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SKIVT-L  July 2019, Week 4

SKIVT-L July 2019, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 28 Jul 2019 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (239 lines)

Expires:201907282000;;745298
FPUS51 KBTV 281042
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
639 AM EDT Sun Jul 28 2019


VTZ006-282000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
639 AM EDT Sun Jul 28 2019

.TODAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of
rain 50 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms,
mainly until midnight. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Light and variable winds.
Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds around 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 60 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Chance
of rain 60 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. 

$$


Expires:201907281100;;744992
ASUS41 KBTV 281030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUL 28 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-281100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    73  62  68 S12       30.02F                  
MONTPELIER     FAIR      60  59  96 CALM      30.12S                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      58  56  93 CALM      30.06F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     61  60  97 MISG      30.07S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    63  62  97 CALM      30.11S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      69  62  77 SE3       30.06F                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      64  61  90 SE9       30.10S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    64  62  93 CALM      30.11S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      73  64  74 S8        30.00F                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      64  62  90 W6        30.07S                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      62  59  90 CALM      30.11S                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     57 N/A N/A SW1         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     55 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     59 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     64 N/A N/A W23         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     73  66  78 S15         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     72  66  83 S21         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     72  64  78 SE9         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;736615
FXUS61 KBTV 280706
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
306 AM EDT Sun Jul 28 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop late this morning 
and continue into the afternoon hours across the North Country 
today. The stronger storms will be capable of frequent lightning, 
brief heavy down pours, and localized gusty winds. Any lingering 
precipitation will quickly dissipate by sunset this evening. A hot 
and mainly dry Monday is anticipated, before the chance for showers 
and storms return on Tuesday. 

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 304 AM EDT Sunday...Scattered pulse type convection anticipated 
between 11 AM and 6 PM today across the North Country with a 
few stronger storms capable of gusty winds, frequent lightning, 
small hail, and brief heavy down pours.

Water vapor shows deep dry layer in place across the ne conus, but 
ribbon of enhanced mid level moisture and associated embedded 5h 
energy is approaching the SLV. A few widely scattered showers are 
possible this morning across the SLV/western Dacks associated with 
approaching system. This mid level moisture and elongated 5h short 
wave will interact with favorable thermodynamic profiles to produce 
scattered showers and thunderstorms today across our cwa. The pre-
storm environment continues to highlight the potential for dis-
organized/pulse type storms, with moderate instability and low shear 
parameters. Guidance continues to show sfc based Cape values in the 
1500 to 2000 j/kg with pockets of higher instability in the warmer 
valleys, while 0 to 6 km shear is btwn 20 and 25 knots. Sounding 
profiles show winds <30 knots thru 500mb, which contributes to the 
low shear values, as best mid level ribbon of enhanced winds pass to 
our northwest. Given the cape profiles, thinking a few stronger to 
maybe a severe storm or two is possible this aftn, with localized 
wind gusts in the 35 to 45 mph range and a few small hail stones, 
given the available cape btwn -10c and -30c. SPC day 1 outlook 
continues to place our cwa in general, so no enhanced wording in 
grids/forecast for now. Will continue to mention potential in hwo. 
Progged 925mb temps are in the 21-23c range, which with good mixing 
would support highs mid 80s to lower 90s, but with clouds advancing 
quickly ahead of decaying upstream convection, thinking temps hold 
mainly in the 80s today. However, dwpts will climb back into the 
mid/upper 60s, especially after convection and this will result in 
localized higher humidity/heat index values. 

