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SKIVT-L  September 2019, Week 2

SKIVT-L September 2019, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 14 Sep 2019 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (242 lines)

Expires:201909142000;;770072
FPUS51 KBTV 141023
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
618 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019


VTZ006-142000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
618 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

.TODAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Breezy with
highs in the mid 60s. South winds 15 to 25 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers until
midnight. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance
of rain 20 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds
around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 

$$


Expires:201909141100;;770367
ASUS41 KBTV 141030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT SEP 14 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-141100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    60  45  57 S23G35    30.19F                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    51  44  77 S10G18    30.31R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    54  44  69 SE8       30.23S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     53  44  71 MISG      30.27R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    51  43  75 SE15G21   30.28S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    55  47  74 E14       30.29R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    52  45  77 SE8       30.34F                  
HIGHGATE*      LGT RAIN  60  49  68 S15G24    30.14S                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    51  44  76 S14       30.23R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    57  48  72 S6        30.31R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     52 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     50 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     52 N/A N/A SW9         N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     46 N/A N/A S28G47      N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  50  67 S33G51      N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     61  52  72 S41G48      N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     59  48  67 SE26G33     N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;770056
FXUS61 KBTV 141022
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
622 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Gusty winds early Saturday morning with light showers possible
until midnight as an elongated front washes out over the North 
Country. Seasonable temperatures and quiet weather will follow 
on Sunday but another round of showers will be possible Sunday 
night. High pressure will then settle into the region through 
the first half of the upcoming week bringing warmer and drier 
conditions to the region.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 617 AM EDT Saturday...Forecast is in good shape. Tweaked
hourly temperatures based on a blend of hi-res guidance and
utilized combination of the hourly National Blend of Models and
3km NAM to bring PoPs down across the region. We could still 
see some scattered showers across the high peaks and across
eastern VT this afternoon as weak shortwave moves along the 
decaying frontal boundary across our area. Still looking at 
several 40 to 45 mph gusts taking place along Lake Champlain, 
with the low- level jet finally lifting northward and decaying 
around 15Z, so continued the SPS a bit longer.

Previous Discussion...
An elongated cold front is pushing east across St. Lawrence and
Franklin County, NY. A few embedded rumbles of thunder have 
occurred, but think these will be fairly short-lived. Strong, 
gusty winds have been verifying well this evening with several 
sites along Lake Champlain reporting frequent 40-45 mph gusts. 
With a strong low-level jet progressing across the region and no
real changes in 00Z guidance, still expecting strongest gusts 
on the lake and across high peaks with an isolated 50 mph gust 
not out of the question. This strengthening low-level jet will 
cause downsloping to shadow the Champlain Valley from this 
broken line of rain moves east over the next few hours.

For Saturday afternoon, elongated front washes out, with a few 
scattered showers possible, mainly along the Green Mountains and
eastern VT. Winds gradually come down mid-morning to Saturday 
evening, though still remaining breezy with 20-30 mph gusts out 
there. Highs should top out in the 60s to near 70. Overnight 
lows will be in the 50s for much of the region. Showers chances 
exit overnight Saturday.

For Sunday, a weak shortwave pushes east during the afternoon, but
with mostly westerly to west-northwesterly flow, moisture
convergence and support from low-level warm advection will be
lacking. Thus, expect mostly an increase in clouds Sunday afternoon,
with perhaps an isolated shower across northern NY. Highs in the mid
60s to near 70.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 350 AM EDT Saturday...A weak ripple in northwest flow aloft is
expected Sunday night along with some moisture advected in from the
southwest. At the surface weak low pressure will track from the
Great Lakes southeast toward New York city on Monday. It's just
enough to carry some clouds across the region with a low chance of
showers especially in the south and west portion of the area Sunday
night into Monday morning. Low temps ranging from the mid 40s to mid
50s.

