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SKIVT-L  March 2018, Week 4

SKIVT-L March 2018, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 24 Mar 2018 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (266 lines)

Expires:201803242000;;391253
FPUS51 KBTV 240736
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
333 AM EDT Sat Mar 24 2018


VTZ006-242000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
333 AM EDT Sat Mar 24 2018

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy this morning, then partly sunny with a slight
chance of snow showers this afternoon. Highs in the lower 30s.
Northwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of snow 20 percent.
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers.
Lows in the lower 20s. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of snow showers in the
morning. Highs in the upper 30s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
Chance of snow 20 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 14. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 40. Light and variable winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 15 to 20.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers. Highs
in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

$$


Expires:201803241100;;398323
ASUS41 KBTV 241030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT MAR 24 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-241100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON FAIR 31 17 56 N10 30.11R WCI 22
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 28 20 71 NW8 30.06R WCI 20
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 29 18 63 NW13G18 30.08R WCI 19
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 30 23 75 MISG 30.02R
LYNDONVILLE* CLOUDY 29 18 65 W7 30.04R WCI 21
MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 30 18 60 N8 30.09R WCI 22
RUTLAND* CLOUDY 30 19 63 NW6 30.05S WCI 24
SPRINGFIELD MOCLDY 22 19 89 CALM 30.03S
HIGHGATE* MOCLDY 28 17 64 N7 30.14R WCI 21
NEWPORT* CLOUDY 27 18 67 NW10 30.06R WCI 17
BENNINGTON MOCLDY 32 19 58 NW6 30.04S WCI 26
ISLAND POND* N/A 28 N/A N/A NW8 N/A WCI 20
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 25 N/A N/A MISG N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 25 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 16 N/A N/A SW26 N/A WCI -3

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 30 21 69 N9 N/A WCI 22
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 32 19 59 N18 N/A WCI 20

$$


Expires:No;;392914
FXUS61 KBTV 240812
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
412 AM EDT Sat Mar 24 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A trough of low pressure aloft will prevail across the North
Country this weekend with below normal temperatures and a few
scattered snow shower expected. Given the lack of moisture any
snowfall will be light and under an inch. Temperatures will be
mainly in the 30s today, but warm into the 40s to lower 50s by
Tuesday with increasing amounts of sunshine. Our next weather
maker impacts our region with rain showers Wednesday into
Thursday with temperatures in the mid 40s to lower 50s.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 342 AM EDT Saturday...Water vapor shows mid/upper level
trof across the ne conus with our next short wave energy several
hundred miles north of the international border. Based on water
vapor presentation, this system has very limited moisture, but
strong dynamics. The core of the coldest 850mb to 500mb temps
will pass to our west overnight...while northerly winds prevail
from the sfc thru 850mb. GFS/ECMWF and NAM 850mb to 500mb rh
progs continue to show deeper moisture advecting from ne to sw
across our cwa btwn 03z-09z tonight...which combined with energy
aloft will produce some very light snow showers. Once again pws
are <0.25" so any qpf/snowfall will be light and generally under
1.0" The best combination of lift/moisture will be northern
Dacks/northern Greens, including the NEK, where I will mention
high chc pops overnight.

Temps will continue to be challenging, especially with periods
of clouds and general low level cold air advection today into
tonight. Progged 925mb to 850mb thermal profiles fall 1 to 3
degrees today under northerly flow...with values btwn -8c and
-15c by 18z. Expecting steady or slowly falling temps today with
mid 30s valleys with maybe a few readings near 40f lower CT
River Valley and upper teens summits. Lows tonight will be
highly driven by the areal coverage of clouds...which should
thin aft 09z, especially slv/western dacks. I have lows from 10f
to l/m 20s cpv/lower ct river valley. If more clearing
develops, these values will be way too warm, especially with
continued snow pack and low level thermal profiles.
Sunday...will feature increasing amounts of sunshine with brisk
north winds. Progged 850mb temps hover around -10c, with good
mixing support upper teens summits to mid/upper 30s warmest
valleys. Building ridge aloft and associated subsidence will
help in development of mostly sunny skies, except
central/eastern vt where some mid level moisture/clouds will
linger.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 403 AM EDT Saturday...Sunday night will be colder as a
ridge builds over the East Coast. At the surface, a
strengthening high over southern Quebec will usher in colder,
drier air from the northeast that will allow 850 mb temps to
once again drop below -10C over the forecast area. This will set
the stage for a night of fairly strong radiational cooling
under clear skies and light winds. Temperatures over valleys
will drop into the teens overnight and into the single digits in
the northern Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom.

