Expires:201808052000;;573322
FPUS51 KBTV 050713
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
310 AM EDT Sun Aug 5 2018
VTZ006-052000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
310 AM EDT Sun Aug 5 2018
.TODAY...Partly sunny this morning, then clearing. Patchy dense fog
this morning. Highs in the mid 80s. Light and variable winds.
.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Light and variable winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Light and variable winds,
becoming southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain
40 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Humid with lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Humid with highs in the
mid 80s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 60 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
Chance of rain 50 percent.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s.
$$
Expires:201808051100;;581525
ASUS41 KBTV 051030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN AUG 05 2018
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-051100-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOCLDY 66 63 90 S3 30.13R
MONTPELIER FOG 62 62 100 CALM 30.19R VSB 1/4
MORRISVILLE FOG 63 63 100 CALM 30.15R VSB 1/4
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 62 62 100 MISG 30.14R
LYNDONVILLE* FOG 60 60 97 CALM 30.18R VSB 1/2
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 61 60 97 CALM 30.14S
RUTLAND* MOCLDY 63 63 100 SE7 30.17S FOG
SPRINGFIELD FOG 62 62 100 CALM 30.16R VSB 1/4
HIGHGATE* FAIR 66 65 97 S3 30.11R
NEWPORT* FOG 63 63 100 SE5 30.15S VSB 1/2
BENNINGTON MOCLDY 58 57 97 CALM 30.18R FOG
ISLAND POND* N/A 61 N/A N/A S1 N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 55 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 61 N/A N/A CALM N/A
UNION VILLAGE* N/A 63 N/A N/A MISG N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 61 N/A N/A W17 N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 68 66 94 S13 N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 68 66 94 S17 N/A
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 66 68 100 S10 N/A
$$
Expires:No;;576431
FXUS61 KBTV 050825
AFDBTV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
425 AM EDT Sun Aug 5 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
Today begins another stretch of hot and humid conditions as
drier weather moves over the region. Temperatures will warm into
the upper 80s to lower 90s through early part of the work week.
Relief will come on Wednesday as unsettled weather returns
through the rest of the week. Expect more seasonable high
temperatures with above normal lows through the end of the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 421 AM EDT Sunday...Fog is lighting up on IR satellite
this evening and is fairly widespread in the valleys across
both sides of the Champlain Valley as welll as much of the rest
of Vermont. Fog isn't quite as prevalent in the Adirondacks
however there are a few pockets showing some fog potential in
the Saint Lawrence Valley. This should continue through the
rest of the evening as high pressure continues to build aloft.
During the daytime today warm air pushes in over the region.
925mb temps will warm into the 23-25C range which supports temps
in the upper 80s to near 90 as I'm adding 9C to get surface
temps given mostly sunny skies today. With dewpoints still in
the mid to upper 60s anticipate the air to feel really muggy
this afternoon. Winds will be fairly light and so we'll feel the
full impacts of the heat this afternoon. Based on the forecast
heat indexes we'll be slightly lower that heat index thresholds
so I've opted not to issue a heat advisory but plan to note the
potential heat issues via an SPS later this morning.
This evening I anticipate similar conditions with fog
potentially building in. The likelihood of fog will be mainly
across eastern Vermont and the Connecticut river valley.
Anticipate some cloud cover to build in over northern New York
as the ridge shifts east ahead of an upper level trough. That
cloud cover should inhibit much fog development over northern
New York.
During the day on Monday, first and foremost it will be hot and
humid and likely a heat advisory will be needed during the
afternoon for both the Saint Lawrence and Champlain Valleys.
Expected heat index values increase to 95+ by mid morning and
will stay higher than our 95 degree threshold for much of the
day. Second, a weak frontal boundary will be pushing towards the
international border during the afternoon and while most
guidance indicates it should weaken and fall apart before it
reaches the North Country. However if it doesn't, the airmass
over us will be supportive for some stronger storms to develop.
Lapse rates are moderately steep (6.0-7.5) in the 850-500mb
range and decent shear profiles with upwards of 40kts in the
0-6km range. So we'll need to pay attention to see whether or
not any of these showers manifest themselves over the North
Country.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 313 AM EDT Sunday...Hot and muggy conditions will
continue through the short term period as we remain under
southwest flow ahead of an upper trough. A series of vort maxes
will speed through this upper flow. Meanwhile, at the surface, a
cold front will approach from the Great Lakes Monday night
before hanging up somewhere near or across the North Country
Tuesday into Tuesday night. Monday night will be uncomfortably
muggy with lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s, but expect we
will see a brief break in the precipitation. However, showers
and thunderstorms will redevelop on Tuesday as the
aforementioned surface front/pre-frontal trough approach from
the Great Lakes. Models differ in how much southeastward
progress the front makes, but consensus seems to be that it will
move across the St Lawrence Valley and into the Adirondacks
Tuesday by Tuesday evening, then hang up somewhere across
northern VT/NY through the night. Very moist air will stream
northward ahead of this front, and PWATs will once again
approach 2 inches by Tuesday evening. This influx of moisture
combined with the front and an upper jet will allow showers and
thunderstorms to develop by Tuesday afternoon and persist into
Tuesday night. Lapse rates are unimpressive given the moist
sounding profile, but shear will be an ample 30-40 kt. Tuesday's
temperature forecast is a bit tricky given the differences in
exact frontal placement, but have gone a few degrees cooler for
Tuesday's highs than Monday, especially over northern areas
where frontal passage would occur first. Regardless, Tuesday
night will be another muggy one with lows in the mid and upper
60s.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 313 AM EDT Sunday...Unsettled weather will prevail
through next week as we will see several upper shortwaves push
across the region. Such features are notoriously hard to
pinpoint in timing and placement, so have a slight chance/low
chance PoPs just about every day for mid-late next week. One
saving grace is that it does look to cool down back closer to
normal with slightly less humid conditions by the end of the
week.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Expect generally VFR through the taf
period except for VLIFR fog and low stratus at RUT/SLK/MPV
through the overnight hours. By 12-13z expect all sites to
return to VFR and VFR will prevail through the rest of the taf
period under mostly clear skies and light winds.
Outlook...
Monday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance TSRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance TSRA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Deal
NEAR TERM...Deal
SHORT TERM...Hastings
LONG TERM...Hastings
AVIATION...Deal
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