The system exits quickly by Monday afternoon with cold advection
taking place leaving partly sunny skies with fair weather stratocu
developing. High temps in the 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 350 AM EDT Saturday...The long term period looks mainly fair
and dry with temperatures a little below normal initially Monday
night and Tue but warming above normal by Wed through Fri. Our
weather pattern will be dominated by an amplifying upper level ridge
aloft to our west with a mainly dry northwest to northerly flow over
our region. High pressure at the surface Tue slowly drifts over over
our region then off to our south and east by Thu and Fri allowing
temperatures to moderate. Looking for lows in upper 30s to upper 40s
both Tue and Wed morning with daytime highs in the 60s Tue to lower
70s Wed. By Thu and Fri, looking for highs in the 70s and lows mid
40s to mid 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 06Z Sunday...TAF sites are currently VFR with 10-20 
knot sustained winds and frequent 20-30 knot gusts out of the 
south, which is expected to continue through about 22Z. Periods 
of 25 knot sustained winds and a few 35 knot gusts possible. A 
few pockets of low-level wind shear remain across NY with the 
slower near surface winds for those terminals. Low- level wind 
shear will decrease around 08Z- 10Z. Turbulent conditions will 
remain along the Champlain Valley. Band of showers will move 
east into Northern New York terminals between 07Z and 12Z. 
Chances less likely across VT with VCSH at KBTV and KPBG. Still 
some SHRA mentioned for KRUT and KMPV around 11Z- 15Z. Periods 
of 2000-3000ft ceilings will be possible at times, mainly at 
KSLK now through 20Z, and then at KMPV and KRUT generally from 
12Z to 18Z.


Outlook...

Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Monday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.MARINE...
Southerly winds will continue to increase through this afternoon
into this evening as high pressure departs the region. A strong
pressure gradient will begin to develop this evening as a cold
front begins to approach the region which will create gusty
southerly winds ranging from 25 to 35 knots with stronger gusts
to 40 knots possible after midnight. Seas this afternoon will
build from 2-4 feet to 4-6 feet after midnight as the persistent
strong winds help to build the seas. The strongest winds and
highest seas will be observed from Kingsland Bay to St. Albans 
Bay. These gusty winds and high seas will continue through 
Saturday morning before beginning to slowly diminish and subside
as the gradient begins to relax during the afternoon hours. 
Winds will likely not drop below 25 knots until Saturday 
evening. Those with outdoor interests along Lake Champlain 
tomorrow should take caution if planning to do any boating on
the lake.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Haynes
NEAR TERM...Haynes
SHORT TERM...Sisson
LONG TERM...Sisson
AVIATION...Haynes
MARINE...

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
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May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
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April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
March 2006, Week 5
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February 2006, Week 4
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 5
January 2006, Week 4
January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
December 2005, Week 4
December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
November 2005, Week 5
November 2005, Week 4
November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
June 2005, Week 5
June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
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December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
December 2004, Week 1
November 2004, Week 5
November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
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May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
February 2004, Week 2
February 2004, Week 1
January 2004, Week 5
January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
January 2004, Week 2
January 2004, Week 1
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December 2003, Week 4
December 2003, Week 3
December 2003, Week 2
December 2003, Week 1
November 2003, Week 5
November 2003, Week 4
November 2003, Week 3
November 2003, Week 2
November 2003, Week 1
October 2003, Week 5
October 2003, Week 4
October 2003, Week 3
October 2003, Week 2
October 2003, Week 1
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June 2003, Week 1
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March 2003, Week 3
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January 2003, Week 3
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 5
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
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August 2002, Week 3
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June 2002, Week 5
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
December 2001, Week 2
December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
November 2001, Week 4
November 2001, Week 3
November 2001, Week 2
November 2001, Week 1
October 2001, Week 5
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October 2001, Week 3
October 2001, Week 2
October 2001, Week 1
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September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
September 2001, Week 1
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August 2001, Week 3
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August 2001, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 3
July 2001, Week 2
July 2001, Week 1
June 2001, Week 5
June 2001, Week 4
June 2001, Week 3
June 2001, Week 2
June 2001, Week 1
May 2001, Week 5
May 2001, Week 4
May 2001, Week 3
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May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
February 2001, Week 4
February 2001, Week 3
February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
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January 2001, Week 3
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March 2000, Week 5
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December 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 3
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March 1999, Week 1
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February 1999, Week 1
January 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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