Expires:201806112000;;763847
FPUS51 KBTV 110705
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
303 AM EDT Mon Jun 11 2018


VTZ006-112000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
303 AM EDT Mon Jun 11 2018

.TODAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Light and variable winds. 
.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable winds. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds around 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 

$$


Expires:201806111100;;771883
ASUS41 KBTV 111030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON JUN 11 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-111100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      45  40  82 E3        30.11R                  
MONTPELIER     FAIR      39  39 100 CALM      30.14R                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      36  36 100 CALM      30.13R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     40  38  93 MISG      30.10R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      42  37  81 CALM      30.12R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      41  38  86 CALM      30.09S                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      46  40  79 CALM      30.08R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      44  41  89 CALM      30.09R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      45  41  88 CALM      30.11S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      39  37  94 CALM      30.13R                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      50  42  74 CALM      30.04R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     32 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     36 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     41 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     41 N/A N/A E6          N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     54  46  76 S1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     50  43  76 W9          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     54  43  66 N13         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;765107
FXUS61 KBTV 110740
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
340 AM EDT Mon Jun 11 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure shifting from the North Country southeastward to
the Mid-Atlantic Coast tonight will support increasing 
southwesterly flow over our forecast area, resulting in a 
warming trend through Tuesday. A weak cold frontal passage 
Wednesday will bring some rain shows and possibly a few 
thunderstorms through the day. A few lingering showers will 
remain through the end of the work week as the weather pattern 
remains unsettled, but the weekend looks dry and warm as ridging
builds in aloft. 

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 310 AM EDT Monday...This morning will be the last morning
with unseasonably chilly overnight lows before the warm air 
advection commences this afternoon. High pressure centered over
eastern Ontario continues to edge southeastward this morning. 
East of the high, a remarkably cold air mass for this time of 
year exists over the Canadian Maritimes, with 850 temperatures 
down to -8C (about 2 standard deviations below normal). 
Anticyclonic flow around the Canadian High will attempt to pull 
down some of this colder air to New England through this 
morning, although the North Country will remain on the periphery
of the core of the coldest air. 850 mb temps will bottom out 
around +4 to 5 degrees C this morning over Vermont/northern NY. 
The cold and dry air mass overhead coupled with subsidence and 
light winds under the surface high will result in early morning 
temperatures near or below freezing once again in some areas of 
the northern Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom. Will likely see 
some patchy frost in these areas over the next couple of hours, 
but this threat will quickly diminish after 5 or 6 AM once the 
sun rises. 

The center of the high will continue to shift southeastward this
afternoon, introducing southwesterly return flow to the forecast
area by the afternoon hours. At this point, expect warm air
advection to commence as we tap into a much warmer, moister air
mass to our west. High temperatures this afternoon will be a few
degrees warmer than yesterday, and Tuesday morning lows will be
5 to 10 degrees warmer than this morning's observations. Warm
air advection intensifies Tuesday as southwesterly flow
increases in magnitude. Expect highs in the upper 70s to low 80s
Tuesday, along with some gusty southerly/southwesterly winds. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 310 AM EDT Monday...Moisture will continue to increase across 
the area Tuesday night as west to southwest flow aloft 
develops. However...forcing for convection appears to still be 
lagging a bit and thus feel Tuesday night will remain dry. 
Increasing clouds/dew points and southerly winds should bring 
about warmer overnight lows with readings in the mid 50s to mid 
60s expected. Everything remains on track for increasing chances
for convection on Wednesday...especially in the afternoon. 
Shortwave trough and its associated cold front approach from the
west Wednesday afternoon. Atmosphere should be able to 
destabilize ahead of the front with CAPE values roughly around 
500 J/kg. This combined with better forcing in the afternoon 
should bring about the threat for some thunderstorms. However...
meteorological parameters at this time suggests storms may have
a hard time getting organized and thus strong/severe threat 
appears to be low at this time. Highs on Wednesday should 
generally be in the upper 70s to lower 80s. 

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 310 AM EDT Monday...Upper trough/cold front move across the 
area during the first part of the night on Wednesday and will 
continue to carry a chance of showers and a slight chance for 
thunder. Best forcing shifts east overnight and with the loss of
instability...precipitation threat should decrease. Area 
remains in some upper troughiness on Thursday and cannot rule 
out the possibility of some afternoon showers and will continue 
in the forecast. Upper ridge gradually builds into the region on
Friday and threat for showers will decrease. Cannot rule out a 
couple of showers over the higher terrain...but most areas will 
remain dry. The dry weather continues into the weekend along 
with a pronounced warming trend. Highs on Thursday will range 
from the upper 60s to upper 70s...but as upper ridge builds in 
for the weekend highs will be above normal for the weekend with 
mid 70s to lower 80s on Saturday and in the lower to mid 80s on 
Sunday. Noticed some rather warm 925 millibar temperatures for 
Sunday and would think the potential exists for someone in the 
larger valleys to see a high approaching 90 degrees. Will 
continue to monitor. Have trended warmer on maximum temperatures
for Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 06Z Tuesday...Widespread VFR conditions expected to
continue as we remain under surface high pressure. There is a 
potential for the development of some very localized freezing 
fog again between 09Z and 11Z at KSLK, but column is so dry 
that confidence is not high in fog development. If fog does 
develop, expect it to lift quickly after sunrise by 11Z, similar
to what occurred yesterday morning. Light and variable winds 
overnight will become northerly/northeasterly at 5-10 kts this 
afternoon, then become light and variable again tonight.

Outlook...

Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance
SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA.
Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...RSD
NEAR TERM...RSD
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...RSD

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