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SKIVT-L  June 2019, Week 2

SKIVT-L June 2019, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 11 Jun 2019 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (241 lines)

Expires:201906112000;;905311
FPUS51 KBTV 111036
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
632 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2019


VTZ006-112000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
632 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2019

.TODAY...Showers this morning, then partly sunny with a slight
chance of showers this afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph, becoming northwest 15 to 20 mph this afternoon.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear until midnight, then becoming partly cloudy.
Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph until midnight, becoming light
and variable. 
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around
10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds
around 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. 
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of rain
60 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. 

$$


Expires:201906111100;;905130
ASUS41 KBTV 111030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE JUN 11 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-111100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT RAIN  67  64  90 S9        29.72R FOG              
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    64  63  96 SW3       29.80R FOG              
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  64  62  93 S7        29.75S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     63  63 100 MISG      29.74F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    LGT RAIN  66  65  95 SE6       29.76R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    66  66 100 S5        29.78R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    65  64  97 CALM      29.78S FOG              
HIGHGATE*      RAIN      67  65  96 S5        29.70S                  
NEWPORT*       RAIN      63  63 100 S5        29.75S                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    60  56  86 W13G22    29.86R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     63 N/A N/A E7          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     61 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     63 N/A N/A SW1         N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     61 N/A N/A SE15G28     N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     66  64  94 S10G16      N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     63  63 100 S18         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     66  64  94 SW6         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;905295
FXUS61 KBTV 111035
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
635 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Rain showers will quickly end from west to east this morning
across the region with clearing skies by this afternoon. High
pressure builds into the area tonight with areas of fog likely,
along with cool temperatures. A beautiful Wednesday is on tap
with plenty of sunshine and mild temperatures. The chances for
rain showers return for Thursday into the upcoming weekend with
temperatures trending back below normal.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 632 AM EDT Tuesday...Quick update this morning to taper
off rain/pops quicker across northern NY and CPV based on crnt
obs/radar trends. Back edge of steadier showers moving thru CPV
now and should exit eastern VT, including the NEK by 14z.
Otherwise, with well defined dry slot and mixing clearing skies
should develop from west to east this afternoon, which is
handled in crnt grids. Rainfall last night ranged from 0.25 NEK
so far to 0.75 parts of the CPV/southern Dacks. 

Water vapor shows deep moisture ahead of digging short wave 
trof across the eastern Great Lakes, while subsidence/sharp 
drying aloft is quickly approaching our western cwa. This well 
defined dry slot will move across our cwa this morning, with 
steadier/heavier showers quickly tapering off to scattered 
showers by 12z CPV and 15z NEK/eastern VT. Sounding show 
moisture trapped below developing subsidence inversion thru 15z 
or so, resulting in mostly cloudy skies, but expect strong sun 
and better mixing from developing gradient will help to produce 
clearing skies this aftn. First breaks will occur over the SLV 
and easterly downslope regions of the western cpv, before 
spreading into the lower ct river valley and most of the cwa by 
mid afternoon. Temps will be tricky based on pop/wx and clouds 
today, but thinking after a slow rate of rise this morning, 
readings will rebound this aftn into the mid 60s to lower 70s 
most locations. Soundings show good mixing with nearly dry 
adiabatic 0 to 3 km lapse rates this aftn, so anticipate 
localized wind gusts up to 25 to 30 mph. 

Tonight...1023mb high pres builds into the southern Tier of NY
with clear skies and lighter winds developing overnight. Given
recent rainfall of 0.50 to 1.0 and above conditions, areas of
fog look likely, especially in deeper/protected valleys. Still
some uncertainty on areal coverage, given some guidance showing
winds around 500 ft agl of 10 to 15 knots. Bl should decouple
with temps reaching cross over values under good radiational
cooling conditions for fog development. Lows generally upper 30s
slk/nek to upper 40s cpv/urban areas.

Weds...Ridge of high pres both aloft and at the sfc will provide
cwa with plenty of sunshine and mild temps. Progged 925mb temps
near 15c, add 10c for good mixing and BTV should see an
afternoon high temp of 77F or so. Expect light trrn driven winds
in the morning to become southerly at 5 to 10 mph during the
afternoon hours with highs upper 60s/lower 70s mountains to
mid/upper 70s warmest valley locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 351 AM EDT Tuesday...Clouds will increase Wednesday night
ahead of next low pressure system which will approach from the
Great Lakes region. Region will remain dry Wednesday night, and
temperatures just a bit cooler than seasonal normals are
expected. On Thursday surface low and upper level trough
approach from the western New York area, spreading clouds and
precipitation towards northern New York and Vermont.
Temperatures will be cooler than normal on Thursday with plenty
of clouds in place and rain showers spreading from west to east
across our area. As one surface low passes to our north and
west, another coastal low forms off Long Island and moves
northeastward towards New England. Models continue to show best
axis of moisture to our south and east, closer to the coastal
low center.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 351 AM EDT Tuesday...Northern stream low will be slow to
push east of our region, and front will finally pass east of the
region on Friday. Our region will remain under influence of fast
progressive upper level flow through the 8 day forecast period.
This means several more chances for rain showers as waves round
out base of upper level trough which will remain anchored over
the region. Temperatures will remain near normal with highs in 
the mid 60s to mid 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...Widespread light to moderate rain
continues across all our taf sites early this morning with a
wide range of flight categories from IFR to VFR. Expecting
a combination of vfr/mvfr with intervals of ifr in the heavier
showers with vis btwn 1-3sm. In addition, southeast low level
flow at MPV/PBG will cause some lower cigs with IFR possible
thru 12z. Also, soundings suggest IFR cigs develop at SLK,
especially as winds shift to the southwest behind occurred front
btwn 07z-09z. These cigs will prevail until mid morning, before
lifting to mvfr to vfr. Expecting mainly vfr conditions at all
sites after 15z this morning with rain moving east of our
terminals. Gusty west winds 10 to 20 knots with localized gusts
up to 30 knots likely today, before tapering off toward sunset.
Patchy fog possible at slk/mpv toward 06z Weds, as clear skies
and light winds develop and promote fog development. 


Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance
SHRA.
Friday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Taber

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
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September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
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August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
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September 2008, Week 3
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
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June 2008, Week 3
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June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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August 2007, Week 3
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August 2007, Week 1
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July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
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December 1999, Week 5
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