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SKIVT-L  July 2019, Week 2

SKIVT-L July 2019, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 13 Jul 2019 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (233 lines)

Expires:201907132000;;566905
FPUS51 KBTV 130829
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
425 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2019


VTZ006-132000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
425 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2019

.TODAY...Patchy fog this morning. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower
80s. Light and variable winds, becoming west around 10 mph this
afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers with a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds around
10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning.
Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain
40 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 

$$


Expires:201907131100;;571860
ASUS41 KBTV 131030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT JUL 13 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-131100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      63  60  90 SE3       29.86R                  
MONTPELIER     FAIR      58  57  97 CALM      29.92R                  
MORRISVILLE    FOG       58  57  97 CALM      29.88R VSB 1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     60  60 100 MISG      29.86R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      59  58  96 CALM      29.90R FOG              
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    65  65 100 E3        29.89S                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    64  62  93 CALM      29.88R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      63  62  96 CALM      29.85R FOG              
NEWPORT*       FAIR      60  60  99 CALM      29.88R                  
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    63  58  83 CALM      29.91R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     55 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     55 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     59 N/A N/A NE2         N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     57 N/A N/A W20         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     68  63  83 S5          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     70  64  83 W14         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     66  64  94 S6          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;567799
FXUS61 KBTV 130850
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
450 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Clouds are expected to erode across the North Country this
morning with a good deal of sunshine expected this afternoon.
Dry weather is expected along with highs in the upper 70s to
upper 80s. An upper level trough of low pressure will move
across eastern Canada tonight through Sunday morning. This
feature and its associated cold front will be the focus for some
showers and possibly a thunderstorm across northern New York and
the northern half of Vermont. Cooler weather is expected on
Sunday with highs generally in the 70s. A few showers will also
be possible over the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 450 AM EDT Saturday...Still dealing with some clouds 
across the North Country early this morning. This has limited 
the fog potential and thus continue the mention of patchy fog 
through about sunrise. Drier air...both at the surface and 
aloft...will be moving into the region this morning and thus 
expect a good deal of sunshine for the afternoon hours. 
Composite analysis suggests the threat of convection will be 
confined initially to the Saint Lawrence Valley late this 
afternoon. Deep layer shear will be increasing over the entire 
area...especially this afternoon and tonight. Instability seems 
overdone as dew points are expected to be lower than forecast 
based on current conditions. But can see a narrow axis of 
sufficient instability ahead of approaching cold front just to 
the west of the Saint Lawrence Valley and a second area in the 
Champlain Valley. Over time feel the deep layer shear may impact
the ability to get organized convection as instability weakens 
tonight. Dynamic support from strong upper trough moving across 
eastern Canada tonight may ultimately be the biggest driver for 
convection tonight. Based on the above scenario feel we will 
have some showers developing to the west of the Saint Lawrence 
Valley late in the day before moving eastward into northern New 
York just before sunset. At the same time would not be surprised
to see one or two cells pop over the northern Adirondacks and 
drift into the Champlain Valley. After sunset any convection 
will be driven by the dynamics to the north and this will 
probably help to increase the areal coverage of the convection. 
Still looking at precipitation chances only in the slight chance
to chance categories. Will also be wording precipitation as 
mainly showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 
today will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s with a few spots in 
the Champlain Valley reaching the upper 80s.

Areal coverage of the showers or storms will decrease after
midnight as the dynamic support begins to shift east of the area
and a cold front moves east as well. Still could see a few
lingering showers over northeast Vermont on Sunday...otherwise
the remainder of the area will be dry in the northwest flow
aloft. High temperatures will generally be in the 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 450 AM EDT Saturday...A mostly clear night is in store 
for Sunday night into Monday morning with lows in the 50s except
some of the usual cold spots like SLK where it could get down 
in to the 40s with mostly clear skies and radiational cooling. 

