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SKIVT-L  July 2019, Week 2

SKIVT-L July 2019, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 9 Jul 2019 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (200 lines)

Expires:201907092000;;359392
FPUS51 KBTV 090757
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
354 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2019


VTZ006-092000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
354 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2019

.TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds around
10 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds around
10 mph until midnight, becoming light and variable. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Light and variable
winds. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Light and
variable winds. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain
40 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Chance of rain 80 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 70s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 60. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. 

$$


Expires:201907091100;;366126
ASUS41 KBTV 091030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE JUL 09 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-091100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      57  52  83 CALM      30.03R                  
MONTPELIER     FAIR      51  49  92 CALM      30.09R                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      48  46  93 CALM      30.05S FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     50  49  96 MISG      30.03S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      49  48  95 CALM      30.06S                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      52  50  93 SE8       30.08R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      50  47  89 CALM      30.07R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      58  56  93 CALM      30.02R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      52  50  95 SW3       30.04S                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      50  48  93 CALM      30.07R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     43 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     45 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     50 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     57 N/A N/A W23         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     66  57  72 SE8         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     66  57  72 SE10        N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     63  57  82 S6          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;360030
FXUS61 KBTV 090805
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
405 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure remains in place through the middle of the week 
and will keep the weather dry with each successive day a degree 
or two warmer. The next chance for rain comes through Thursday 
into Friday as a frontal system tracks through the region.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 140 AM EDT Tuesday...The next 24-36 hours will be 
seasonably warm and dry. A 1018mb high pressure system will 
crest over the region Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. 
Slight ridging aloft will push some smoke aloft from Canada down
into the North Country and we'll see some hazy skies. Temps 
will be in the mid to upper 80s each day with lows Tuesday night
pleasantly in the 50s to low 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 404 AM EDT Tuesday...Still some model differences in timing of
our next system but in general seeing better agreement with this
mornings 00Z guidance as compared to 24 hours ago. Overall synoptic
pattern hasn't changed with an upper level ridge shifting east
through the Great Lakes Wednesday night and across the Northeast
Thursday while an upper trough and weak surface low pressure system
follows. After another dry period Wednesday night under the upper
ridge, the surface to mid- level flow backs to the southwest Thursday
morning as a warm front approaches and ushers in the return of
summer-time humidity with PWATs rising into the 1.5-2" range by the
afternoon. Increasing instability with BLCape's of 1000-2000 J/kg
could lead to some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
across northern New York during the mid-day to early afternoon hours
with drier conditions east across Vermont, but more widespread
showers and a continued chance of thunderstorms is expected Thursday
night along a cold front passage. Given the high PWATs expect some
locally heavy rain to be possible, but due to the progressive nature
of the system flooding shouldn't be a hazard. By 12Z Friday, the
cold front will be swinging into northern New York and then Vermont
by mid-day with prevailing showers exiting east of the region.
However, steepening low level lapse rates and cold air advection
post-frontal passage will keep the chance of showers and
thunderstorms around through sunset.

Temps through the period will remain above normal with highs
Thursday in the mid/upper 80s, and upper 70s to low 80s on Friday.
Lows will be muggy and mild in the mid/upper 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 404 AM EDT Tuesday...Heading into the weekend and early next
week drier and less humid conditions are expected with near normal
temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s for highs and upper 50s to
low 60s for lows. A fast zonal flow sets up aloft with some weak
impulses of vorticity passing north of the border which may spark
some isolated/scattered showers during the afternoon hours, but
areal coverage shouldn't be enough to warrant canceling any outdoor
activities.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 12Z Wednesday...VFR through the TAF period under mostly clear
skies. Some like diurnal cu may develop with a base of around 6000
feet but any clouds will be few in nature. Winds will trends 
light and variable overnight with a light drainage wind at KRUT.
After day break winds will be generally light out of the 
northwest across Vermont and west- southwest across northern New
York.


Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Likely
SHRA.
Friday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Likely SHRA, Chance
TSRA.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Saturday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Deal
NEAR TERM...Deal
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...Deal

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

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April 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 5
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March 2005, Week 4
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March 2005, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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