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SKIVT-L  March 2020, Week 4

SKIVT-L March 2020, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 23 Mar 2020 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (254 lines)

Expires:202003232000;;925985
FPUS51 KBTV 230725
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
322 AM EDT Mon Mar 23 2020


VTZ006-232000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
322 AM EDT Mon Mar 23 2020

.TODAY...Cloudy. A chance of snow and rain this afternoon. Snow
accumulation a dusting to 2 inches possible. Highs in the mid
30s. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Snow. A chance of freezing drizzle after midnight.
Total snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches. Near steady temperature
in the upper 20s. South winds 15 to 20 mph, becoming southwest
around 10 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of freezing drizzle with a
slight chance of drizzle in the morning. Highs around 40. Light
and variable winds, becoming northwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Northeast
winds around 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 40s. Southeast winds around 10 mph with gusts up to
25 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of snow or rain. Lows in
the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Highs in the mid
40s. Chance of snow 30 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers. Highs in
the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Snow or rain showers likely. Lows in the lower
30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 

$$


Expires:202003231100;;934017
ASUS41 KBTV 231030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-231100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    30  10  43 S7        30.54F WCI  23          
MONTPELIER     FAIR      25  13  60 SE6       30.59F WCI  18          
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      23  15  71 S6        30.57F WCI  16          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     18  12  77 MISG      30.60F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      21  12  67 SE6       30.58F WCI  14          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      31  11  44 S10G17    30.55F WCI  22          
RUTLAND*       MOCLDY    29  14  53 SE12      30.56F WCI  19          
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      27  12  53 S3        30.63F                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      32  12  43 S10G16    30.52F WCI  24          
NEWPORT*       FAIR      24  13  64 S13       30.55F WCI  12          
BENNINGTON     FAIR      30   9  41 SE15G24   30.53F WCI  19          
ISLAND POND*     N/A     10 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     12 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     23 N/A N/A SW7         N/A  WCI  15          
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     16 N/A N/A SE23G40     N/A  WCI  -2          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     32  18  55 SE13G18     N/A  WCI  22          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     32  19  59 S25G33      N/A  WCI  19          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     28  18  64 S7          N/A  WCI  21          

$$


Expires:No;;927667
FXUS61 KBTV 230805
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
405 AM EDT Mon Mar 23 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A coastal low pressure system passing just southeast of southern New 
England will bring a mix of rain and snow this afternoon, before 
changing to all snow this evening through midnight. Several inches 
of accumulation are likely, especially across south-central Vermont. 
Quieter but cloudy conditions are expected Tuesday with some morning 
drizzle possible, followed by more unsettled weather for Wednesday 
through the end of the work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 404 AM EDT Monday...Overall forecast remains in good shape for
the next 36 hours with fairly good model consensus showing low
pressure developing over the North Carolina coast this morning
tracking northeast to just inside the benchmark around midnight and
off into the Canadian Maritimes on Tuesday. Latest trends have been
toward a slight northward shift of QPF and precipitation mainly
falling as snow this afternoon due to wet-bulbing. With this in
mind, have adjusted snow amounts slightly which pushes previous
advisories slightly northward into central VT and Essex county of
New York.

Event total snowfall by early Tuesday will range from 3-5" across
southern Vermont and Essex, NY with localized amounts up to 6"
possible in the southeast upslope regions such as Ludlow. Across
central Vermont amounts will be in the 2-5" range, and north-
northwestward only a dusting to 2" is expected.

Timing of precipitation onset still looks to be during the early to
mid afternoon and may briefly begin as a rain/snow mix in the
Champlain Valley before changing to all snow by the evening rush
hour. Light snow north and moderate snow south then persists through
midnight with progged HREF snowfall rates up to 1"/hr likely through
sunset across portions of Rutland and Windsor counties. Progressing
towards midnight though, forecast soundings are now indicating a
lack of moisture in the DGZ as drier air begins to move in aloft.
With an abundance of low level moisture around, precipitation will
likely transition to freezing drizzle after midnight. This will
likely have little impact as far as icing is concerned as QPF will
be dwindling, but subsequently will end snow accumulation. Some
drizzle and freezing drizzle looks to linger across upslope areas
and into the northern Champlain Valley Tuesday morning before drying
aloft begins to mix to the surface during the afternoon with skies
slowly scattering out. Highs Tuesday will warm to near normal values
in the upper 30s to mid 40s, which for many areas will melt all the
fresh new snow.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 404 AM EDT Monday...High pressure crests over srn Quebec
Tuesday night bringing light winds and mostly clear conditions to
the North Country. With good radiational cooling expected, leaned
toward colder NAM-MOS guidance. Overnight lows should dip into the
mid 20s in most areas, except in the lower 20s across the nrn
Adirondacks and far nern VT.

Low pressure is expected to develop off the Delmarva peninsula
Wednesday afternoon and pass well south of New England during 
Wednesday night. This system will result in increasing clouds 
during the day Wednesday, and a chance of rain or higher 
elevation snowfall Wednesday afternoon thru early Wednesday 
night (PoPs 40-60%, highest south). May see 1-2" snow 
accumulation across the srn Greens during Wednesday evening, 
with lesser amounts northward and across lower elevation areas 
(where PBL temperatures are marginal). Any accumulation at lower
elevations would likely occur after sunset. Wednesday's highs 
will range from the upper 30s to lower 40s prior to 
precipitation onset across the southern half of the CWA. Thinner
cloud cover should allow temperatures to climb into the mid 40s
across the nrn Champlain Valley and St. Lawrence Valley areas. 
Lows will fall back into the upper 20s to lower 30s Wednesday 
night.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 404 AM EDT Monday...The 00Z Canadian/ECMWF/GFS solutions
continue to diverge strongly late in the week, and overall pattern
predictability is considered lower than average.

