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SKIVT-L  November 2018, Week 3

SKIVT-L November 2018, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 20 Nov 2018 06:50:01 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (279 lines)

Expires:201811202100;;584134
FPUS51 KBTV 201121
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
619 AM EST Tue Nov 20 2018


VTZ006-202100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
619 AM EST Tue Nov 20 2018

.TODAY...Areas of fog this morning. Snow. Snow accumulation of 1 to
3 inches. Highs in the lower 30s. Light and variable winds. Chance
of snow 90 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers, mainly until
midnight. Lows around 16. West winds around 10 mph. Chance of snow
50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers in the morning,
then snow showers likely with possible snow squalls likely in the
afternoon. Snow may be heavy at times in the afternoon. Snow
accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Highs in the mid 20s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph, becoming west with gusts up to 25 mph
in the afternoon. Chance of snow 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Snow showers likely. Additional light snow
accumulation possible. Colder with lows around 2 above. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of snow
70 percent. 
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 11. Northwest winds
15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Wind chill values as low as
20 below. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cold with lows around zero. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 20s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 10 above. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow.
Lows in the upper 20s. 
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Highs in the upper
30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the
upper 20s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the upper
30s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 

$$


Expires:201811201200;;584512
ASUS41 KBTV 201130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST TUE NOV 20 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-201200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    29  26  89 N6        29.95R FOG     WCI  23  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    28  28 100 CALM      29.94S                  
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    24  23  96 CALM      29.94S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     26  24  92 MISG      29.92F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   MOCLDY    23  22  95 CALM        N/A                   
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    31  29  94 N3        29.92S                  
RUTLAND*       LGT SNOW  32  30  93 CALM      29.90S VSB 1            
SPRINGFIELD    LGT SNOW  31  31 100 CALM      29.92F VSB 1            
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    24  24  98 N3        29.97S                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    21  20  97 CALM      29.94S                  
BENNINGTON     LGT SNOW  33  31  92 N3        29.88F VSB 1            
ISLAND POND*     N/A     16 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     25 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     23 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     30  30 100 N5          N/A  WCI  25          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     32  30  93 N14         N/A  WCI  22          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     34  32  93 N15         N/A  WCI  24          

$$


Expires:No;;584721
FXUS61 KBTV 201136
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
636 AM EST Tue Nov 20 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Light snow is expected across the North Country today. Most of
the area will see less than two inches...but up to 4 inches is
expected across south central and southern Vermont. The precipitation
comes to an end tonight and attention will turn to a sharp cold
front that will move across the area on Wednesday. Expect snow 
and snow squalls with the front. Sharply reduced visibilities 
and bursts of heavy snow will be possible with the snow squalls.
The precipitation comes to an end Wednesday night and very cold
air moves in for Thanksgiving with dry conditions...but high 
temperatures about 25 degrees below normal for this time of 
year.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 606 AM EST Tuesday...Overall going forecast in good shape
with light to moderate snow over the southern third of Vermont.
Elsewhere have noticed fog being reported at most locations and
for this update have included areas of fog to the forecast for
the remainder of the morning. Rest of forecast in good shape and
no other changes needed at this time.

Previous Discussion...
Band of light snow continues across southern Vermont...essentially
south of a Fair Haven, Vermont to West Lebanon, New Hampshire. 
North of this line little in the way of precipitation is 
occurring. Eventually a northern stream shortwave will move east
into the region and we should see some phasing later this 
morning of these two features. Most areas will see less than two
inches of snow...but from Rutland and Windsor counties in 
Vermont southward up to 4 inches will be possible given the 
longer duration of the precipitation across this area. The 
morning commute may be impacted in this area. Highs will 
generally be in the low to mid 30s.

The snow comes to an end later tonight and there should be a
lull overnight with lows from the mid teens to lower 20s.