Monday will start off crisp and chilly. During the day however,
expect temperatures to rebound and supply a fairly pleasant
March day. The surface high will shift eastward to the Canadian
Maritimes, putting the forecast area in the region of warmer,
southerly/southwesterly return flow behind the high by late
afternoon. The combination of warm air advection (850 mb temps
progged to warm 5+ degrees during the daytime hours), and the
strong March sun will allow daytime temperatures to climb to
back into the upper 30s/low 40s.

Monday night, warm air advection will continue under return
flow. Despite the warming air mass, clear skies overnight will
allow surface temperatures to drop to the teens/20s in the
valleys and once again into the single digits in the northern
Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom. This should be the last night
of the week with below average lows however, as Tuesday during
the day we'll see a pattern change with noticeably warmer
weather commencing.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 403 AM EDT Saturday...High clouds will start to move in
from southwest to northeast Tuesday morning as southwesterly
warm air advection/moisture advection kicks into full gear.
By this time, the aforementioned high pressure will have retreated
to the east coast of Canada, drawing behind it a long, fetch of
deep southwesterly flow extending from the Gulf Coast through
New England. Meanwhile, further west, a trough will dig over the
Rockies and into the central US, further reinforcing the
southwesterly fetch downstream. In terms of sensible weather,
this will bring us increasing coverage and thickening of clouds
starting Tuesday along with daytime high temperatures that will
top out near 50 Tuesday and only fall into the upper 20s/low 30s
Tuesday night. By Wednesday morning, increasing isentropic
ascent over the area as a warm front pushes northeastward will
support some precipitation. Model progged precipitable water
values of 0.75+ inch Wednesday indicate plenty of moisture
available, however deep southwesterly flow will lead to highly
variable coverage of precipitation controlled by terrain. The
Saint Lawrence Valley and the western Adirondacks will see some
measurable rain Wednesday out of this setup, however the
majority of areas further east will be mainly downsloped with
just some isolated showers sneaking in. This precipitation will
mainly be in the form of rain, however higher terrain could see
some snow or a rain/mix during the nighttime hours.

Wednesday night, the pattern will temporarily become more zonal.
This will act to cut off our better moisture feed from the
southwest, resulting in a brief dry spell in the weather. The
chance of precipitation then quickly returns Thursday night
however as both northern and southern stream shortwave energy
act to deepen the upstream trough over the central US. Daytime
highs both Wednesday and Thursday will once again top out around
50 in many locations, a good 5-10 degrees above normal for late
March.

Looking further ahead into the early weekend, precipitation
chances continue as the upstream upper level trough continues to
send impulses through New England. As far as temperatures go,
Saturday looks to be the end of this week's warmup thanks to
colder, northwesterly flow resuming after the trough axis
finally pushes through.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 06Z Sunday...VFR conditions will prevail at all taf
sites through today...before some lowering cigs and mvfr
potentially develops at slk/mpv aft 00z Sunday. Expect mid level
clouds this morning will slowly dissipate, before additional
mid level moisture and energy rotates back into our taf sites
this aftn. A few scattered snow showers are possible mainly over
the mountain taf sites overnight...with limited vis
restrictions. North winds 5 to 10 knots with some gusts up to 20
knots possible today.

Outlook...

Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance
SHSN.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...RSD
LONG TERM...RSD
AVIATION...Taber

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
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December 2008, Week 3
December 2008, Week 2
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November 2008, Week 4
November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
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November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 3
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January 2005, Week 1
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November 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 1
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November 2003, Week 3
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October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 3
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August 2002, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
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March 2001, Week 1
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February 2000, Week 4
February 2000, Week 3
February 2000, Week 2
February 2000, Week 1
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January 2000, Week 3
January 2000, Week 2
January 2000, Week 1
December 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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