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SKIVT-L  June 2019, Week 2

SKIVT-L June 2019, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 12 Jun 2019 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (223 lines)

Expires:201906122000;;954582
FPUS51 KBTV 121046
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
643 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2019


VTZ006-122000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
643 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2019

.TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Light and variable winds,
becoming southwest around 10 mph this afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...Clear until midnight, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows
around 50. South winds around 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers in the morning,
then cloudy with showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower
60s. Temperature falling into the lower 50s in the afternoon.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around 10 mph.
Chance of rain 80 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. 

$$


Expires:201906121100;;954129
ASUS41 KBTV 121030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUN 12 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-121100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      48  46  93 CALM      30.15R                  
MONTPELIER     FAIR      45  44  97 CALM      30.18R                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      43  42  97 CALM      30.17R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     44  44 100 MISG      30.13R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      45  44  97 CALM      30.17R                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      45  43  93 SE6       30.18R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      45  45 100 CALM      30.18R FOG              
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      52  50  95 S3        30.15R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      46  46 100 SE3       30.16R                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      43  40  89 S3        30.17R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     37 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     37 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     43 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     43 N/A N/A NW24        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     55  50  82 S5          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     55  46  71 W5          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     54  50  87 S5          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;948032
FXUS61 KBTV 120803
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
403 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure overhead today will result in mostly sunny skies
with near normal temperatures. Clouds increase tonight with 
rain showers and cooler temperatures arriving for Thursday. The
trend of unsettled weather and below normal temperatures will
continue into the weekend. Some localized breezy southeast
downslope winds are possible on Thursday afternoon along the
western slopes of the Green Mountains in Vermont.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 323 AM EDT Wednesday...1023mb high pres over northern PA
this morning has resulted in clear skies and cool temperatures
with some patchy valley fog. Temps have cooled to 34f at SLK so
far with btv down to 50. Expect these values to quickly increase
this morning with plenty of sunshine and light southerly winds
developing. Progged 925mb temps near 15c by this aftn support
highs upper 60s mountains towns to m/u 70s in the warmer urban
areas of the CPV. 

Tonight into Thursday...deep full latitude mid/upper level trof
will enhance a double barrel low pres structure over the Ohio
Valley into the Mid Atlantic. The combination of departing ridge
and developing trof will advect deeper moisture profiles back
into the ne conus on moderate southerly winds of 40 to 50 knots
in the 700 to 500mb level. In addition, a developing 850mb 
southeast to easterly jet of 45 to 55 knots will help advect 
better Atlantic moisture into portions of our cwa on Thurs. 
Still some uncertainty on exact placement of heaviest qpf, but 
given easterly orientation of 925mb to 850mb jet, anticipate 
some trrn influenced qpf fields on Thurs aftn. Expect highest 
qpf over the southeast facing central/southern Green Mountains 
and portions of the eastern Dacks, while some downslope 
shadowing is likely along the western slopes and northeast 
Kingdom. Downslope wind speeds are tricky, as soundings show 
strongest winds occur with best lift/moisture, so mixing maybe 
hinder so. Have mention some localized gusts in the 25 to 35 
knot range from near Rutland to East Middlebury to Underhill 
area on Thursday from 16z to 21z. Given open wave at 5h/7h and 
weak sfc reflection, thinking heaviest qpf axis will be across 
central/southern New England and just edging into our VT cwa. 
Have mention likely to cat pops most locations with daytime qpf 
of 0.10 to 0.25. Temps with developing easterly low level flow 
and clouds/rain will range from the upper 50s to mid/upper 60s 
across our cwa. Coolest values eastern/central VT, including the
NEK with warmest over the western Dacks and downslope regions 
of the CPV.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 344 AM EDT Wednesday...Low pressure system continues to
lift northeastward through the Saint Lawrence valley Thursday
night and rain showers will continue across our forecast area.
As surface low lifts to the northeast, upper level low and
trough will linger behind the surface low a bit. Will have
showery weather continue into Friday with temperatures cooler
than normal as well due to clouds and rain. Cold pool aloft
associated with upper level low will cause some weak instability
and a few afternoon rumbles of thunder are possible.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 344 AM EDT Wednesday...Upper level flow will flatten out
behind this departing upper trough and progressive zonal flow
will remain in place through the extended portion of the
forecast headed into early next week. There will be several
chances for some showers as shortwaves pass through upper level
flow, but tough to pinpoint timeframe and locations this far 
out. Does not look like any particular day will be a wash out at
this point.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...Tafs are challenging tonight with
potential for low clouds/fog at several sites. Fog/br has
already developed at slk and think this will prevail until 12z
with LIFR/VLIFR conditions. Meanwhile, cross over temps will be
reached at MSS/MPV within the next couple of hours, but
soundings continue to show some wind at 5 to 10 knots just above
the bl, so fog/br development is questionable. Have placed tempo
groups btwn 08-11z for potential of intervals of ifr. At
Rutland, se downslope of 3 to 7 knots has developed, which
probably limits ifr potential, but have utilized tempo to
highlight mvfr. BTV/PBG should stay vfr overnight and thru Weds.
VFR prevails at all sites after 12z with south winds at 4 to 8
knots developing my midday. 

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance
SHRA.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Sunday: VFR. Chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Taber

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
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December 2008, Week 3
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November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
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June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
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July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
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June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
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October 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
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September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 3
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January 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 1
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July 2002, Week 2
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
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January 2002, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 3
June 1999, Week 2
June 1999, Week 1
May 1999, Week 5
May 1999, Week 4
May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
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April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
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March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
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December 1998, Week 5
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