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July 2018, Week 5

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Sun, 29 Jul 2018 06:50:02 -0400
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Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
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Expires:201807292000;;220861
FPUS51 KBTV 290734
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
332 AM EDT Sun Jul 29 2018


VTZ006-292000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
332 AM EDT Sun Jul 29 2018

.TODAY...Patchy dense fog this morning. Partly sunny with a
20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear until midnight, then becoming partly cloudy.
Lows in the upper 50s. Light and variable winds. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Light and variable
winds. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Light and variable
winds. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Light and variable
winds. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 70s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Highs around 80. Chance of rain
60 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
70s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
Chance of rain 40 percent. 

$$


Expires:201807291100;;227617
ASUS41 KBTV 291030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUL 29 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-291100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    65  61  87 CALM      30.02S                  
MONTPELIER     FAIR      55  55 100 CALM      30.07S                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      56  56 100 CALM      30.04R FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     61  61 100 MISG      30.01R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      56  56  97 CALM      30.05S FOG              
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      59  58  95 CALM      30.05R                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      59  57  93 E6        30.06R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       61  61 100 CALM      30.05R VSB 1/4          
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    64  61  89 CALM      30.02R                  
NEWPORT*       MOCLDY    58  58 100 SW3       30.04R                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      58  56  93 CALM      30.08R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     55 N/A N/A NW2         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     52 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     61 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     54 N/A N/A W22         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     68  59  73 W8G16       N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     68  59  73 W9          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  66 100 SE2         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;221204
FXUS61 KBTV 290754
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
354 AM EDT Sun Jul 29 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Surface high pressure building into the region will provide 
generally dry conditions to the North Country through much of 
Tuesday outside of a few isolated showers across northern areas 
today. Unsettled weather returns late Tuesday with showers and 
thunderstorms threatening each remaining day of the work week, 
especially Tuesday night through Wednesday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 353 AM EDT Sunday...Overall trend for today through 
Monday will be towards drier conditions as surface high pressure
currently over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley looks to edge 
eastward into the mid-Atlantic and Northeast States. Aloft we'll
still dominated by a broad longwave trough today with yet 
another weak shortwave trough progged to skim along the 
international border this morning through early afternoon. 
Currently we're seeing a few isolated showers moving across far 
northern New York associated with this feature, and while 
conditions will be mainly dry for most areas today, especially 
central and southern areas, locations along and near the 
Canadian border will likely see isolated showers continue to 
pop-up and quickly diminish through the early afternoon before 
the trough shifts east of the area. Temps will be very seasonal 
today topping out in the mid 70s to low 80s, and humidity will 
be more comfortable as well compared to the past few days as 
afternoon dewpoints fall into the 50s.

For tonight through Monday, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies are 
expected with some locally dense fog possible again tonight in the 
climo favored river valleys of Vermont. Lows will be very 
comfortable ranging through the 50s, and temps Monday will be just 
slightly above normal as increasing south/southwesterly flow will 
bump 925mb temps up to around +20C supporting highs in the upper 70s 
to mid 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 353 AM EDT Sunday...Upper ridging starts to break down 
Monday night and southwest flow aloft becomes established on 
Tuesday. However...deeper moisture within the southwest flow 
aloft will take its time getting here and will be more focused 
on northern New York later on Tuesday. As a result...have kept 
Monday night dry and then increase precipitation chances across 
northern New York as the day wears on. It also appears Vermont 
will stay relatively dry through the period with just a slight 
chance of showers or storms later Tuesday afternoon. High 
temperatures on Tuesday will be in the upper 70s to middle 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 353 AM EDT Sunday...Precipitation chances increase over 
the entire area Tuesday night and Wednesday as better forcing 
occurs over the area from surface front and upper trough just to
our west. Showers will be likely with a slight chance for 
thunderstorms. Southwest flow aloft remains in place for the 
remainder of the period and will just be a matter of any extra 
forcing from a shortwave trough for example to move through the 
flow and enhance the precipitation potential. Otherwise with 
plenty of moisture around can see a scenario of diurnally driven
convection...mainly showers but some thunderstorms...Thursday 
through Saturday and essentially have a chance for this 
throughout the period. High temperatures will through much of 
the extended period will be in the mid 70s to lower 80s...with a
few mid 80s possible. Lows will generally be in the upper 50 to
upper 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Mainly VFR conditions are expected through
the period. Exceptions will be VLIFR fog at MPV, and briefly at
KBTV, along with MVFR cigs at KSLK through about 12Z.
Thereafter, fog burns off with VFR cigs area-wide through the
remainder of the day and into Sunday night. Light to calm winds
overnight trend WNW at 5-10 knots during the daylight hours.

Outlook...

Sunday Night: VFR. Patchy BR.
Monday: VFR. Patchy BR.
Monday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Patchy BR.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA, Patchy BR.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Likely SHRA,
Chance TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance
SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Lahiff

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