Expires:201901032100;;787249
FPUS51 KBTV 031114
ZFPBTV
Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
611 AM EST Thu Jan 3 2019
VTZ006-032100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
611 AM EST Thu Jan 3 2019
.TODAY...Cloudy. Light snow likely this morning, then a slight
chance of snow showers this afternoon. Total snow accumulation of
3 to 5 inches. Highs around 30. Southwest winds around 10 mph,
becoming west this afternoon. Chance of snow 70 percent.
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers after midnight.
Lows in the lower 20s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of snow
20 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of snow showers in the
morning, then partly sunny in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 30s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 20 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Light and variable
winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the mid 20s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the lower 30s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 10 above.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 20.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 10 above.
.TUESDAY...Snow showers likely. Highs in the mid 20s. Chance of snow
70 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Snow showers likely. Lows around 15. Chance of snow
70 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the mid 20s.
$$
Expires:201901031200;;787863
ASUS41 KBTV 031130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST THU JAN 03 2019
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.
VTZ001>019-031200-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON CLOUDY 28 24 85 S5 29.82S WCI 23
MONTPELIER LGT SNOW 20 20 100 CALM 29.84S FOG
MORRISVILLE LGT SNOW 22 21 96 CALM 29.84R FOG
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 20 19 96 MISG 29.83F
LYNDONVILLE* LGT SNOW 20 19 94 CALM 29.83S
MIDDLEBURY* MIX PCPN 28 26 95 CALM 29.83R
RUTLAND* LGT SNOW 28 27 93 SE8 29.81R FOG WCI 20
SPRINGFIELD LGT SNOW 26 25 96 CALM 29.85R FOG
HIGHGATE* LGT SNOW 24 23 99 CALM 29.83S
NEWPORT* LGT SNOW 20 19 95 S3 29.83R
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 35 28 75 S7 29.80S WCI 29
ISLAND POND* N/A 18 N/A N/A CALM N/A
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 18 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 19 N/A N/A W2 N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 21 N/A N/A SW33G48 N/A WCI 2
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 30 28 93 S14 N/A WCI 20
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 32 28 86 S20 N/A WCI 20
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 28 28 100 SE12 N/A WCI 18
$$
Expires:No;;780271
FXUS61 KBTV 030833
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
333 AM EST Thu Jan 3 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
Light snow ends 7 to 9am this morning as low pressure shifts
east of the North Country. Will see mostly cloudy skies
persisting through the remainder of the day and through tonight.
Developing breezy conditions on Friday, and southwesterly flow
will allow temperatures to rebound into the mid to upper 30s.
The next chance for significant wintry precipitation arrives
Tuesday of next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 318 AM EST Thursday...The widespread light stratiform
snowfall associated with 700mb shortwave trough over the Ottawa
Valley at 08Z will quickly end from west to east across the
North Country (between 11-13Z) as best synoptic UVV shifts ewd.
Good dendrite growth and "fluff factor" is yielding expected
low density snow characteristic with SLRs 16-20:1 range. Kept
snowfall totals largely consistent with previous
expectations...generally 1-3" with localized 4" amounts on west
facing slopes of the nrn Adirondacks and central/nrn Greens.
Should see very near 2" at BTV by 12Z per current trends. Though
snow will be ending during the morning commute, anticipate some
areas of slow travel for the AM commute with some snow covered
roadways, and carried that messaging in the morning HWO
issuance.
While precipitation ends quickly, appears low stratus will
generally linger with mostly cloudy to cloudy conditions
persisting thru the daylight hrs. As such, went slightly below
MOS consensus with high temperatures generally in the low-mid
30s. Winds will generally become light and variable this
afternoon with weak surface ridging in place.
Southwesterly low-level flow returns tonight into Friday as
ridge axis shifts to the east of VT. May see scattered snow
showers in the swly flow east of Lake Ontario affecting portions
of St. Lawrence and Franklin NY counties overnight, and then
across the higher summits of far nrn NY and VT during the
daylight hrs Friday (driven by localized orographic lift, in
absence of much large scale convergence). Not expecting much
additional accumulation, but may see a dusting to 0.5" across
Franklin NY and St. Lawrence counties late tonight, and likewise
across the nrn summits on Friday. Skies mostly cloudy, with
best chance for some sunny breaks on Friday across central/srn
areas. Overnight lows mainly in the low-mid 20s, with highs
34-39F on Friday. With moderate p-gradient developing, may be on
the breezy side Friday with S-SW winds 10-20 mph with gusts to
25 mph possible.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 259 AM EST Thursday...Friday night will be dry and mild
with lows in the mid to upper 20s.
During the day Saturday, a coastal low will track off the
Delmarva Coast and towards Benchmark (40N 70W), spreading
precipitation into southern New England as it brushes the Coast.
It's looking increasingly likely that impacts from this system
will be confined to our south and east while most of the North
Country stays dry. The only exception will be Rutland and
Windsor Counties of VT, which may just be on the northern
fringes of the precipitation associated with a low. Have
continued the trend of reducing PoPs over our area during the
Saturday time frame. Highs Saturday will be in the mid 30s to
around 40.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 259 AM EST Thursday...The coastal low will depart to the
northeast Saturday night, followed by weak cold air advection
as winds veer to the northwest. A northern stream shortwave
moving through overnight will trigger some light snow showers,
mainly along higher elevations over northern portions of the CWA.
High temperatures in the 30s Sunday will be observed late in
the morning/early afternoon, before temperatures start falling
through the afternoon. High pressure will build in Sunday night,
and continued cold air advection will lead to lows in the
single digits to low teens.
Low pressure tracking eastward across the Great Lakes Region
Monday night will bring our next chance for widespread
precipitation. Both the GFS and ECMWF are in good agreement on
the general synoptic setup, and both bring widespread
precipitation to the North Country Monday night through Tuesday
night. However, details of the system are still emerging, which
leads to some level of uncertainty in precipitation type and
exact timing. It appears at this point that the system will take
the form of a double barrel low by the time it moves to the
northeast, with low centers both in southern ON/QC and off the
southern New England Coast. Precipitation type will be dependent
on which low becomes the primary low, and subsequently how much
cold air remains over the region. Stay tuned for details.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 12Z Friday...Generally IFR conditions through 12-13Z
associated with shortwave trough and associated periods of light
stratiform snow areawide. Looking for 1-3" of fluffy snow
accumulation, resulting in minor impacts to aviation ground ops
for the morning push, including at BTV. Will see snow end from
west to east 12-14Z, with lingering MVFR ceilings and HIR TRRN
OBSCD through much of the daylight hours. Will generally south
at VT TAF sites at 5-10kt, will shift into the west late this
morning into this afternoon. Winds locally nely at SLK/MSS
around 5kts this morning, will eventually shift WSW after 15Z
today. Will see most locations returning VFR after 22Z today and
through the overnight period.
Outlook...
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHSN.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. Slight chance RA, Slight chance SN.
Saturday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Slight chance SHRA,
Slight chance SHSN.
Sunday: VFR/MVFR conditions possible. Slight chance SHRA, Slight
chance SHSN.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...RSD
LONG TERM...RSD
AVIATION...Banacos
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