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SKIVT-L  March 2020, Week 1

SKIVT-L March 2020, Week 1

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 7 Mar 2020 06:50:02 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (222 lines)

Expires:202003072100;;625094
FPUS51 KBTV 071024
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
520 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2020


VTZ006-072100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
520 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2020

.TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear until midnight, then becoming partly
cloudy. Lows around 16. Northwest winds around 10 mph, becoming
west after midnight. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. 
.TUESDAY...Rain. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of rain
90 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of
rain 90 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the lower 20s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Highs in
the upper 30s. Chance of snow 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 

$$


Expires:202003071200;;627593
ASUS41 KBTV 071130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SAT MAR 07 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-071200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      19  10  68 N13       30.26R WCI   6          
MONTPELIER     FAIR      18   6  59 N10       30.18R WCI   6          
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      19   8  62 N13       30.21R WCI   6          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     19   7  59 MISG      30.14R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      16   8  70 NW14      30.15R WCI   1          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      17  11  75 N12G20    30.22R WCI   5          
RUTLAND*       FAIR      17  13  84 N9G16     30.15R WCI   6          
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      24   4  42 N14G21    30.10R WCI  12          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      19  10  67 N10G16    30.30R WCI   7          
NEWPORT*       FAIR      15   8  75 N13       30.20R WCI   1          
BENNINGTON     FAIR      21  11  65 N16G24    30.11R WCI   7          
ISLAND POND*     N/A     14 N/A N/A NW7         N/A  WCI   4          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     14 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     16 N/A N/A NE3         N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A      5 N/A N/A W20G36      N/A  WCI -15          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     21  14  73 NW9G15      N/A  WCI  11          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     23  14  68 N25         N/A  WCI   7          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     25  14  63 NW18G29     N/A  WCI  11          

$$


Expires:No;;627164
FXUS61 KBTV 071122
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
622 AM EST Sat Mar 7 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A seasonably cool day is on tap with highs in the mid 20s to 
low 30s. Conditions will be breezy with mostly clear skies, 
today. The North Country quickly warms well above normal with 
mid to upper 40s on Sunday and many areas in the 50s on Monday.
Our next weather system arrives on Tuesday with widespread 
rainfall possible. Continued off and on chances for 
precipitation will continue throughout the next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 609 AM EST Saturday...Mostly clear skies with some remnant
mid-level clouds and a band of upper clouds moving east. Current
temperatures are in the upper teens to near 20. The forecast is
in good shape and made only minor modifications.

Cold air advection will be competing with our increasing solar 
angle during the day. Most areas should see highs around 30-32 
degrees and a bit warmer in the Connecticut River Valley, where 
high temps should reach the upper 30s. 10 to 15 mph winds will 
remain throughout much of the day. After 5 PM, these winds 
should taper off and begin to turn south to southwesterly as an 
upper ridge quickly reestablishes return flow into the North 
Country. Thus, lows outside the Northeast Kingdom only fall into
the upper teens to lower 20s. A few cold hollows in the 
Northeast Kingdom will still likely hit the single digits.

For Sunday, some upper moisture will be streaming eastward along a
warm conveyor belt of a low in the Intermountain West. This moisture
is above 10000ft agl, and there is considerable dry air beneath it.
Thus, only expecting an increase in high clouds along the International
Border. Could a few snowflakes fall over Jay Peak early Sunday 
morning? Certainly plausible (20% PoP). For the rest of the region,
expect to see some virga on radar. Afternoon highs climb into the
40s over the region with some spot 50s in our southern valley regions.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 232 AM EST Saturday...Quiet weather continues for Sunday 
night into Monday as we remain on the northern periphery of 
strong ridging off the southeastern US seaboard. Some occasional
mid to high level cloud cover will drift west to east across 
the area under the anticyclonic flow aloft with higher coverage
expected across northern counties on Monday as a warm front 
develops to our north in southern ON/QE. Temperatures will 
return to very mild levels with overnight lows on Sunday in the 
upper 20s to mid 30s and corresponding highs on Monday ranging 
from the upper 40s to lower 50s far north and solidly in the 50s
elsewhere. No precipitation is expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 232 AM EST Saturday...A more active stretch of weather 
then evolves during the middle and later portions of next week 
as a series of low pressure systems affects the Mid-Atlantic and
Northeast. The first system will arrive later Monday night and 
especially on Tuesday as it tracks east from the Great Lakes and
into the SLV. Thermal profiles are generally warm enough such 
that p-type shouldn't be a concern with mainly light rain and/or
rain showers being offered during this time frame. Some modest 
snowmelt is also expected, though rainfall is not expected to be
heavy enough to cause widespread flooding (a third to three 
quarters of an inch). However, solid, mainly within-bank rises 
are forecast so conditions will be monitored. Mild temperatures 
continue with Tuesday highs from the upper 40s to mid 50s.

System then exits east Tuesday night with any lingering showers 
tapering off over time and possibly ending as a little light snow, 
especially in elevated terrain. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.

Looking further out the forecast becomes somewhat more uncertain due 
to timing differences among the 00Z global model output. Overall a 
progressive pattern will continue under fairly fast zonal flow and 
seasonably mild temperatures - not uncommon as we begin to pull out 
of deep winter and march toward early spring. Several other systems 
of weak to modest strength will likely affect the region with on and 
off rain/snow shower activity, though PoPs will be capped in the 
chance category given aforementioned model discrepancies and 
relatively light precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 12Z Sunday...Conditions VFR throughout the period with
clouds AOA 10000ft agl. Sustained winds of 5 to 15 knots out of
the north will become more northwesterly. Wind speeds slowly
decrease throughout the day. Around 21Z to 00Z, winds will begin
to become south to southwesterly around 5 knots or less. From
about 05Z to 11Z, 30kt to 40kt winds out of the WNW at 2000ft 
agl will likely result in LLWS across all terminals except BTV.

Outlook...

Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance RA.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Definite RA,
Definite SHRA.
Tuesday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA, Slight
chance SHSN.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Haynes
NEAR TERM...Haynes
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...Haynes

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January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
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October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
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December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
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November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
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May 2006, Week 3
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 3
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
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March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 3
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January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
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December 2004, Week 3
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
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July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
May 2004, Week 4
May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 3
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November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
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August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
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July 2002, Week 2
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June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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January 2002, Week 3
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January 2002, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 2
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May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
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April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
February 1999, Week 4
February 1999, Week 3
February 1999, Week 2
February 1999, Week 1
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January 1999, Week 3
January 1999, Week 2
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December 1998, Week 5
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