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SKIVT-L  December 2017, Week 2

SKIVT-L December 2017, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 9 Dec 2017 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (215 lines)

Expires:201712092100;;629460
FPUS51 KBTV 091125
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
623 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2017


VTZ006-092100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
623 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2017

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of snow this afternoon.
Highs in the lower 30s. Light and variable winds. Chance of snow
20 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Lows in the mid
20s. Light and variable winds. 
.SUNDAY...Cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. A
50 percent chance of snow showers. Highs around 30. West winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 13. West winds around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 20. Light and variable winds. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Light snow likely. Light snow accumulation possible.
Lows around 10 above. Chance of snow 60 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Light snow likely. Little or no additional snow
accumulation. Highs in the mid 20s. Chance of snow 70 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Light snow likely. Lows around 10 above. Chance of
snow 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Highs
10 to 15. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around zero. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs 15 to 20. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 5 to 10 above. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the lower 20s. 

$$


Expires:201712091200;;629728
ASUS41 KBTV 091130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SAT DEC 09 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-091200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    29  17  61 CALM      29.94S                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    22  20  92 CALM      29.93F                  
MORRISVILLE    PTCLDY    19  16  88 NE3       29.93S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     21  19  92 MISG      29.92F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      19  17  89 CALM      29.92S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      28  16  61 CALM      29.95R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    26  18  71 CALM      29.93S                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    24  21  88 CALM      29.94F                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    29  19  66 S5        29.95R WCI  24          
NEWPORT*       FAIR      20  16  85 S3        29.93R                  
BENNINGTON     PTCLDY    27  18  69 CALM      29.92S                  

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     32  23  69 S12         N/A  WCI  23          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     32  23  69 S15         N/A  WCI  22          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  21  64 S9          N/A  WCI  24          

$$


Expires:No;;630260
FXUS61 KBTV 091145
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
645 AM EST Sat Dec 9 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
The North Country will be in between systems today with a trough
of low pressure to our west and deeper moisture off the East
Coast. The deeper moisture will eventually move westward and
bring light snow to Vermont this afternoon and tonight. The
trough of low pressure to our west will move in later tonight
and Sunday and bring snow showers to the area. A more widespread
light snow event is expected Monday night into Wednesday morning
as a low pressure system moves down from Canada.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 645 AM EST Saturday...Area remains in between systems 
early this morning with upper trough to our west and deeper 
moisture off the East Coast. We will see plenty of clouds today 
and eventually some of the deeper moisture will make it into 
Vermont later this afternoon and especially tonight. There 
should be a sharp gradient to the precipitation with a slight 
chance of snow for the Vermont portion of the Champlain Valley 
and likely to categorical precipitation chances east of the 
Green Mountains and especially near the Connecticut River 
Valley. Areas east of the Greens should see anywhere from 1 to 3
inches from this event. Eventually the upstream upper trough 
moves closer to the region later tonight and this will push the 
snow over eastern Vermont out of our area...but bring some snow 
showers to northern New York Sunday morning and over the 
remainder of the area Sunday afternoon. Could be some localized 
minor accumulations. High temperatures both today and Saturday 
will be in the upper 20s to mid 30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 315 AM EST Saturday...By Sunday night, the base of the 
mean 500 mb trough axis swings through the Northeast pushing an 
accompanying weak surface trough southward into our area. Modest
surface convergence should allow a period of scattered 
flurries/snow showers to affect mainly central and northern 
counties through the overnight hours as winds trend light 
northwesterly over time. Minor accumulations of a dusting to 2 
inches will be possible and is in agreement with this morning's 
deterministic output, though it will be on the fluffy side with 
snow ratios generally ranging in the 18-23:1 range. Low 
temperatures to range mainly through the teens to locally around
20 near Lake Champlain.

Quiet weather is then expected for Monday as surface high pressure 
quickly skirts across the area with light winds and partly sunny 
skies. Model-averaged 925 mb temperatures at 18Z range from -6C to
-13C south to north. Using a climo-adjustment of adding +7C to
 these values for the December/January period yields highs in
 the upper teens/lower 20s north and in the 23 to 28 range
 across central/southern counties.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 315 AM EST Saturday...Thereafter, the overall synoptic-
scale picture from a CONUS perspective remains largely unchanged
throughout much of next week as a seasonably deep longwave 
upper trough remains in place from the Central Plains eastward. 
This will keep temperatures on the chilly side with daily highs 
mainly in the teens and 20s and overnight lows in the single 
digits to teens. Individual bundles of energy moving through the
mean cyclonic flow aloft will create near daily chances of 
light snow/snow showers across the area, especially in the 
northern mountains. The strongest of these features still 
appears on track to affect the area Monday night into early 
Wednesday as northern stream clipper-type energy takes a 
favorable track atop the region. Widespread, accumulating light 
to modest snowfall is expected during this 36-hour period during
which several inches may fall. Being of continental origin the 
system will have only modest moisture to work with (PWATS around
0.25 inches) so not looking at anything exceptionally heavy. 
That said, snow ratios are somewhat above average so a first 
guess would suggest a possible advisory-level event for 
portions of the area with the northern mountains having the most
favorable chances. Time will tell.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 12Z Sunday...Extensive area of clouds exists over the
entire area this morning...but ceilings are generally in the VFR
category with MVFR conditions at KSLK through 15z before ceilings
lift there back into the VFR category. Deeper moisture to our 
east will work its way westward this afternoon and tonight and 
light snow should work into eastern Vermont and KMPV will have 
the potential to experience MVFR ceilings/visibilities with all 
other aviation sites remaining in the VFR category. 

Outlook...

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHSN.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHSN.
Monday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance SHSN.
Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas of IFR possible. Chance SN.
Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas of IFR possible. SN likely.
Tuesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas of IFR possible. Chance SN.
Wednesday: VFR/MVFR. Chance SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...Evenson

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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