Expires:201812122100;;676518
FPUS51 KBTV 121137
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
634 AM EST Wed Dec 12 2018


VTZ006-122100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
634 AM EST Wed Dec 12 2018

.TODAY...Cloudy with a chance of snow showers this morning, then
partly sunny this afternoon. Highs around 18. Northwest winds around
10 mph. Chance of snow 40 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Clear. Much colder with lows around 6 below. Light and
variable winds. 
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 20s. Light and variable winds. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 15. Light and variable
winds. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. South winds around
10 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the mid 30s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the lower 30s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 20. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the mid 20s. 

$$


Expires:201812121200;;676279
ASUS41 KBTV 121130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED DEC 12 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-121200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FLURRIES  20  16  84 N10       30.05R WCI   9          
MONTPELIER     LGT SNOW  19  17  92 W10       29.98R FOG     WCI   7  
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW  16  15  96 N10       29.98R FOG     WCI   4  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     15  12  88 MISG      29.94R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   LGT SNOW  19  16  88 W8          N/A  WCI   9          
MIDDLEBURY*    FLURRIES  22  19  86 N8        30.01R WCI  13          
RUTLAND*       LGT SNOW  21  18  86 CALM      29.99R FOG              
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    20  17  88 CALM      29.96R                  
HIGHGATE*      FLURRIES  16  14  93 N3        30.07R                  
NEWPORT*       LGT SNOW  18  16  91 NW10      29.97R WCI   6          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    23  20  88 CALM      29.98R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     19 N/A N/A W8          N/A  WCI   9          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     14 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     10 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     23  19  86 N9          N/A  WCI  13          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     25  21  86 N20         N/A  WCI  11          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     27  23  86 NW17        N/A  WCI  14          

$$


Expires:No;;667055
FXUS61 KBTV 120756
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
256 AM EST Wed Dec 12 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A shallow cold front moving across the North Country early this
morning will bring periods of light snow until daybreak with a
dusting to one inch in some areas. Developing north winds
following the frontal passage and abundant stratus clouds will 
result in colder temperatures today with daytime highs only in 
the upper teens to lower 20s. Skies will clear late in the day 
as high pressure builds in from southern Quebec. Diminishing 
winds and clearing skies will yield very cold temperatures for 
tonight. As the high pressure shifts to our east, will see a 
gradual moderation in temperatures with highs into the mid to 
upper 20s on Thursday, and 35 to 40 degrees for Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 255 AM EST Wednesday...Mid-level trough moving ewd across
VT is bringing some very light/fluffy snow (snow-to-liquid
ratios 20:1 or higher) during the pre-dawn hours. Low Froude 
numbers may maintain snow showers or a few flurries upstream of 
the Green Mtns through 12Z or so, but thereafter diminishing 
cloud layer depth will result in snow ending rather quickly as 
trough departs to the east. An additional dusting to 0.5" or so 
is possible, with minimal impact expected for travel given 
minimal moisture content. Accompanying the trough is a shallow 
cold front, and developing north winds and shallow low- level 
CAA will keep temperatures relatively steady during the daylight
hrs in the upr teens near the intl border, and in the upr teens
to lower 20s elsewhere. The stratus deck will be slow to erode 
within developing frontal inversion layer setting up 3-5kft, but
ultimately expect gradual clearing to occur during the 
afternoon hours and toward sunset. 

High pressure builds in from srn Quebec with excellent radiative
cooling conditions for tonight. Lows expected zero to +5F in the
Champlain/St. Lawrence/Connecticut River Valley, and generally
zero to -10F elsewhere. May be slightly colder than -10F at KSLK
and Island Pond in nern VT.  

Continued quiet on Thursday with sfc anticyclone in control as
it drifts ewd toward the Gulf of Maine. May see some filtered 
sunshine through mid-upr level cloudiness across the srn and 
wrn portions of the CWA. Highs on Thursday mainly in the mid-upr
20s and PoPs NIL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 255 AM EST Wednesday...Overall little change from previous
thinking for the Thursday night through Friday time-frame as surface
high pressure slides off the New England coast but generally
dominates the forecast area providing dry conditions for the end of
the work week. Going into the weekend, models are coming into better
agreement in regards to the large-scale pattern with a consensus
towards no phasing of a northern stream trough and a southern stream
cutoff low. FV3 and ECMWF continue to be the most consistent with
the GFS catching with this mornings 00Z run showing precip chances
rising Friday night into Saturday morning across our southern zones
associated with a surge of warm air advection up the coast from the
southern stream system. The northern stream trough will provide just
enough lift to support some scattered rain/snow showers across
central/southern zones Saturday morning, with perhaps some sleet
mixed in at the onset, but overall no big impacts are expected from
this system as surface temps rise into the upper 30s to low 40s
Saturday supporting rain as the dominant precip type.

With the passage of the northern stream trough Saturday night, any
lingering showers transition to snow but deep layer moisture exits
quickly to our east so no accumulations are expected. An upper ridge
and surface high pressure build back into the region for Sunday with
temperature continuing above normal ranging through the 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 255 AM EST Wednesday...Generally looking at relatively quiet
conditions for the long term period with low chances for any real
significant weather. The aforementioned surface high and upper ridge
shift east Sunday night with the arrival of a digging upper trough
for Monday into Tuesday which may provide some scattered rain/snow
showers. It'll be pretty dry in the low levels when the trough
arrives, and with overall deep moisture lacking think that we'll
just see some scattered rain/snow showers with the highest PoPs
being across the higher terrain where some upslope effects may
enhance precipitation slightly. Temps remain slightly above normal
Monday, but fall back below normal for Tuesday as the trough settles
over the region.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 12Z Thursday...Cold front and weak upper trough will 
bring periods of light snow thru 09-10Z at BTV. An additional 
0.5" of snow accumulation is possible. Areawide, will see 
developing low ceilings following frontal passage, with IFR 
ceilings at SLK, and mainly MVFR ceilings elsewhere through 16Z 
or so. HIR TRRN OBSCD this AM. Thereafter, should see ceilings 
gradually rising and diminishing as skies begin to clear this 
afternoon into the evening hours. Mainly clear skies expected 
for tonight. Winds are light and variable through 08-09Z, but 
following FROPA, developing from the north at 05-10kts thru much
of the daylight hours. Winds becoming light and variable once 
again after 00Z Thursday.

Outlook...

Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance RA,
Chance FZRA.
Saturday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance RA, Chance FZRA.
Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight
chance RA, Slight chance SN, Slight chance SHSN.
Sunday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...Banacos

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