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SKIVT-L  March 2020, Week 3

SKIVT-L March 2020, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 17 Mar 2020 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (251 lines)

Expires:202003172000;;612319
FPUS51 KBTV 170711
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
309 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2020


VTZ006-172000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
309 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2020

.TODAY...Snow or rain showers likely. Snow accumulation a dusting
to 2 inches. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph
with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers or a slight
chance of snow showers until midnight. Little or no additional
snow accumulation. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Light and
variable winds. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Snow or rain likely. Little or no snow
accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Rain or snow likely or a chance of drizzle. Little or
no snow accumulation. Highs in the lower 40s. Southeast winds
15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Rain with a chance of drizzle. Lows in the
upper 30s. Chance of rain near 100 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Rain, breezy and much warmer with highs in the lower
60s. Chance of rain near 100 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Breezy with lows in the mid 20s. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Highs in the lower 30s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a chance of flurries. Lows
10 to 15. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of flurries. Highs in the
lower 30s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 20. 
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. 

$$


Expires:202003171100;;620427
ASUS41 KBTV 171030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 17 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-171100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FLURRIES  34  27  75 S18G25    30.13F WCI  23          
MONTPELIER     FLURRIES  28  22  78 S9G17     30.19F WCI  19          
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW  29  26  89 S6        30.16F FOG     WCI  23  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     28  22  78 MISG      30.18F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   LGT SNOW  26  23  88 SE8       30.18F WCI  18          
MIDDLEBURY*    FLURRIES  33  27  80 S13G22    30.16F WCI  24          
RUTLAND*       FLURRIES  31  28  89 SE14      30.19F WCI  21          
SPRINGFIELD    LGT SNOW  30  24  78 S3        30.26F                  
HIGHGATE*      LGT SNOW  35  32  88 S15G22    30.10F WCI  25          
NEWPORT*       LGT SNOW  27  23  87 S17G24    30.13F WCI  14          
BENNINGTON     LGT SNOW  34  28  79 VRB3      30.18F                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     27 N/A N/A E6          N/A  WCI  20          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     25 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     27 N/A N/A SW8         N/A  WCI  18          
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     23 N/A N/A S23G41      N/A  WCI   7          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     34  32  93 SE28G37     N/A  WCI  20          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     34  32  93 S33         N/A  WCI  19          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  32 100 SE18        N/A  WCI  20          

$$


Expires:No;;613933
FXUS61 KBTV 170757
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
357 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Periods of light rain and snow are likely this morning,
especially across northern New York into parts of central and
northern Vermont. A light snow accumulation is possible in the
higher terrain, along with gusty south winds. Temperatures by
this afternoon will warm into the upper 30s to mid 40s. Slightly
cooler and drier weather arrives Wednesday, before more showers
and warmer temperatures are expected on Thursday and Friday.
Temperatures are expected to warm into the 60s on Friday, before
sharply falling back into the 30s for the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 333 AM EDT Tuesday...Crnt radar shows pockets of light
snow and rain moving acrs northern NY and parts of VT early this
morning, with SLK recently down to 2sm in -sn. Expect this
initial band of precip to lift north and dissipate over the next
1 to 2 hours. Meanwhile, better dynamics aloft arrive btwn
12-15z this morning, along with a ribbon of enhanced 850 to
500mb rh and weak sfc reflection. This energy/moisture will help
in the redevelopment of additional light rain/snow this morning
into the early aftn hours. Thermal profiles suggest enough dry
air initially for wet bulb cooling to occur with column cooling
enough for a period of snow this morning. However, as bl temps
warm into the mid/upper 30s by midday, thinking snow will be
mainly confined above 2500 feet. A quick dusting to maybe an
inch is possible in the 1500 to 2500 foot level this morning,
with minimal accumulation in the valleys. Breezy to locally
gusty south/southwest winds anticipated, especially btwn 6 AM
and noon today, as strong 925mb to 850mb winds of of 45 to 60
knots moves acrs our cwa. Localized gusts to 40 mph possible CPV
and 30 to 35 mph SLV/northern dacks. Temps on breezy southerly
winds warm into the upper 30s to mid 40s. Tonight, any lingering
leftover precip will quickly dissipate by 00z with a dry
overnight expected. Lows on modest llvl caa will drop into the
upper teens mountains to mid/upper 20s CPV/lower CT River
Valley. On Weds...1032mb high pres crests over the region with
fast westerly flow aloft. This will result in dry conditions
with winds becoming light and trrn driven. Progged 925mb temps
in the -3c to -6c range support highs mid 30s to lower 40s
depend upon elevation for Weds, which is very close to normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 357 AM EDT Tuesday...An active period of weather is expected
for the middle to end of the work week with 2 distinct systems to
highlight. The first comes late Wednesday night through Thursday as
a modest shortwave trough will track west to east through the
Northeast. Some differences continue in this mornings guidance as to
the northward extent of precipitation, as well as the onset with
surface high pressure centered over the Canadian maritimes Thursday
morning. Based on the available moisture and modest south/southeast
low level flow, feel we'll see precip work across the entire
forecast area from the pre- dawn hours through mid-day Thursday
before tapering off in the afternoon. Ptype will largely be
dominated by boundary layer temps with the wider valleys seeing
mainly rain, while elsewhere a rain/snow mix with a dusting to 2
inches of wet snow accumulation is possible through mid-day before
surface temps warm into the upper 30s to 40s changing all precip to
liquid form by the afternoon. While precip is tapering off in the
afternoon, moisture becomes lacking aloft so anything lingering will
likely be drizzle, but chances dwindle into the evening with a short
break between systems expected.

