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SKIVT-L  December 2017, Week 2

SKIVT-L December 2017, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 13 Dec 2017 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (232 lines)

Expires:201712132100;;826833
FPUS51 KBTV 131149
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
647 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017


VTZ006-132100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
647 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...Snow. Areas of blowing snow this afternoon. Total snow
accumulation of 6 to 10 inches. Highs around 16. West winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of snow showers until midnight.
Lows around 3 above. West winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph
until midnight. Chance of snow 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 10 above. West winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cold with lows around 1 below. West
winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 18. Southwest winds around
10 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 10 above. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Highs in the
lower 20s. Chance of snow 30 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 5 above. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 20s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers.
Lows 15 to 20. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the lower 30s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 20. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the lower 30s. 

$$


Expires:201712131200;;826132
ASUS41 KBTV 131130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED DEC 13 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-131200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FLURRIES  21  12  68 NW10      29.33F WCI  10          
MONTPELIER     LGT SNOW  17  13  84 NW12G20   29.27F FOG     WCI   4  
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW  16  14  92 N5        29.28F FOG     WCI   9  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     19  14  81 MISG      29.24F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   LGT SNOW  16  12  84 W7        29.23F WCI   7          
MIDDLEBURY*    LGT SNOW  18  16  90 CALM      29.31F VSB 1            
RUTLAND*       LGT SNOW  16  13  88 SW8       29.30F FOG     WCI   5  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    19  10  68 CALM      29.27F                  
HIGHGATE*      LGT SNOW  16  12  86 W8G16     29.35S WCI   5          
NEWPORT*       LGT SNOW  16  13  88 CALM      29.25F                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    15   6  67 VRB6      29.34F WCI   6          
ISLAND POND*     N/A     16 N/A N/A W8          N/A  WCI   5          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     16 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     21 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A      7 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     23  18  80 N14G25      N/A  WCI  11          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     23  14  68 N20         N/A  WCI   8          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     23  16  74 N9          N/A  WCI  13          

$$


Expires:No;;819421
FXUS61 KBTV 130856
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
356 AM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Deep low pressure will pull away into eastern Canada today into
tonight with widespread light snows and snow showers tapering 
off. Cold and blustery weather is expected into Thursday before 
winds abate. Thereafter a slow moderation in temperatures is 
expected into next weekend with a few snow showers expected.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 354 AM EST Wednesday...Have gone ahead and cancelled 
advisories and warnings across the remainder of northern NY and 
southern VT with this package, though have maintained headlines 
across northern VT where steadier light snows continue early 
this morning. As deepening low pressure across eastern Maine 
pulls away into the maritimes by this afternoon a tightening 
pressure gradient will evolve producing gusty northwesterly 
winds into the 20 to 30 mph range with localized higher gusts. 
Temperatures will hold nearly steady from 10 to 20 above so 
there will be quite the chill in the air with apparent 
temperatures hovering in the +/- single digits. Hi-res model 
output remains consistent in showing orographically enhanced 
wrap-around light snows to continue across much of northern VT 
through the morning hours under modestly blocked low level flow.
During this period additional accumulations mainly in the 1-3 
inch range are expected with localized higher totals in favored 
upslope areas and higher terrain above 2000 feet. By this 
afternoon the flow trends more unblocked and as deeper moisture 
pivots northward and away from the area the activity will 
decrease in areal coverage and become increasingly confined to 
the higher elevations over time. This is the period during which
the northwesterly wind gusts will peak across the area creating
areas of blowing snow and reduced visibilities. Given these 
conditions persons traveling across the Winter Storm Warning 
area today should prepare for locally difficult travel and 
ensure they have proper winter survival material in their 
vehicles such as a blanket and fully charged cell phone.

By tonight into Thursday sensible weather conditions gradually trend 
quieter, though we'll remain under deep cyclonic flow and a modest 
pressure gradient so winds will only abate slowly. A weak secondary 
clipper low will pass to our south tonight into Thursday morning and 
have little impact on area weather. Skies trend partly cloudy 
tonight, then partly to mostly sunny on Thursday. Lows tonight to 
mainly range in the +/- single digits with wind chills falling into 
the negative single digits and teens so bundle up. High on Thursday 
generally in the 9 to 18 above range with customary variation.


&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 354 AM EST Wednesday...Clear to partly cloudy skies then 
continue into Thursday night as weak high pressure bridges 
across the area. Winds to trend light south to southwesterly 
preventing a full free-fall in temperatures. That said it will 
still be quite chilly with lows by sunrise Friday once again in 
the +/- single digits and wind chills in the negative single 
digits/teens. 

Looking ahead to Friday the background flow continues to back to 
south/southwesterly in advance of another, though much weaker 
northern stream clipper low across the northern Great Lakes. Mainly 
dry weather continues, though lake snow showers off Lake 
Ontario should lift northward over time, possibly affecting 
southwestern St. Lawrence county with light accumulations. High 
temperatures to trend more reasonable - mainly upper teens to 
lower 20s, which will feel considerably nicer given the lighter 
wind regime.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 140 AM EST Wednesday....A weak clipper type system will
move across the North country Friday night into Saturday.
Scattered light snow showers are anticipated with this system.
Saturday night a ridge of high pressure will briefly build over
the region, ahead of another weak low crossing north of our area
and bringing more light snow showers on Sunday night. Some
differences arise between the GFS and ECMWF headed into early
next week, but pattern looks to remain active with several more
chances for light snow showers. No major storms going all the
way out through the work week next week. Lower than normal
temperatures for this weekend will return to above seasonal
normals headed into early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...Snow will resume at BTV and MPV with IFR
conditions at times. Other terminals are mostly done with the
snow this time around. Ceilings have improved to VFR at most
places with MVFR ceilings remaining at MSS and SLK. Winds will 
turn to the northwest at all terminals by 08z, generally at 
5-15 kt. Winds will increase during the day Wednesday with gusts
of 25-30 kt expected. Ceilings will continue to improve through
the period. 

Outlook...

Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHSN.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Scattered
SHSN.
Saturday: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Scattered SHSN.
Saturday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Slight
chance SHSN.
Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Slight chance SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Winter Storm Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for VTZ003-
     004-006>008-016>018.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for VTZ002-
     005.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Neiles

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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December 2007, Week 1
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 1
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March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
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