On Monday we start a warming trend as heights rise with a the 
approach of a short wave ridge. High pressure will also be ridging 
in at the surface. 850 mb temps get up to 13-14 degC so we should 
see highs in the lower to mid 80s with partly cloudy skies.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 450 AM EDT Saturday...Various model solution are emerging
for Monday night into Tuesday as a warm front moves into the 
region, moisture increases, and the possibility of some 
weakening convection moves over the ridge into the northeast US 
on Tuesday. The flow aloft becomes more westerly with embedded 
short waves Tue through Fri bringing chances of mainly aft/eve 
showers and thunderstorms as a weak front meanders through the 
northeast US. There is also the possibility of moisture from 
Barry being entrained into the region Wed or Thursday to 
increase the threat of heavy downpours. Models in general good 
agreement with this overall scenario. GFS/GEFS 850mb temps climb
to 16-17C Tue-Thu, maybe even up to 18-19C by Thu/Fri which 
would suggest upper 80s to lower 90s in the valleys but it will 
depend on the timing of any shortwaves and possible convection 
if we realize the full heating potential. Most nights will be 
warming as well with lows in the 60s to near 70. Continuing to 
lean on the use of bias corrected temp data which has been 
performing extremely well in recent weeks.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 06Z Sunday...Generally looking at VFR ceilings across
the area through much of the period. KSLK will see MVFR ceilings
through 12z this morning. Visibilities will also be in the VFR
category...but some patchy fog is possible through 11z which
could result in MVFR/IFR conditions. Winds will generally be
under 10 knots today...but KMSS will see gusts in the 10 to 20
knot range this afternoon from the southwest. After 00z
scattered showers will move into the region...but at this time
still expect VFR conditions. 

Outlook...

Sunday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance TSRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Sisson
LONG TERM...Sisson
AVIATION...Evenson

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December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
March 2006, Week 5
March 2006, Week 4
March 2006, Week 3
March 2006, Week 2
March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
February 2006, Week 3
February 2006, Week 2
February 2006, Week 1
January 2006, Week 5
January 2006, Week 4
January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
December 2005, Week 4
December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 4
November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
June 2005, Week 5
June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
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December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
May 2004, Week 4
May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
April 2004, Week 5
April 2004, Week 4
April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
February 2004, Week 2
February 2004, Week 1
January 2004, Week 5
January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
January 2004, Week 2
January 2004, Week 1
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December 2003, Week 4
December 2003, Week 3
December 2003, Week 2
December 2003, Week 1
November 2003, Week 5
November 2003, Week 4
November 2003, Week 3
November 2003, Week 2
November 2003, Week 1
October 2003, Week 5
October 2003, Week 4
October 2003, Week 3
October 2003, Week 2
October 2003, Week 1
September 2003, Week 5
September 2003, Week 4
September 2003, Week 3
September 2003, Week 2
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May 2003, Week 3
May 2003, Week 2
May 2003, Week 1
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April 2003, Week 4
April 2003, Week 3
April 2003, Week 2
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March 2003, Week 3
March 2003, Week 2
March 2003, Week 1
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February 2003, Week 3
February 2003, Week 2
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January 2003, Week 3
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January 2003, Week 1
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 5
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
September 2002, Week 5
September 2002, Week 4
September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
August 2002, Week 5
August 2002, Week 4
August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
July 2002, Week 5
July 2002, Week 4
July 2002, Week 3
July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
June 2002, Week 3
June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
May 2002, Week 4
May 2002, Week 3
May 2002, Week 2
May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
December 2001, Week 2
December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
November 2001, Week 4
November 2001, Week 3
November 2001, Week 2
November 2001, Week 1
October 2001, Week 5
October 2001, Week 4
October 2001, Week 3
October 2001, Week 2
October 2001, Week 1
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September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
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August 2001, Week 3
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August 2001, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 3
July 2001, Week 2
July 2001, Week 1
June 2001, Week 5
June 2001, Week 4
June 2001, Week 3
June 2001, Week 2
June 2001, Week 1
May 2001, Week 5
May 2001, Week 4
May 2001, Week 3
May 2001, Week 2
May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
February 2001, Week 4
February 2001, Week 3
February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
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January 2001, Week 3
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March 2000, Week 5
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December 1999, Week 5
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May 1999, Week 5
May 1999, Week 4
May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
April 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
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February 1999, Week 1
January 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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