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SKIVT-L  July 2019, Week 4

SKIVT-L July 2019, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 22 Jul 2019 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (225 lines)

Expires:201907222000;;452057
FPUS51 KBTV 221038
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
634 AM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019


VTZ006-222000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
634 AM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

.TODAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain this morning, then
cloudy with rain likely this afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s.
Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Rain likely, mainly until midnight.
Lows in the mid 50s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the
morning. Highs in the mid 70s. Light and variable winds, becoming
northwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain
20 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy dense fog. Lows in the
lower 50s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy dense fog. Highs in the lower
70s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 60. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Chance of rain 30 percent. 

$$


Expires:201907221100;;451873
ASUS41 KBTV 221030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-221100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    66  60  81 E3        29.91S                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       61  61 100 CALM      29.97R VSB 1/4          
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      60  58  92 CALM      29.94R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     61  60  97 MISG      29.92R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      61  56  82 CALM      29.97R                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      63  62  97 CALM      29.90F                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      62  60  93 S7        29.89F                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      65  60  82 CALM      29.93S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      61  51  71 N7        29.96S                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      60  58  92 CALM      29.88F                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     57 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     55 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     61 N/A N/A NE3         N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     57 N/A N/A W9          N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     66  57  72 MISG        N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     68  59  73 N13         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     70  57  64 NW13        N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;444057
FXUS61 KBTV 220727
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
327 AM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure tracking along a nearly stationary front south of our 
region will bring widespread light rain to portions of the area late 
this morning into Tuesday morning. High pressure will then bring 
drier weather for Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday. A weak 
disturbance aloft may spark a few showers and thunderstorms 
Thursday, but thereafter dry conditions are forecast through the 
weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 326 AM EDT Monday...We're seeing a brief dry period at this
hour, along with much cooler and more comfortable conditions with
dewpoints finally in the 50s and lower 60s. This is due to the
frontal passage we experienced late yesterday, and that front now
lies just off the southern New England coast. Moisture is expected
to surge back north into portions of the North Country later today
though as low pressure will slide northeast along the front this
afternoon and evening. Precipitation associated with this influx of
moisture can already be seen across PA and NJ, and this will shift
northward through the morning hours. The consensus of the 22/00z
guidance has sped up the arrival of this precipitation into our
region, and now anticipate it will begin spread from southwest to
northeast by late this morning. Steady rain will then persist
through this afternoon into the evening, especially in our
southeastern sections. The rain will then slowly come to an end from
west to east overnight, lingering longest in southeast VT. There may
be another brief increase in precipitation coverage early Tuesday as
another low moves along the front which will still be off the NE
coast, but in general anticipate showery conditions waning and
coming to an end by late Tuesday morning. There may be a stray
shower or two over the higher terrain Tuesday afternoon, but overall
dry with decreasing clouds. Rainfall totals will be highest across
Rutland and Windsor Counties, where amounts of 1-1.25 inches are
expected, with lesser amounts as one moves north and west. Locations
in the St Lawrence Valley will see little to no rainfall from this
event.

Temperatures will be noticeably cooler today. MOS numbers are
showing highs in the upper 60s/lower 70s, but this is likely too
cool and expect most locations will get into the lower to mid 70s.
After a cool night in the 50s to around 60, Tuesday will be a few
degrees warmer given slightly warmer 925mb temps and more sunshine
than today.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 326 AM EDT Monday...The Tuesday night through Wednesday 
period will be characterized by a 700-500mb trough across NY/New
England, but with a weak ridge of high pressure cresting across
the region at the surface. The result will be a very 
comfortable period of late July weather. Lows Tuesday night will
generally be in the low-mid 50s, with a few 40s in the normally
cooler spots within the northern Adirondacks and across VT's 
Northeast Kingdom. Light wind and mostly clear sky conditions 
should lead to patchy dense radiation fog Tuesday night, and 
included for the valleys of central/ern VT and across nrn NY. 
Daytime heating/PBL mixing should result in 2-m dewpoints in the
lower 50s for Wednesday, along with temperatures in the low-mid
70s for afternoon highs. Surface winds should remain light 
north to northwest. Sfc ridge remains in control during 
Wednesday night, but a few additional mid-level clouds should 
keep overnight lows a few degrees warmer than Tuesday night. 

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 326 AM EDT Monday...Will see a gradual return of heat and
humidity during the long-term period, but not as oppressive as 
what was observed during July 19-21. A modest 850mb warm front 
and shortwave trough crossing the region in WNWLY flow will 
yield the potential for isold to scattered afternoon showers on 
Thursday. The 00Z GFS indicated sufficient SBCAPE (500-1000 
J/kg) for a few embedded thunderstorms, and have included a 
slight chance of thunderstorms for the peak heating hours 
Thursday with this forecast package. Should see high 
temperatures moderate into the upper 70s to lower 80s, and 
dewpoints will also increase to near 60F. Low to mid level flow 
becomes increasingly swly FRI-SUN, yielding a continued increase
in temperatures. Should see highs in the low-mid 80s for 
Friday, and mid-upper 80s over the weekend, along with moderate 
humidity (2-m dewpoints in the lower 60s FRI, but generally into
the mid 60s for Saturday and Sunday). Precipitation chances 
remain low, but can't rule out an isold shower or thunderstorm 
Friday/Saturday (20% PoP) and around 30% PoPs for Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 06Z Tuesday...Mainly VFR with local MVFR/possible IFR 
in patchy fog at KSLK/KMPV/KRUT through 12z this morning. Ceilings
of 3000 to 7000ft ceilings approach beyond 12Z with precipitation
beginning to move into the region beyond 14Z. Highest chance of
rain and MVFR ceilings will be at KRUT after 18Z. Light 
northwest winds at 5 kts or less, will prevail with a few areas 
calm or variable from terrain- driven flows.

Outlook...

Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Hastings
NEAR TERM...Hastings
SHORT TERM...Banacos
LONG TERM...Banacos
AVIATION...Hastings

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October 2007, Week 5
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February 2002, Week 1
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