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SKIVT-L  March 2020, Week 3

SKIVT-L March 2020, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 15 Mar 2020 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (232 lines)

Expires:202003152000;;511458
FPUS51 KBTV 150750
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
348 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2020


VTZ006-152000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
348 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2020

.TODAY...Partly sunny this morning, then clearing. Highs in the
lower 30s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 3 above. North winds around
10 mph until midnight, becoming light and variable.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 40. Light and variable
winds, becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the upper 20s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain or snow showers. Little or no snow accumulation.
Highs in the mid 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of
precipitation near 100 percent.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows around 20.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 30s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows 15 to 20.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the lower 40s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely or a chance of snow
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of rain
60 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely or a chance of snow showers.
Lows in the mid 20s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Highs in the mid 30s.

$$


Expires:202003151100;;518198
ASUS41 KBTV 151030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-151100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON FAIR 26 13 57 N8 30.49R WCI 18
MONTPELIER FAIR 24 11 57 N6 30.44R WCI 17
MORRISVILLE FAIR 23 13 65 N3 30.46R
ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 24 13 62 MISG 30.42R
LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 19 12 74 NW5 30.43R WCI 12
MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 26 13 56 N10 30.46R WCI 16
RUTLAND* FAIR 28 14 55 NW9 30.41R WCI 19
SPRINGFIELD FAIR 31 7 36 NE5 30.39R WCI 26
HIGHGATE* MOCLDY 23 15 70 N8 30.53R WCI 14
NEWPORT* FLURRIES 19 13 79 N10 30.46R WCI 7
BENNINGTON FAIR 31 18 58 CALM 30.38R
ISLAND POND* N/A 19 N/A N/A NW6 N/A WCI 11
GALLUP MILLS* N/A 18 N/A N/A MISG N/A
LAKE EDEN* N/A 18 N/A N/A E1 N/A
MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 10 N/A N/A NW31 N/A WCI -12

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND* N/A 25 19 80 MISG N/A
COLCHESTER RF* N/A 28 16 59 NE21 N/A WCI 15
DIAMOND ISL* N/A 30 19 64 N17 N/A WCI 18

$$


Expires:No;;513824
FXUS61 KBTV 150836
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
436 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry and seasonably cool conditions will prevail across the
North Country today and Monday as high pressure builds
southeastward from Ontario. Near normal temperatures expected
today under light northerly winds. Clear skies and light winds
will drop temperatures tonight into the low teens to single
digits above and below zero. A fast- moving low pressure system
will bring our next chance for a mix of rain and snow showers
late Monday night into Tuesday. Drier and blustery conditions
are expected to return on Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 435 AM EDT Sunday...No real changes made from previous
forecast. High clouds will continue to move eastwards throughout the
remainder of the overnight hours. By daybreak, skies should be
mostly clear with a small possibility of some scattered low level
clouds across the NEK and Adirondacks associated with a weak
boundary and enhanced 925mb moisture. Satellite imagery shows this
cloud cover currently located over southern Quebec slowly inching
down towards the NH/VT international border. A stray flurry may be
possible, but chances are pretty marginal (and highly dependent on
how saturated this layer is with respect to ice)...although Canadian
radar does show some weak echos approaching the Canada/Maine border.

Aside from this non-impactful cloud cover, high pressure will
continue to build in throughout today and into Monday. Still
advertising a beautiful day with highs in the low to mid 30s with
light northerly winds. RAP analyzed 1044mb high will continue to
push southeastward over the North Country tonight. With the high
situated nearly overhead anticipate a fairly favorable radiational
cooling night. MOS guidance continues to be the coldest among the
guidance, including much of the BC guidance. Have continued to trend
on the cooler side of things, but lack of substantial snow cover may
contribute to slightly warmer temps than MOS suggests...regardless,
still going to be a fairly chilly night given 925mb temperatures
right around -10 C. Lows should into the upper single digits to low
teens for most valleys, and near to below zero for the colder
hollows of the Adirondacks and NEK.

Main focus for Monday will be continued dry weather and warmer
temperatures. Sounding profiles show very dry airmass in place
overhead with dew point depressions during peak mixing Monday
afternoon greater than 20 degrees. Winds will turn out of the south
around 10 kt. Bumped temperatures up slightly beyond model guidance
given warm trend over the last several days and mostly sunny skies.
Highs are expected in the low to mid 40s for the valleys and 30s for
mountain locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 435 AM EDT Sunday...Expecting southerly winds increasing
along with warm advection Monday night into Tuesday ahead of a
cold front. Temps will be fairly steady or rising overnight in
the mid 20s to mid 30s. Limited moisture returns as precipitable
water reaches about an half an inch on the nose of a
southwesterly 40-50kt 850 jet. Decent isentropic lift and weak
low level convergence and upper level divergence will bring
showers mostly in the form of rain, though could be a mix of wet
snow if it starts early enough in the morning before snow
levels climb to 2500-3500ft. Less than an inch of snow in the
higher terrain. Precip totals should be light with a tenth or
two although could be less than that in the Champlain valley
with downsloping off the Adirondacks. High temps mainly in the
40s with south to southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph, perhaps
higher over Lake Champlain.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 435 AM EDT Sunday...Behind the front Tuesday night there
could be some mountain snow showers but not expecting much
accumulation as the another dry cold airmass moves in from
Canada for Wed. Models continue to be split on the solutions for
Thu/Fri as the EC/CMC brings a warm front with a quick return
of precip on Thu while GFS hold it off until Thu night/Friday.
For now have increasing chance of precip later Thu into Friday.
Temps may be cold enough for a little wet snow at the onset
before changing to rain showers. All the models then pretty much
in a agreement that we get into the warm sector by Friday
before another cold front sweeps through with cooler and drier
conditions by Saturday. Temps generally near or above normal
with the the possibility of 60 degrees on Friday, but stay
tuned.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Mainly VFR conditions expected throughout
the TAF period. High clouds will begin to move eastward
throughout the overnight hours with mainly clear skies expected.
Towards sunset MVFR ceilings may be possible across the high
terrain, including KSLK. A stay flurry may be possible in these
lowers clouds. Daytime mixing should erode these low clouds
with mostly SKC expected through remainder of TAF period. NW
winds 05-15kt expected overnight. A dry secondary cold front
moving from north to south across the region will shift winds
northerly for Sunday at 8- 12kt. Light and variable winds
expected Sunday night.

Outlook...

Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHSN.
Tuesday: Mainly MVFR and IFR, with local VFR possible. Definite
SHRA, Likely SHSN.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance SHSN.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...LaRocca
NEAR TERM...LaRocca
SHORT TERM...Sisson
LONG TERM...Sisson
AVIATION...LaRocca

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
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December 2008, Week 3
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November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
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June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
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July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
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June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
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January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
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October 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
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September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
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July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 3
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January 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 1
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July 2002, Week 2
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
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January 2002, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 3
June 1999, Week 2
June 1999, Week 1
May 1999, Week 5
May 1999, Week 4
May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
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April 1999, Week 3
April 1999, Week 2
April 1999, Week 1
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March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
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December 1998, Week 5
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