Threat for snow squalls will exist on Wednesday as a sharp cold
front moves into the area. Steepening lapse rates...dry
adiabatic to at least 700 mb...suggests instability will be
developing ahead of the front. Strong pressure fall/rise couplet
associated with shortwave trough moving across the area during
the late morning and afternoon hours will exist and snow squall
parameter values indicate the increase potential for snow
squalls as well. Thinking at this time is snow squalls will
develop over northern New York during the late morning early
afternoon hours and then move into Vermont during the early to
mid afternoon hours. Sharply reduced visibilities and bursts of
heavier snow can be expected which will cause travel issues...
especially since it will be a busy travel day ahead of Thanksgiving.
Have continued the mention of snow squalls and bursts of heavier
snow in the forecast. Highs will be in the 20s to around 30 
with temperatures falling late in the day...which could result 
in any snow covered roads becoming icy.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 405 AM EST Tuesday...Wednesday night and Thursday will
feature cold Canadian ridge of surface high pressure building 
into our area from the North. Chance for any light snow will be 
dropping off during the first half of Wednesday night. Most 
notable for this timeframe will be the very cold temperatures. 
Temperatures will drop sharply Wednesday night behind departing 
cold front. Minimum temperatures will dip into the single digits
above and below zero. This is about 20 degrees below seasonal 
normals for late November. Then during the day Thursday with 
strong cold air advection continuing, will have temperatures 
only raising into the single digits above zero to the mid teens,
warmest in the Saint Lawrence and Champlain valleys. It will 
also be fairly windy during this timeframe, and we may have to 
consider some wind chill headlines if this forecast holds true. 
These daytime highs will be about twenty five degrees below 
seasonal normals. Although very cold temperatures for Thanksgiving
day, we may actually see some peeks of sunshine. Record low 
maximum temperatures may be achieved on Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 405 AM EST Tuesday...Thursday night and Friday will
feature surface and upper level ridging, bringing back dry 
weather to the area once again. Thursday night will be another 
cold one with temperatures similar to Wednesday night's 
readings. Difference will be that the winds drop off with the 
building high pressure overhead. See Climate Section below for 
daily climate records for November 22nd and 23rd. High pressure 
shifts further east Friday, allowing for the start of some warm 
air advection within return southwesterly flow. High temperatures
over the weekend will generally be in the 30s. The next chance 
for precipitation comes Saturday night/Sunday as troughing 
redevelops over the area and an upper-level disturbance moves 
through. Details at this point have yet to be ironed out, 
however, most likely scenario given the arrival of warmer air 
will be a mix of rain and snow. There's yet another rain system 
for the late Monday into Tuesday timeframe which may bring even 
more rain to the North Country.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 12Z Wednesday...IFR and LIFR conditions are expected
through 00z as clouds, light snow, and fog persist over much of the
area. The precipitation will taper off between 00z and 06z with
visibilities improving into the MVFR and VFR categories. In
addition...ceilings will improve into the MVFR category as well
during the 00z to 06z time period. Light and variable winds will
become west and northwest late this afternoon and continue for
the remainder of the period. However...winds will generally be
10 knots or less.

Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. Chance SHSN.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Chance SHSN.
Thanksgiving Day: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. Slight chance RA, Slight chance SN.

&&

.CLIMATE...
The record low max temperature for Burlington for Thanksgiving Day
is 19 degrees, set on Thanksgiving Day (November 24th) 1938.

Below are some daily climate records for November 22nd and 
23rd.

November 22nd:

        Record Low Daily Max  /  Record Low Daily Min

Burlington:     22 (2008)     /     3 (1969)                
Plattsburgh:    24 (2008)     /     6 (1972)
Montpelier:     18 (2008)     /     2 (1964)
St. Johnsbury:  22 (2008)     /    12 (2014)
Saranac Lake:   10 (1987)     /    -2 (2000)
Massena:        22 (1989)     /     0 (1972)


November 23rd:

        Record Low Daily Max  /  Record Low Daily Min

Burlington:     20 (1914)     /     2 (1972)                
Plattsburgh:    23 (1989)     /     6 (2000)
Montpelier:     21 (2000)     /    -1 (1972)
St. Johnsbury:  22 (2000)     /     7 (2000)
Saranac Lake:   18 (2000)     /   -11 (1932) 
Massena:        18 (2008) /         0 (2000)

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Evenson
CLIMATE...RSD

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January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
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October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
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December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
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November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
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May 2006, Week 3
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 3
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 3
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January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
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December 2004, Week 3
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
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July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
May 2004, Week 4
May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 3
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November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
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August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
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July 2002, Week 2
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June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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January 2002, Week 3
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January 2002, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 2
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May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
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April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
February 1999, Week 2
February 1999, Week 1
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January 1999, Week 3
January 1999, Week 2
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December 1998, Week 5
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