Tonight-Monday...weak mid/upper lvl ridge builds across our cwa with 
any leftover convection dissipating around sunset this evening. A 
warm and muggy night anticipated with lows ranging in the upper 50s 
to near 70f cpv/uhi. Some fog is likely, especially in areas that 
receive rainfall today, but given uncertainty will let dayshift add 
to upcoming forecast. Monday looks warm as progged 925mb temps climb 
btwn 22-24c, which will result in high temps mid 80s to lower 90s. I 
have gone 1 to 3 degrees above the warmest guidance, based on 
southwest flow, thermal profiles, and recent trends. Mid/upper level 
ridge is directly overhead and forcing is very limit, so any storms 
will be lake breeze or trrn driven during the peak 
heating/instability period. Areal coverage will be limited too, so 
have isolated wording in mtns. 

Heat index values in the Champlain and Saint Lawrence Valleys, 
as well as the lower Connecticut River Valley will approach the 
mid 90s on Monday between noon and 5 PM. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 234 AM EDT Sunday...Loss of instability Monday night will
bring any isolated convection to an end with quiet weather 
expected for the remainder of the night. Lows will be in the mid
60s to lower 70s. Will have some showers develop on Tuesday, 
especially over our Northern New York zones as surface and upper
level troughs approach from the west along with some shortwave 
energy. Temperatures will be very warm on developing 
southwesterly flow, despite the increasing chance for some 
showers, highs will reach the mid 80s to around 90. Have 
mentioned likely pops for Tuesday afternoon over Northern New 
York. Deep layer shear is not very strong, don't expect severe 
storms at this time though this potential will need to be 
monitored.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 234 AM EDT Sunday...Upper level and surface troughs will 
be fairly slow to cross our area, expect showers Tuesday night 
and into Wednesday as this slow moving feature moves across the 
area. More widespread showers can be expected for Tuesday night,
then the Adirondacks and points east will have the best chances
for showers and storms on Wednesday. Airmass should not be as 
unstable and deep layer shear is weak, so still not expecting 
stronger storms at this time. Trends for the end of the week 
suggest high pressure moves in Thursday and persists into 
Saturday bringing dry weather and seasonal temperatures to the 
entire area.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...The combination of increasing mid level 
clouds and stronger winds just off the surface will limit fog/br
production this morning. Thinking a brief window of mvfr is 
possible at mpv/slk btwn 09-11z this morning around sunrise. 
Otherwise, watching decaying line of showers/storms north of 
Lake Ontario, which will approach the KMSS terminal btwn 09z- 
12z. Have placed vcsh to cover this potential. Otherwise, vfr 
conditions prevail with additional showers/storms developing aft
16z today. The stronger storms will be capable of 15 to 30 
minutes of mvfr/ifr vis associated with the heavier down pours 
with some brief wind gusts up to 30 knots possible. Still some 
uncertainty on areal coverage and timing of convection, so have 
utilized vcsh in all taf sites for this aftn. Any convection 
will quickly dissipate by 00z Monday with some patchy fog 
possible after 06z. 

Outlook...

Monday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Wednesday: VFR. Likely SHRA, Chance TSRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Thursday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Taber

