Expires:202003182000;;664629
FPUS51 KBTV 180738
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
336 AM EDT Wed Mar 18 2020


VTZ006-182000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
336 AM EDT Wed Mar 18 2020

.TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Light and variable
winds. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. A chance of snow showers after midnight.
Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the upper 20s. Light and
variable winds. Chance of snow 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow or rain showers in
the morning, then a slight chance of rain showers in the
afternoon. Little or no snow accumulation. Highs in the mid 40s.
Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Rain, breezy with lows in the mid 30s.
Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Showers, windy and much warmer with highs in the lower
60s. South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Chance of
rain 90 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely with a chance of snow
showers. Little or no snow accumulation. Windy with lows around
20. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Breezy with highs in the upper 20s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 10 above. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 15 to 20. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 

$$


Expires:202003181100;;672329
ASUS41 KBTV 181030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED MAR 18 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-181100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      33  17  51 NW9       30.35R WCI  25          
MONTPELIER     FAIR      28  16  60 NW6       30.33R WCI  22          
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      33  17  51 NW8       30.33R WCI  26          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     32  20  61 MISG      30.28R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   MOCLDY    30  20  65 W7        30.30R WCI  23          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      25  20  81 CALM      30.35R                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      28  19  69 CALM      30.34R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      31  17  56 N3        30.33R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      32  24  74 CALM      30.37R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    29  22  76 N10       30.32R WCI  20          
BENNINGTON     FAIR      32  19  58 SW9       30.34R WCI  24          
ISLAND POND*     N/A     30 N/A N/A NW8         N/A  WCI  23          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     25 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     30 N/A N/A W3          N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     19 N/A N/A S9          N/A  WCI   9          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     32  25  74 NW6         N/A  WCI  26          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     34  23  64 NW9         N/A  WCI  26          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     36  19  51 W13         N/A  WCI  27          

$$


Expires:No;;665437
FXUS61 KBTV 180801
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
401 AM EDT Wed Mar 18 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will provide the North Country with mainly sunny
skies this morning, before high clouds develop this afternoon
with near normal temperatures. A period of light rain and snow
is expected to impact central and southern Vermont on Thursday
morning with some minor snow accumulation possible. Much warmer
temperatures along with occasional showers and gusty winds 
arrive on Friday, before temperatures drop sharply on Friday 
night into Saturday. Highs on Friday reach the 60s across many
locations, before dropping back below seasonal norms by
Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 347 AM EDT Wednesday...Sfc analysis shows 1030mb high pres
acrs the central Great Lakes building toward the cwa, while 
water vapor shows strong mid level drying over the NE conus.
Any lingering clouds this morning will dissipate with mostly
sunny skies anticipated. However, fast westerly flow aloft will
help to advect mid/upper lvl moisture into our cwa this aftn,
with clouds overspreading the region by evening. Progged 925mb
temps are in the -2c to -4c range, supporting highs upper 30s to
l/m 40s most locations, which is pretty close to normal.
Tonight, temps are tricky with developing/thickening clouds and
southerly winds. Thinking early evening lows in the mid 20s to
near 30f, before rising into the 30s by sunrise on Thurs. Temps
will be slowly to rise acrs the nek, where clouds cover and
winds will be less. Trends in the latest guidance shows best
lift/moisture associated with first surge of waa slides just to
our south on Thurs morning. Have continued to mention likely/cat
pops mainly along and south of I-89, with schc/chc north near
the international border. In addition, with the slightly further
south trend, qpf/snowfall is lighter with generally 1 to 2
inches higher trrn of Rutland/Windsor Counties and an inch or
less central VT locations. QPF ranges from 1 to 2 tenths south
to a few hundreths north. Still anticipating a few slick spots
especially higher trrn on Thurs morning due to anticipated snow.
Otherwise, southerly winds help to warm progged 925mb temps btwn
2-5c by 00z Friday, supporting highs late in the aftn in the 40s
to near 50f. Have confined the potential threat for lingering
areas of patchy drizzle on Thurs aftn to the southeast upslope 
areas of the eastern Dacks and parts of the southern/central 
Green Mtns, as soundings show limited llvl moisture profiles.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 400 AM EDT Wednesday...The forecast for the end of the work
week remains on track to be active and potentially hazardous. The
synoptic setup is unchanged as deepening low pressure tracking
northwest into the Great Lakes will drag a warm front through the
forecast area Thursday night, and a cold front Friday night.
Isentropic lift along the warm front combined with a deep moisture
fetch of 3-4 stdDev above normal stretching back to the western
GOMEX will support a period of moderate to locally heavy rain
through sunrise before the front lifts north of the border Friday
morning.

Entrenched in the warm sector, precipitation will taper to scattered
showers Friday morning, with the focus shifting to a pre-frontal
trough passage in the afternoon as well as the potential for strong
to locally damaging winds. Latest hi-res guidance of the NAM, local
4km WRF and even the GFS indicate the potential for the development
of a fine line of showers and embedded thunder with skinny elevated
CAPE profiles of a few hundred J/kg along the trough passage. In
addition, a strong 925mb southwesterly jet of 40-50kts in the
Champlain Valley and up to 60kts in the St. Lawrence Valley is
expected to develop through the day with widespread gusts of 20-40
mph likely west of the Green Mountains and the potential for
channeled wind gusts near 50 mph possible in the St. Lawrence Valley
and portions of the northern Adirondacks Friday afternoon. Finally,
925mb temps remain on track to rise to around +13-15C supporting
highs well into the 60s area-wide with 70 degrees not out of the
question in the wider valleys.

Pre-frontal trough exits southeast of the region Friday evening with
a trailing cold front bringing a return to reality Friday night as
temps fall sharply into 20s by Saturday morning. Afternoon and
evening showers will generally dissipate after sunset, but increase
in coverage again as snow showers mainly across the northern
mountains early Saturday morning as the cold front sweeps southward.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 400 AM EDT Wednesday...Quieter conditions remain on tap for the
weekend into early next week as a 1040mb high entering into the
Great Lakes Saturday morning traverses the northeast, centers over
the North Country Sunday night and shifts offshore on Monday. The
result will be clearing skies, almost nil chances for precip, and a
return of below normal temperatures for the weekend. Daytime highs
will largely struggle to warm into the upper 20s to low 30s
Saturday, and mid/upper 30s Sunday while overnight lows will range
through the teens with some isolated single digits Saturday night,
and teens to 20s Sunday night.

As the high shifts offshore Monday, developing southerly return flow
will warm temps back above normal by the afternoon with highs
rebounding nicely into the 40s. Moisture from low pressure passing
well offshore east of the benchmark, combined with an upper trough
skirting the intl border may produce some scattered showers Monday
afternoon and night, with high pressure returning for Tuesday and
temps warming further into the mid/upper 40s.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...Building high pres will result in 12 to
24 hours of vfr conditions at all sites. North/northwest winds
of 4 to 8 knots will become light and variable today, before
shifting to the south/southeast by tonight. Mid/upper level
clouds will move into the region by this evening, with precip
arriving toward 12z Thursday. 

Outlook...

Thursday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance RA, Chance
SN, Likely FZRA, Slight chance DZ.
Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Definite
RA, Chance DZ.
Friday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Windy with gusts to 30 kt.
Definite SHRA.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...Taber

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