Expires:201801312100;;811047
FPUS51 KBTV 311142
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
640 AM EST Wed Jan 31 2018
VTZ006-312100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
640 AM EST Wed Jan 31 2018
.TODAY...Partly sunny this morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance
of light snow this afternoon. Highs around 20. Northwest winds
around 10 mph, becoming south this afternoon. Chance of snow
50 percent.
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. A chance of light snow until midnight. Lows
around 20. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 50 percent.
.THURSDAY...Cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers in the morning,
then a chance of rain or snow showers in the afternoon. Highs in the
upper 30s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation
40 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Snow showers likely with possible snow squalls
likely. Snow may be heavy at times. Light snow accumulation
possible. Lows around 15. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow
60 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs around 18. Temperature falling to around 6 above in the
afternoon. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Much colder with lows 5 below to
zero.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs 15 to 20.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Snow showers likely. Lows around 10 above. Chance
of snow 60 percent.
.SUNDAY...Snow showers likely. Highs in the mid 20s. Chance of snow
60 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows zero to 5 above zero.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs around 20.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 5 above.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s.
$$
Expires:201801311200;;810523
ASUS41 KBTV 311130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED JAN 31 2018
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-311200-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON FAIR 10 1 67 NE6 30.21R WCI 0
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 8 3 80 NW6 30.12R WCI -2
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 8 1 73 N7 30.14R WCI -3
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 11 5 77 MISG 30.10R
LYNDONVILLE* FLURRIES 7 2 80 CALM 30.10R
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 8 4 84 CALM 30.19R
RUTLAND* FAIR 7 2 80 CALM 30.15R
SPRINGFIELD FAIR 12 3 67 VRB5 30.15R WCI 4
HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 6 -1 75 NW3 30.24R
NEWPORT* LGT SNOW 7 4 86 CALM 30.12R
BENNINGTON FAIR 10 2 69 SW3 30.16R
SUTTON* N/A 3 N/A N/A MISG N/A
ISLAND POND* N/A 5 N/A N/A NW1 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 5 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 5 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 0 N/A N/A W12G40 N/A WCI -18
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 9 3 78 N6 N/A WCI -1
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 14 5 67 NW12 N/A WCI 0
$$
Expires:No;;805481
FXUS61 KBTV 310913
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
413 AM EST Wed Jan 31 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
A changeable weather pattern is in store for the remainder of
the week and into the weekend. High pressure will be in control
overnight and Wednesday morning. Low pressure will affect the
region Wednesday night into Thursday with widespread light snow
that will mix with light rain on Thursday as southerly winds
bring in warmer air. A cold front will bring another round of
cold weather to end the week. Another fast moving storm system
will bring the potential for additional snow this weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 329 AM EST Wednesday...This morning will start out dry
with surface high pressure over the region, and sliding east by
about noon. A low pressure centered over Western Ontario will
slide Eastward. This brings breezy southerly winds to our area
with the increased pressure gradient. It will be windiest in the
Champlain valley with the channeling out of the south. Warm air
advection associated with aforementioned high exiting and low
approaching will cause some light snow to develop during the
afternoon from west to east across the North country. There is
not a lot of moisture associated with this system and strongest
energy will remain well north of the region, but still feel
pretty confident that we will have some light snow. There's also
a bit of shortwave energy which will ride along international
border increasing our chances for some light snow. The highest
pops are across our Northern zones for this reason. Strong winds
in the Champlain valley will aid to shadow that area. Generally
a half an inch to two inches of snow is expected this afternoon
and overnight with the highest totals in the Saint Lawrence
Valley. Weak cold front associated with aforementioned low will
finally edge into our area Thursday afternoon, therefore still a
chance for some rain and snow showers with this features
approach and eventual passage overnight. Upper level trough will
also be approaching the north country by late in the day
Thursday. Thursday will probably be the warmest day of the whole
week with temperatures warming into the mid to upper 30s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 409 AM EST Wednesday...Thursday night a strong arctic
front will be dropping south through the North Country as an
upper level trough digs into the eastern CONUS. The main
concerns with the front will be twofold. First the potential for
a flash freeze as temps drop rapidly and second, the potential
for snow squalls to develop as latest runs of the hires CAM
models continue to show non zero instability values along with
low level fgen and steep lapse rates. The snow squall parameter
is also picking up on the potential and while I'm not confident
we'll see a squall I agree with previous forecaster on
mentioning of snow squalls in the forecast grids.
Behind the front it's just cold. High pressure and cold air
advection return and we see well below normal temps with lows in
the single digits to mid teens Thursday night and highs only in
the teens Friday.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 409 AM EST Wednesday...Heading into the weekend, surface
high pressure builds in behind the arctic front for Friday night
and Saturday. Temps will run well below seasonal normals under
dry conditions, with lows in the single digits above and below
zero, and highs in the teens to low 20s. A clipper system tracks
across the Great Lakes through the Saint Lawrence valley on
Saturday evening and will bring between 1-4 inches of snow which
is sorely needed across our higher terrain. Feels like its been
too long without some decent snow across the North Country.
Behind the clipper more cold air moves in and we'll see close
to or just below normal days with highs in the 20s and lows in
the single digits.
Coming out of the weekend we'll be under a general long wave
trough with both the GFS and EC are starting to depict a
coastal low forming off the Carolinas and tracking inside of the
benchmark. If that track holds, it would lead to some decent
snow across the North Country but that far out I dont have much
confidence in track. Thus I've maintained just a general chance
for snow showers through Monday and Tuesday.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...Currently light snow at MPV with MVFR
conditions. Otherwise VFR across the area. Around 18Z Wednesday
we will have light snows starting to push into the St Lawrence
Valley. Eventually that snow will overspread the region,
bringing with it MVFR/IFR conditions. Conditions will improve to
VFR again after about 00z. Winds will be light out of the
northwest overnight before switching to the south after 18Z and
eventually gust 10-20 knots by the end of the period.
Outlook...
Thursday: VFR. Likely SHSN, Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance
SHSN.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Isolated SHSN.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHSN.
Saturday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Likely
SHSN.
Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHSN.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Nash
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...Deal
LONG TERM...Deal
AVIATION...Neiles
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