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SKIVT-L  May 2019, Week 3

SKIVT-L May 2019, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 20 May 2019 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (222 lines)

Expires:201905202000;;156010
FPUS51 KBTV 200757
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
354 AM EDT Mon May 20 2019


VTZ006-202000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
354 AM EDT Mon May 20 2019

.TODAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly this morning. Some
thunderstorms may produce gusty winds, small hail, and heavy
rainfall. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy until midnight, then becoming mostly
cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. West
winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
35 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to
35 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 50. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Highs around 70. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 70s. 

$$


Expires:201905201100;;162506
ASUS41 KBTV 201030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-201100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    67  64  90 S8        29.69S                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    66  60  81 SW9G21    29.76S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     64  64 100 MISG      29.70R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    RAIN      65  64  94 S7        29.74R                  
RUTLAND*       LGT RAIN  64  62  93 E7        29.77S                  
SPRINGFIELD    LGT RAIN  66  63  90 CALM      29.77R FOG              
NEWPORT*       RAIN      61  61 100 CALM      29.72S                  
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN  66  62  87 SW6       29.79F                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     59 N/A N/A E3          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     59 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     59 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     57 N/A N/A W29G40      N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  61 100 S10         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     61  59  94 S15         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  63  94 MISG        N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;159081
FXUS61 KBTV 200902
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
502 AM EDT Mon May 20 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A pre frontal trough and surface cold front crossing the area 
today will interact with heat and moisture to bring another 
round of strong to locally severe thunderstorms. The primary 
threats will be isolated damaging winds and brief heavy 
downpours. Cooler and drier weather returns for midweek.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 500 AM EDT Monday...Pre frontal trough pushes across our 
forecast area this morning and will bring a round of showers and
thunderstorms. Additional showers and thunderstorms are 
expected this afternoon as surface cold front approaches and 
crosses the area this evening. Strong to possibly severe 
thunderstorms are expected, with main threat being strong winds 
with perhaps some small hail. Ongoing convection this morning 
may damper the surface based instability a bit. But, should see 
enough clearing after morning convection moves out for some 
destabilization and stronger storms this afternoon. Across 
Vermont, maximum temperatures should reach the upper 70s to 
lower 80s, and with dewpoints nearing 60 will see CAPE values 
surpass 1000 J/kg from the Champlain valley eastward. Window is 
a bit small though, mainly 15-21z. Good upper level support as 
well with strong jet moving overhead today. Additional brief 
heavy rainfall is possible, and some areas have already had 
heavy rainfall in the past 24 hours, so will need to monitor for
possible flash flooding concerns. After showers move east of 
the region this morning, looks like convection will fire between
about 11 and noon. As cold front pushes through during the 
evening hours, bulk of the stronger storms will be pushed off to
our east as well. SPC has parts of our area in Slight risk for 
today, mainly eastern and southern Vermont. 

Overnight as flow turns northwesterly behind the departing cold
front, will have some orographically enhanced showers during 
the overnight hours. Showers may even linger into Tuesday a bit 
as upper trough and upper level shortwave cross the area. 
Tuesday will also be much cooler than today, highs will be in 
the upper 40s to lower 60s, about 20 degrees cooler. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 408 AM EDT Monday...Quieter weather returns for the 
short-term period as vertically stacked low pressure exits thru 
the Canadian Maritimes, and a dry nwly flow develops across 
northern NY and New England. Resulting air mass will be 
relatively cool/crisp, as 850mb temperatures fall to - 1C to +1C
across the North Country by 12Z Wednesday. Any lingering rain 
showers should end before midnight Tuesday night, with gradual 
clearing expected throughout the overnight period. Should see 
Tuesday night lows in the low-mid 40s, with highs on Wednesday 
in the mid 60s following MOS-based consensus. Continued NW winds
on Wednesday at 10-15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph will 
contribute to dewpoints falling into the 30s with PBL 
mixing/deepening throughout the day. High pressure moves in from
the west late in the day and crests across the region Wednesday
night, resulting in lessening wind speeds toward early evening.
Wednesday night will continue dry with low temperatures again 
mainly in the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 408 AM EDT Monday...Relatively good consistency noted 
between the operational 00Z GFS/ECMWF this cycle. Two precipitation
events are anticipated across the North Country. A mid-level 
shortwave trough embedded in WNWLY flow with 80-90kt 500mb jet 
will traverse the region Thursday afternoon into Thursday night.
With sfc low moving eswd along 850mb frontal zone, appears 
mesoscale and synoptic-setting will be favorable for showers and
possible embedded thunderstorms. Carried a slight chance of 
thunder at this point, and we'll need to monitor for possible 
strong thunderstorms if low-level moisture return is adequate 
for higher instability than presently indicated. Valley highs on
Thursday presently expected in the lower 70s. Should see a 
period of dry weather for Friday and Friday night with 
seasonable temperatures. Next shortwave trough arrives 
Saturday/Saturday night with periods of showers and PoPs 60-70%.
Early indications suggest drier weather returns for the latter 
half of the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Showers and thunderstorms continue
overnight across Vermont, ending by about 12z. Further
convection is expected from 15-00z Monday across Southern and
Central Vermont. Some storms will be strong to severe this
afternoon. Strong turbulence and gusty winds to 35 kts near any
convection. Winds will trend southwesterly later this morning. 

Outlook...

Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Friday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...Banacos
LONG TERM...Banacos
AVIATION...Neiles

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
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December 2008, Week 3
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December 2008, Week 1
November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
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November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
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October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
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May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
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January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
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February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
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September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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August 2006, Week 3
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
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April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
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March 2006, Week 4
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January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
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December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
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December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
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May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 3
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February 2003, Week 3
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 2
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June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
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June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
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December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
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November 2001, Week 3
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November 2001, Week 1
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April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
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March 2001, Week 1
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March 2000, Week 5
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March 2000, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 3
June 1999, Week 2
June 1999, Week 1
May 1999, Week 5
May 1999, Week 4
May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
April 1999, Week 5
April 1999, Week 4
April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
February 1999, Week 2
February 1999, Week 1
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December 1998, Week 5
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