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
December 2008, Week 4
December 2008, Week 3
December 2008, Week 2
December 2008, Week 1
November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
March 2006, Week 5
March 2006, Week 4
March 2006, Week 3
March 2006, Week 2
March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
February 2006, Week 3
February 2006, Week 2
February 2006, Week 1
January 2006, Week 5
January 2006, Week 4
January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
December 2005, Week 4
December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
November 2005, Week 5
November 2005, Week 4
November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
June 2005, Week 5
June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
December 2004, Week 4
December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
December 2004, Week 1
November 2004, Week 5
November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
May 2004, Week 4
May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
April 2004, Week 5
April 2004, Week 4
April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
March 2004, Week 5
March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
February 2004, Week 2
February 2004, Week 1
January 2004, Week 5
January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
January 2004, Week 2
January 2004, Week 1
December 2003, Week 5
December 2003, Week 4
December 2003, Week 3
December 2003, Week 2
December 2003, Week 1
November 2003, Week 5
November 2003, Week 4
November 2003, Week 3
November 2003, Week 2
November 2003, Week 1
October 2003, Week 5
October 2003, Week 4
October 2003, Week 3
October 2003, Week 2
October 2003, Week 1
September 2003, Week 5
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September 2003, Week 3
September 2003, Week 2
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August 2003, Week 3
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August 2003, Week 1
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June 2003, Week 1
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May 2003, Week 3
May 2003, Week 2
May 2003, Week 1
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April 2003, Week 4
April 2003, Week 3
April 2003, Week 2
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March 2003, Week 5
March 2003, Week 4
March 2003, Week 3
March 2003, Week 2
March 2003, Week 1
February 2003, Week 4
February 2003, Week 3
February 2003, Week 2
February 2003, Week 1
January 2003, Week 5
January 2003, Week 4
January 2003, Week 3
January 2003, Week 2
January 2003, Week 1
December 2002, Week 5
December 2002, Week 4
December 2002, Week 3
December 2002, Week 2
December 2002, Week 1
November 2002, Week 5
November 2002, Week 4
November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
October 2002, Week 5
October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
September 2002, Week 5
September 2002, Week 4
September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
August 2002, Week 5
August 2002, Week 4
August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
July 2002, Week 5
July 2002, Week 4
July 2002, Week 3
July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
June 2002, Week 3
June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
May 2002, Week 4
May 2002, Week 3
May 2002, Week 2
May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
December 2001, Week 2
December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
November 2001, Week 4
November 2001, Week 3
November 2001, Week 2
November 2001, Week 1
October 2001, Week 5
October 2001, Week 4
October 2001, Week 3
October 2001, Week 2
October 2001, Week 1
September 2001, Week 5
September 2001, Week 4
September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
September 2001, Week 1
August 2001, Week 5
August 2001, Week 4
August 2001, Week 3
August 2001, Week 2
August 2001, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 4
July 2001, Week 3
July 2001, Week 2
July 2001, Week 1
June 2001, Week 5
June 2001, Week 4
June 2001, Week 3
June 2001, Week 2
June 2001, Week 1
May 2001, Week 5
May 2001, Week 4
May 2001, Week 3
May 2001, Week 2
May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
February 2001, Week 4
February 2001, Week 3
February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
January 2001, Week 4
January 2001, Week 3
January 2001, Week 2
January 2001, Week 1
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December 2000, Week 4
December 2000, Week 3
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October 2000, Week 3
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October 2000, Week 1
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July 2000, Week 1
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June 2000, Week 4
June 2000, Week 3
June 2000, Week 2
June 2000, Week 1
May 2000, Week 5
May 2000, Week 4
May 2000, Week 3
May 2000, Week 2
May 2000, Week 1
April 2000, Week 5
April 2000, Week 4
April 2000, Week 3
April 2000, Week 2
April 2000, Week 1
March 2000, Week 5
March 2000, Week 4
March 2000, Week 3
March 2000, Week 2
March 2000, Week 1
February 2000, Week 5
February 2000, Week 4
February 2000, Week 3
February 2000, Week 2
February 2000, Week 1
January 2000, Week 5
January 2000, Week 4
January 2000, Week 3
January 2000, Week 2
January 2000, Week 1
December 1999, Week 5
December 1999, Week 4
December 1999, Week 3
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December 1999, Week 1
November 1999, Week 5
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November 1999, Week 3
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July 1999, Week 3
July 1999, Week 2
July 1999, Week 1
June 1999, Week 5
June 1999, Week 4
June 1999, Week 3
June 1999, Week 2
June 1999, Week 1
May 1999, Week 5
May 1999, Week 4
May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
April 1999, Week 5
April 1999, Week 4
April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
February 1999, Week 2
February 1999, Week 1
January 1999, Week 5
January 1999, Week 4
January 1999, Week 3
January 1999, Week 2
January 1999, Week 1
December 1998, Week 5
December 1998, Week 4
December 1998, Week 3
December 1998, Week 2
December 1998, Week 1
November 1998, Week 5
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