 3
February 2003, Week 2
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January 2003, Week 3
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January 2003, Week 1
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 5
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
September 2002, Week 5
September 2002, Week 4
September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
August 2002, Week 5
August 2002, Week 4
August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
July 2002, Week 5
July 2002, Week 4
July 2002, Week 3
July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
June 2002, Week 3
June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
May 2002, Week 4
May 2002, Week 3
May 2002, Week 2
May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
December 2001, Week 2
December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
November 2001, Week 4
November 2001, Week 3
November 2001, Week 2
November 2001, Week 1
October 2001, Week 5
October 2001, Week 4
October 2001, Week 3
October 2001, Week 2
October 2001, Week 1
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September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
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August 2001, Week 3
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August 2001, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 3
July 2001, Week 2
July 2001, Week 1
June 2001, Week 5
June 2001, Week 4
June 2001, Week 3
June 2001, Week 2
June 2001, Week 1
May 2001, Week 5
May 2001, Week 4
May 2001, Week 3
May 2001, Week 2
May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
February 2001, Week 4
February 2001, Week 3
February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
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January 2001, Week 3
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March 2000, Week 5
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December 1999, Week 5
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May 1999, Week 5
May 1999, Week 4
May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
April 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
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February 1999, Week 1
January 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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