After deep oceanic cyclone departs east of New England Wednesday
night, it appears that most of Thursday will be dry. A modest
northern stream shortwave trough with limited moisture availability
will bring a chance of rain and higher elevation/mountain snow
showers during Thursday night. Should see highs in the 45-50F range
Thursday, followed by lows 30-35F for Thursday night. Thereafter,
the 00Z GFS indicates a fast zonal flow regime across the Great
Lakes into New England, while the 00Z ECMWF develops large-scale
ridging in advance of a more vigorous shortwave trough and possible
rain across the North Country for Saturday night into Sunday. The
00Z GFS, meanwhile, brings a weaker/faster shortwave trough across
the region with light rain/snow for Friday. Have leaned toward the
ECMWF soln at this time, which had continuity from the 12Z run.
Forecast PoPs around 60% for widespread light to moderate rainfall
Saturday night into early Sunday. Should see high temperatures in
the mid 40s for Friday, before trending into the upper 40s for
Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 06Z Tuesday...VFR conditions persist through 15-18Z with
BKN mid/high clouds gradually lowering. Thereafter, ceilings
trend to MVFR and vsby to IFR as light snow overspreads the
region and persists through much of the remainder of the TAF
period. Light winds overnight will sharply increase after
sunrise from the south/southeast from the Champlain Valley
eastward with sustained winds of 10-15kt and gusts 22-28kts.
Westward winds will generally be less than 10 kts from the ESE.

Outlook...

Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHSN.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance RA,
Chance SHRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance RA,
Chance SHRA, Chance SN, Chance SHSN.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance
SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Friday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Slight chance SHRA,
Slight chance SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Winter Weather Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EDT 
     Tuesday for VTZ010>012-018-019.
NY...Winter Weather Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EDT 
     Tuesday for NYZ034.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Banacos
LONG TERM...Banacos
AVIATION...Lahiff

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
December 2008, Week 4
December 2008, Week 3
December 2008, Week 2
December 2008, Week 1
November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
March 2006, Week 5
March 2006, Week 4
March 2006, Week 3
March 2006, Week 2
March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
February 2006, Week 3
February 2006, Week 2
February 2006, Week 1
January 2006, Week 5
January 2006, Week 4
January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
December 2005, Week 4
December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
November 2005, Week 5
November 2005, Week 4
November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
June 2005, Week 5
June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
December 2004, Week 5
December 2004, Week 4
December 2004, Week 3
December 2004, Week 2
December 2004, Week 1
November 2004, Week 5
November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
July 2004, Week 2
July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
May 2004, Week 4
May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
April 2004, Week 5
April 2004, Week 4
April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
March 2004, Week 5
March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
February 2004, Week 2
February 2004, Week 1
January 2004, Week 5
January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
January 2004, Week 2
January 2004, Week 1
December 2003, Week 5
December 2003, Week 4
December 2003, Week 3
December 2003, Week 2
December 2003, Week 1
November 2003, Week 5
November 2003, Week 4
November 2003, Week 3
November 2003, Week 2
November 2003, Week 1
October 2003, Week 5
October 2003, Week 4
October 2003, Week 3
October 2003, Week 2
October 2003, Week 1
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September 2003, Week 3
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June 2003, Week 1
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May 2003, Week 1
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April 2003, Week 3
April 2003, Week 2
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March 2003, Week 5
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March 2003, Week 3
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March 2003, Week 1
February 2003, Week 4
February 2003, Week 3
February 2003, Week 2
February 2003, Week 1
January 2003, Week 5
January 2003, Week 4
January 2003, Week 3
January 2003, Week 2
January 2003, Week 1
December 2002, Week 5
December 2002, Week 4
December 2002, Week 3
December 2002, Week 2
December 2002, Week 1
November 2002, Week 5
November 2002, Week 4
November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
October 2002, Week 5
October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
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June 2002, Week 5
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May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
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April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
December 2001, Week 5
December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
December 2001, Week 2
December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
November 2001, Week 4
November 2001, Week 3
November 2001, Week 2
November 2001, Week 1
October 2001, Week 5
October 2001, Week 4
October 2001, Week 3
October 2001, Week 2
October 2001, Week 1
September 2001, Week 5
September 2001, Week 4
September 2001, Week 3
September 2001, Week 2
September 2001, Week 1
August 2001, Week 5
August 2001, Week 4
August 2001, Week 3
August 2001, Week 2
August 2001, Week 1
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June 2001, Week 5
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June 2001, Week 3
June 2001, Week 2
June 2001, Week 1
May 2001, Week 5
May 2001, Week 4
May 2001, Week 3
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May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
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April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
February 2001, Week 4
February 2001, Week 3
February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
January 2001, Week 4
January 2001, Week 3
January 2001, Week 2
January 2001, Week 1
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October 2000, Week 3
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October 2000, Week 1
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August 2000, Week 3
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July 2000, Week 2
July 2000, Week 1
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June 2000, Week 3
June 2000, Week 2
June 2000, Week 1
May 2000, Week 5
May 2000, Week 4
May 2000, Week 3
May 2000, Week 2
May 2000, Week 1
April 2000, Week 5
April 2000, Week 4
April 2000, Week 3
April 2000, Week 2
April 2000, Week 1
March 2000, Week 5
March 2000, Week 4
March 2000, Week 3
March 2000, Week 2
March 2000, Week 1
February 2000, Week 5
February 2000, Week 4
February 2000, Week 3
February 2000, Week 2
February 2000, Week 1
January 2000, Week 5
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December 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 5
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March 1999, Week 1
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February 1999, Week 1
January 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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