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SKIVT-L  May 2019, Week 1

SKIVT-L May 2019, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 4 May 2019 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (223 lines)

Expires:201905042000;;915362
FPUS51 KBTV 040727
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
324 AM EDT Sat May 4 2019


VTZ006-042000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
324 AM EDT Sat May 4 2019

.TODAY...Areas of drizzle this morning. Areas of fog this morning.
Cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s.
Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy until midnight, then clearing. Patchy dense
fog after midnight. Lows in the upper 30s. Light and variable winds.
.SUNDAY...Patchy dense fog in the morning. Sunny. Highs in the upper
60s. Light and variable winds. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and
variable winds. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 40s. 
.TUESDAY...Rain likely. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of rain
60 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 50s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 40. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 50s. 

$$


Expires:201905041100;;923610
ASUS41 KBTV 041030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT MAY 04 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-041100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT RAIN  48  46  93 NW8       29.95R VSB 1/8          
MONTPELIER     FOG       47  46  97 CALM      29.95S VSB 1/2          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    47  45  93 CALM      29.93R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     46  46 100 MISG      29.90F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       45  44  97 CALM      29.94S VSB 1/4          
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    47  46  99 N5        29.92S FOG              
RUTLAND*       FOG       48  48 100 NW3       29.92R VSB 1            
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    50  49  96 CALM      29.91R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    46  46 100 N3        29.95R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    45  45 100 N7        29.93S                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    54  52  93 CALM      29.89S FOG              
ISLAND POND*     N/A     45 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     43 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     45 N/A N/A SW1         N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     43 N/A N/A W13         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     45  45 100 NW1         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     46  46 100 N7          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     46  46 100 N10         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;916328
FXUS61 KBTV 040746
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
346 AM EDT Sat May 4 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Areas of fog and drizzle this morning will trend towards drier 
conditions by mid-day as surface high pressure starts to build into 
the region from the north. Skies will stay fairly cloudy through 
much of the day until later this evening and tonight where 
noticeable clearing is expected from north to south overnight. 
Sunday will feature abundant sunshine across northern areas and 
partly to mostly cloudy skies south with much warmer temperatures in 
the mid 60s to low 70s. A weak cold front passage will bring a 
chance of showers Monday, followed by more unsettled weather next 
weak with several chances for more rain.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 346 AM EDT Saturday...It's a rinse and repeat kind of night
across the North Country with another mid-level inversion trapping
an abundance of moisture in the low levels with widespread low
clouds, areas of dense fog and drizzle. Forecast soundings support a
continuation of current conditions through at least the first half
of the day and then hint at the inversion breaking this afternoon.
Have continued the trend of more cloud cover through the day with
perhaps a peak of sun near sunset as surface high pressure and drier
low/mid level air begins to work into the region from the north. In
addition, after morning drizzle and fog dissipate, can't rule out a
few isolated showers as current activity moving through eastern
Michigan may stay organized enough as it moves through the Ottawa
Valley this morning and into the forecast area this afternoon. Highs
will bump a couple degrees warmer than yesterday, making a run at 60
degrees for many areas.

Tonight, gradual clearing is expected from north to south as high
pressure building south from Ontario/Quebec will finally scour out
low level moisture. By sunrise expect to see mainly clear skies
across the forecast area except for southern Vermont where
additional moisture from low pressure passing through the mid-
Atlantic and southern New England will keep skies mostly cloudy.
Overnight temps will be quite tricky and will be largely driven by
the speed of clearing. Upstream north of the low clouds temps are in
the low/mid 30s so feel northern NY/VT where clearing will occur
first will likely drop into the 30s, while central/southern areas
will remain in the 40s. Additionally, with little boundary layer
flow and soil moisture quite high, expect areas that do clear out
will likely see some dense radiational fog form overnight.

For Sunday, abundant sunshine north and partly cloudy skies south is
expected with much warmer temperatures as progged 925mb temps off
the NAM and GFS of +10-13C will support widespread highs well into
the 60s, with some low 70s likely in the northern Champlain Valley.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 346 AM EDT Saturday...Dry weather is expected for Sunday night
with weak high pressure over the area. Low level flow will turn more
to the south and southwest as we head into Monday. This is in
response to a cold front moving toward the region. Best forcing
associated with the front will remain up across Canada...but there
will be enough over our area for the threat of showers during the
afternoon. At this time instability remains limited and will
therefore hold off on the mention of thunder at this time. Lows
Sunday night will be in the 40s and highs on Monday will be above
normal with readings in the mid 60s to around 70.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 346 AM EDT Saturday...Its looking like a setup for widespread
precipitation on Tuesday. Frontal boundary that moves into our area
on Monday stalls just to our south Monday night as it becomes
parallel to the westerly flow aloft. Surge of moisture within this
flow reaches our area on Tuesday and thus looking at rain likely
everywhere with highs only in the 50s to around 60. Interesting
trends in the longer range data as bot GFS and Euro both showing
northwest flow aloft developing Tuesday night and persisting through
Wednesday night. Surface high pressure will move down into the
region in response to the northwest flow aloft and precipitation
should quickly come to an end Tuesday evening and dry weather
developing late Tuesday night through Wednesday night. Cold air
advection on Wednesday will result in highs remaining in the 50s.
Unfortunately any consistency in the long range data goes away for
Thursday and Friday. As a result...will keep a chance of showers
going during this time period with highs in the 50s...which is a few
degrees below normal for this time of year.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 00Z Sunday...Widespread IFR/MVFR conditions will
continue through the overnight hours with LIFR FG/BR/DZ 
expected at all sites except KMSS and KPBG. After 12-14Z 
conditions will gradually improve through the remainder of the 
day, lifting to MVFR at all sites by 14-16Z, and eventually VFR
by 00-02Z Sunday. Winds will be light north/northeast through 
the period. 

Outlook...

Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday: VFR. Chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Lahiff

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