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SKIVT-L  June 2018, Week 3

SKIVT-L June 2018, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 19 Jun 2018 06:50:01 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (233 lines)

Expires:201806192000;;771662
FPUS51 KBTV 190940
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
537 AM EDT Tue Jun 19 2018


VTZ006-192000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
537 AM EDT Tue Jun 19 2018

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy this morning, then clearing. Highs in the
lower 70s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Clear. Patchy dense fog after midnight. Lows in the upper
40s. Northwest winds around 10 mph until midnight, becoming light
and variable. 
.WEDNESDAY...Patchy dense fog in the morning. Sunny. Highs in the
upper 70s. Light and variable winds, becoming west around 10 mph in
the afternoon. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Light and
variable winds. 
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around
10 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain. Highs in the upper
70s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Rain likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 60 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Rain likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. 

$$


Expires:201806191100;;773130
ASUS41 KBTV 191030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE JUN 19 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-191100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      63  56  78 N17       29.81R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    61  58  90 NW10      29.84R                  
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    61  57  87 NW10G20   29.80R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     63  58  83 MISG      29.75R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      60  55  82 W6G16     29.80R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    62  57  83 N15       29.81R                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      63  59  87 NW8G16    29.79R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      69  59  70 VRB3      29.76R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    59  55  87 N14       29.84R                  
NEWPORT*       MOCLDY    59  54  84 NW10G22   29.80R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    67  59  75 N5        29.79R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     59 N/A N/A N3          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     59 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     61 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     50 N/A N/A NW46        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     63  57  82 MISG        N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     63  55  77 NW17        N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  55  72 NW13        N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;771711
FXUS61 KBTV 190941
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
541 AM EDT Tue Jun 19 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will bring mainly dry and seasonably mild to warm
weather to the region through the end of the work week. The 
next chance of appreciable rainfall occurs by next weekend as 
low pressure lifts northeast from the Ohio Valley.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 541 AM EDT Tuesday...Minor update to keep some cold 
advective lower stratus across mainly northern mountain locales 
over the next few hours. From later this morning onward a 
deepening boundary layer fosters turbulent mixing and dry air 
entrainment into lower levels allowing skies to trend partly to 
mostly sunny as the day wears on - all covered well in the 
current forecast. Have a great day.

Prior discussion...
Yesterday's surface front which brough rounds of strong 
thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall (daily records at KBTV 
(2.29") and KMSS (3.31")) continues to sink south and away from 
our region early this morning. Any lingering light showers in 
the pre- dawn hours will end as skies trend partly to mostly 
sunny by later this morning and high pressure bridges east from 
the Upper Great Lakes. High temperatures will range through the 
70s under moderate north/northwesterly flow with occasional 
gusts into the 15- 20 mph range. With dewpoints dropping into 
the 40s humidity levels will feel much more tolerable. 

Mainly clear and quiet conditions are expected by tonight as the 
surface high builds atop the region. Low temperatures on the 
seasonably cool side, ranging mainly through the 40s to around 50 
though with typical variability often seen under light nocturnal 
flow regimes.

Airmass then undergoes moderation by Wednesday as high pressure 
skirts east and surface flow trends southerly for a brief period. 
High temperatures to average in the 77 to 83 degree range, or some 4-
8 degrees above today's readings though humidity levels should 
remain at moderate levels. Another surface front will approach the 
international border by late afternoon with some increase in cloud 
cover across the northern tier and just an outside shot of a 
scattered shower or sprinkle. Unlike its predecessor this front will 
only have limited moisture to work with so only low-end pops around 
20 percent will be offered in these areas with dry weather 
continuing south.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 336 AM EDT Tuesday...Generally looking at quiet 
conditions for the middle to end of the week with the only 
feature to highlight being a weak cold front dropping southward 
out of Canada Wednesday night. Not a whole lot of forcing noted 
with this feature, with the best chance of some light showers 
being early in the night along the international border. By 
Thursday morning, high pressure will be building in with sunny 
days and clear nights expected through Friday night. Behind the 
front temps will run on the cool side of normal with lows 
Wednesday and Thursday nights in the 40s and 50s, and highs only
in the upper 60s to low 70s on Thursday. Ahead of the weekend 
though, increasing south/southwesterly flow will warm temps back
to summer-like levels for Friday with highs in the mid 70s to 
low 80s and lows in the mid to upper 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 336 AM EDT Tuesday...Looking out towards the weekend, 
unsettled conditions look to return to the North Country as low 
pressure tracks northeast out of the Mississippi River Valley 
Friday night and through the Great Lakes and Northeast states 
Saturday and Sunday. Overall timing of precipitation doesn't 
favor widespread thunderstorm development with the best 
isentropic lift and deep layer moisture moving into the forecast
area Saturday night, but the potential for another round of 
heavy rain looks plausible with modeled PWATs pushing back up 
towards 2" in the warm sector early Sunday morning. A muggy and 
showery day looks likely for Sunday with a cold front passage 
coming late in the day, followed by a return of high pressure 
and drier/cooler conditions to start the work week.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...Frontal zone clears south and away from
all terminals in the 06-12Z time frame as scattered lingering
showers end and any brief MVFR/IFR cigs trend VFR. Winds 
generally light northwesterly from 5 to 10 kts. After 12Z VFR 
continues as skies trend mainly SKC after 18Z. Winds continue 
north/northwesterly from 6-12 kts and occasionally gusty into 
the 15-20 kt range by afternoon before abating to light and 
variable after 00Z.

Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. Chance SHRA.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Daily rainfall records were set at Burlington, VT (KBTV) and
Massena, NY (KMSS) yesterday (6/18).

For Burlington, 2.29 inches of rain was measured, breaking the 
old record of 1.84 inches set in 1922.

For Massena, 3.31 inches of rain was measured, breaking the old
record of 1.75 inches set in 1990.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...JMG
CLIMATE...JMG

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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