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SKIVT-L  June 2018, Week 3

SKIVT-L June 2018, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 20 Jun 2018 06:50:01 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (228 lines)

Expires:201806202000;;817122
FPUS51 KBTV 200729
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
326 AM EDT Wed Jun 20 2018


VTZ006-202000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
326 AM EDT Wed Jun 20 2018

.TODAY...Patchy dense fog this morning. Sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. West winds around 10 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers until
midnight, then mostly cloudy with a chance of showers after
midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds around 10 mph until
midnight, becoming light and variable. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Light and variable winds,
becoming north around 10 mph in the afternoon. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds around
10 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Light and variable winds. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 70s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Occasional showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Chance
of rain 80 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 

$$


Expires:201806201100;;824363
ASUS41 KBTV 201030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUN 20 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-201100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      53  49  86 CALM      29.90S                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       45  45 100 CALM      29.95S VSB 3/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       45  45 100 CALM      29.92S VSB<1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     47  47 100 MISG      29.90S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       45  44  96 CALM      29.94R VSB 1/4          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      47  46  97 CALM      29.92R                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      49  46  90 SE9       29.93R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      47  47 100 CALM      29.94R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      53  51  94 S5        29.89R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      48  47  96 CALM      29.91S                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      48  46  93 CALM      29.92R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     41 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     41 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     46 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     50 N/A N/A W20         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     59  52  77 S7          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     57  52  82 S12         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     57  55  94 S6          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;817340
FXUS61 KBTV 200734
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
334 AM EDT Wed Jun 20 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front dropping southward out of Canada will bring a chance of 
showers to northern areas this evening through midnight, with high 
pressure returning for Thursday and Friday. Unsettled conditions are 
expected for the weekend with periods of rain likely, along with the 
chance for a few rumbles of thunder.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 333 AM EDT Wednesday...Main weather feature of interest 
for the next 36 hours will be a cold front dropping southward 
from Canada this evening through the overnight hours. Ahead of 
the front, mostly sunny and dry conditions are expected for 
today with temperatures about 5-10 degrees warmer than yesterday
in the mid 70s to low 80s. Cold front approaches the 
international border around sunset with the latest 00Z CAM 
models indicating a little more instability and forcing compared
to previous runs so have bumped up PoPs into the 30-50% range 
across northern areas through midnight. Instability is only on 
order of a couple hundred J/kg of CAPE through about 02Z so 
included just a slight chance of thunder along the border 
through that time. Otherwise, convective activity fizzles as it 
moves south after sunset so central and southern areas will 
likely remain dry. There will be a marked increase in sky cover 
with the frontal passage which will help to keep overnight temps
milder than the previous night in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

For Thursday, high pressure returns behind the departing front 
with northerly flow in the low/mid levels keeping temps on the 
cool side back in the upper 60s to low 70s despite full 
sunshine.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 333 AM EDT Wednesday...The Thursday night thru Friday 
night period will feature generally tranquil weather as sfc high
pressure builds from sern Ontario/swrn Quebec esewd across 
northern New England, and eventually into the Canadian Maritimes
by Friday aftn into Friday night. Should see good radiational 
cooling conditions with light winds and clear skies Thursday 
night. Lows generally mid-upr 40s, but would anticipate some upr
30s in the normally colder locations within the nrn Adirondack 
region and across sheltered locations of far nern VT. Should see
a moderating air mass on Friday as south winds develop around 
10 mph. Relatively low humidity levels (2-m dewpoints in the upr
40s to lower 50s) will continue, but high temperatures will be 
warmer on Friday, reaching the upr 70s to lower 80s. Will begin 
to see some fringe effects of closed 700-500mb low expected 
across the Ohio Valley Friday night. As this system slowly 
shifts newd, increasing cloudiness is expected Friday night. The
00Z ECMWF suggests associated precipitation remains south and 
west of our region Friday night, but the 00Z GFS is a bit 
quicker to bring potential rain showers into nrn NY after 
midnight. At this point, indicated just 20-30 PoPs for Franklin 
NY and St. Lawrence counties during the pre-dawn period 
Saturday. The increasing cloud cover will result in milder 
overnight temperatures, with pre-dawn lows mainly in the 50s, 
except near 60F for the St. Lawrence Valley.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 333 AM EDT Wednesday...Both the 00Z ECMWF/GFS suggest 
unsettled weather this weekend as mid- level low over the Ohio 
Valley is forecast to become an open wave and lift newd across 
NY state on Saturday, and eventually across nrn New England for 
Saturday night. A second mid-level trough in nwly flow moves 
across the North Country late Sunday into early Monday, with the
potential for additional scattered showers. Precipitable water 
values will be moderately high but not excessive. Unlike the 2"+
PW experienced this past Monday, will see values 1.5-1.7" in 
advance of the Ohio Valley system for Saturday. Overall, present
indications suggest cloudiness and weak mid-level lapse rates 
will keep instability low (SBCAPE < 1000 j/kg). Anticipate 
widespread showers Saturday, and included a chance of embedded 
thunderstorms west of the Green Mtns, including the Champlain 
Valley and all of nrn NY (slight chance tstm east of the Green 
Mtns). Severe storms not currently expected. Highs on Saturday 
mainly in the 70s. Maintained 60-80 PoPs for Saturday night with
lows in the upr 50s to lower 60s. May see a break in the shower
activity on Sunday - especially during the morning hrs - but 
with trailing shortwave trough approaching from sern Ontario, 
should see another period of widespread showers late Sunday into
Sunday night/early Monday. Gradual clearing is anticipated 
Monday night into Tuesday. Highs on Monday only in the lower 
70s, but increased prospects for sunshine should result in highs
in the 75-80F range for valley locations on Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...Outside of some patchy IFR fog at KMPV
and KSLK overnight, conditions will be largely VFR through the
period. Overnight SKC will trend towards a few cirrus and fair
weather cumulus this afternoon before a low/mid level deck
increases from the north late afternoon onward as a cold front 
approaches. Could see a few showers along the international 
border to the Adirondacks and central Vermont from sunset through
midnight, with brief reductions in vsby possible.

Outlook...

Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA.
Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Likely SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Banacos
LONG TERM...Banacos
AVIATION...Lahiff

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
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September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
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July 2007, Week 5
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July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
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June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
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April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
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January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
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October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
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September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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October 2005, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
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September 2005, Week 2
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August 2005, Week 5
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 3
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 1
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November 2004, Week 2
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October 2004, Week 3
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October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
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September 2004, Week 1
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August 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 5
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July 2004, Week 3
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June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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June 2002, Week 5
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April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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