That break in precip lasts only until perhaps midnight before the
next round races in along an approaching warm front ahead of low
pressure tracking into the Great Lakes. A deep moisture fetch of 3-4
stdDev above normal stretching back to the western GOMEX will
support a period of moderate to locally heavy rain through sunrise
Friday before a strong low level southwesterly jet of 60kts at 850mb
traverses the region post warm frontal passage changing the
character of rain to more shower-like through the remainder of the
day. Firmly in the warm sector, 925mb temps rise to +10-12C
supporting highs well into the 60s area-wide Friday afternoon before
a strong cold front brings a return to reality Friday night as temps
fall sharply into 20s by Saturday morning. Precip could end as a
brief period of snow showers Friday night, with the threat of a
flash freeze definitely possible.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 357 AM EDT Tuesday...Quieter conditions return for the weekend
into early next week as a 1040mb high entering into the Great Lakes
Saturday morning traverses the northeast, centering over the North
Country Sunday night and shifting offshore on Monday. The result
will be almost nil chances for precip, along with a return of below
normal temperatures for the weekend. Daytime highs will largely
struggle to warm into the 30s, while overnight lows will range
through the teens Saturday night, and teens to 20s Sunday night.
With the strongest push of cold air advection coming Sunday morning,
we could see some light flurries squeezed out, but for the most part
we should see a good deal of sunshine through the period. As the
high shifts offshore Monday, developing southerly return flow will
warm temps back above normal by the afternoon with highs rebounding
nicely into the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...Changeable taf conditions the next 6 to
18 hours as light precip overspreads the region from southwest
to northeast. Expect VFR conditions to trend toward MVFR
especially MSS/SLK/MPV by 12z with a mix of rain/snow arriving.
Cigs will fall into the MVFR category, while vis ranges in the
2-4sm. Meanwhile, PBG/BTV/RUT will have mainly vfr conditions
prevail with brief periods of mvfr cigs/vis possible mid morning
as some heavier precip arrives. Conditions improve at all sites
by 18z this aftn as steadier precip shifts east and bl temps
warm enough to support mainly rain. Gusty south/southwest winds
of 10 to 15 gusts 25 to 30 knots expected at BTV/MSS/SLK with SE
winds at RUT. 

Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Chance SN, Chance RA.
Thursday: Mainly MVFR and IFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance
RA, Likely SN.
Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Definite
RA.
Friday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Definite SHRA.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance SHSN.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...Taber

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
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November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 5
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July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
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June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
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May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 1
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March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
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June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 3
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May 2007, Week 1
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April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
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January 2007, Week 3
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January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 3
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November 2006, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 3
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October 2006, Week 1
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September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
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August 2006, Week 1
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July 2006, Week 3
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May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 3
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