Expires:201811050900;;244076
FPUS51 KBTV 050307
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1004 PM EST Sun Nov 4 2018


VTZ006-050900-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
1004 PM EST Sun Nov 4 2018

.REST OF TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Light and
variable winds, becoming southeast around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then cloudy with a chance of
rain showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
in the mid 30s. Chance of snow 30 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Highs
in the lower 40s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers. Highs around
40. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Snow or rain showers likely. Lows in the lower 30s.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Snow showers likely or a chance of rain showers. Highs
in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.VETERANS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 30s. 

$$


Expires:201811051200;;261438
ASUS41 KBTV 051130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON NOV 05 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-051200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      34  26  72 S6        30.43F WCI  29          
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    32  27  81 CALM      30.52F                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      32  27  81 SW6       30.50F WCI  26          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     27  27 100 MISG      30.51F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      27  27  98 S3        30.51F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      37  28  69 SE12      30.42F WCI  30          
RUTLAND*       FAIR      37  30  75 SE18G25   30.45F WCI  27          
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    30  30 100 CALM      30.54F                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      34  28  78 CALM      30.42F                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      30  27  86 S5        30.49S WCI  26          
BENNINGTON     FAIR      41  32  70 SE7       30.42F                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     25 N/A N/A E6          N/A  WCI  18          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     25 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     30 N/A N/A SW5         N/A  WCI  25          
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     25 N/A N/A SE21G37     N/A  WCI  10          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     39  32  75 S13G18      N/A  WCI  32          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     43  32  65 S30         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     37  32  81 S12         N/A  WCI  30          

$$


Expires:No;;255743
FXUS61 KBTV 050909
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
409 AM EST Mon Nov 5 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Warm front lifts across the North Country on Monday into Monday 
night as high pressure moves off to the northeast. This front will 
push warmer air north, along with increased clouds and chances for 
showers on Monday into early Tuesday. While precipitation amounts 
will be minimal with this system, successive systems will bring more 
widespread precipitation Tuesday and Tuesday evening. While the rest 
of the week looks to be dry, strong gusty winds are expected behind 
the precipitation mainly across the St. Lawrence Valley late Tuesday 
night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 409 AM EST Monday...Today will see the first of multiple short
waves move through the CWA in the form of a warm front. Mid and
lower level moisture will move in from southwest to northeast,
though lingering dry air from the retreating ridge will slow much of
the potential chances for precipitation through the early part of
the day. QPF during the daytime looks to minimal, 0.10" at most
across most of he region, with the NEK remaining dry throughout the
day. Mountain peaks could see some snow/sleet mix with below
freezing temps between 925mb and 850mb, but with the influx of warm
air aloft, all of the precipitation should shift back all liquid by
the afternoon. Hi-Res models pick up on some breezy downslope
southeast winds along the west slopes and eastern shores in NY along
Lake Champlain, with localized gusts 30 to 35 mph possible after 15z
through sunset.

Monday night will see the increase in areal coverage of light rain
as the next round of deeper moisture arrives from the south. While
QPF will be a little higher, mainly across the southern and eastern
VT counties, amounts will be 0.25" or less overnight.

Tuesday will be wet to start and then breezy later in the day as the
precipitation winds down. an Occluded front will bring above seasonal
temperatures and more moisture into the region with QPF ranging from
0.30" - 0.70" during the day. Strong diffluent flow aloft and the
shortwave rotating thru above seasonably warm and weakly stable
airmass (a few spots with Showalter around 0) along with 500mb jet
from SSW of 110+ kts and 850 mb of 60+ kts immediate along front
could mean low- topped convection/fine-line scenario. There is a
strong warm frontal inversion thus strongest winds should stay
mainly aloft.

Temperatures will rise all day reaching the 50s by early evening
Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 359 AM EST Monday...Intensifying surface low moving NNE 
across Great Lakes with occluded front already exiting area by 
Tuesday night with strong wind field across area. Expecting a 
dry slot behind the frontal passage early Tuesday night. Strong 
gusty winds 925mb/850mb winds in the 40+/50+ knots respectively 
as cold air advection allows for some mixing...esp St. Lawrence 
Valley with channeled flow to boot where wind gusts over 40 mph 
are possible.

On Wednesday...surface gradient gradually weakens with strongest 
wind field aloft exiting NE as well. It will still be breezy due to 
better mixing. Gradual cold air advection aloft and cyclonic flow 
across Great Lakes means best chance for clouds and showers/snow 
showers will be in Adirondacks and Northern VT. Snow showers at 
highest peaks but not til late Wed-Wed ngt.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 359 AM EST Monday...The long term features mainly a
cyclonic flow under a broad trof aloft and a gradual cooling 
through the period. 

Wed ngt and Thu look fairly dry with lots of clouds, especially 
north and some light lake effect mainly rain showers across the 
Adirondacks and northern VT with partly to mostly cloud skies south. 

The best chance of showers or steady rain will be later Friday-Fri 
night as the trof deepens with a shortwave moving through the area 
followed by even colder air for next weekend. It will continue on 
the cloudy side with a continuation of clouds and lake effect snow 
showers from time to time across the northern areas on 
Saturday...lessening in coverage come Saturday night-Sunday.

Temperatures will gradually cool with highs in the L-M40s Thu 
gradually cooling to the 30s by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 06Z Tuesday...VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF
forecast period at all terminals. High clouds and light winds
are expected during the overnight hours. Increasing and 
lowering clouds are expected after sunrise as mid and upper 
level moisture increases from south to north across the region. 
Areas of light rain with mainly VFR conditions arrive around 18z
Monday at MPV and RUT, then spreading Northwards. Southeast 
winds will also increase at 10 to 15 kts with gusts up to 30 
kts at RUT and PBG. 

Outlook...

Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Definite SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Wednesday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 35 kt. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Friday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance
SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Verasamy
NEAR TERM...Verasamy
SHORT TERM...SLW
LONG TERM...SLW
AVIATION...Verasamy

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