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SKIVT-L  March 2020, Week 4

SKIVT-L March 2020, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

"Wesley A. Wright" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 25 Mar 2020 06:50:04 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (226 lines)

Expires:202003252000;;030145
FPUS51 KBTV 250710
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
306 AM EDT Wed Mar 25 2020


VTZ006-252000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
306 AM EDT Wed Mar 25 2020

.TODAY...Partly sunny this morning, then becoming mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 40s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. A chance of rain showers in the
afternoon. Highs in the mid 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance
of rain 30 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow
showers. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the upper 20s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the upper 40s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Snow or rain likely. Lows in the lower 30s.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Rain or snow. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of
precipitation 80 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain likely or a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
in the mid 20s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 

$$


Expires:202003251100;;038746
ASUS41 KBTV 251030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-251100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      28  23  81 SE6       30.17S WCI  22          
MONTPELIER     FOG       19  16  88 CALM      30.21R VSB 1/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       18  16  92 S3        30.20R VSB 1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     20  19  96 MISG      30.20R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       16  14  93 CALM      30.20R VSB 1/4          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      26  20  78 S3        30.15F                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      28  26  92 SE7       30.15S WCI  21          
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    28  26  92 CALM      30.19S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      29  27  91 E7        30.18S WCI  22          
NEWPORT*       FAIR      17  16  95 SW5       30.19S WCI  10          
BENNINGTON     FAIR      34  23  64 MISG      30.10F                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     16 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A      9 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A      7 N/A N/A SW2         N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     21 N/A N/A S30         N/A  WCI   3          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     32  28  86 SE7         N/A  WCI  26          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     32  30  93 SE5         N/A  WCI  27          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     28  28 100 S3          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;030654
FXUS61 KBTV 250724
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
324 AM EDT Wed Mar 25 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Quiet weather is in store for the North Country today as a low 
pressure system tracks well to our south. Temperatures today will 
warm back to above normal temperatures and this trend will continue 
through the upcoming weekend. Several rounds of rainfall are in 
store for the North Country Thursday night, again Friday afternoon 
and finally on Sunday. The Sunday event will be the most impactful 
event with widespread rainfall continuing through the day before 
tapering off to snow showers Monday morning.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 324 AM EDT Wednesday...Patchy dense fog will continue east of
the Green Mountains through sunrise before quickly dissipating under
springtime sun. Cirrus clouds associated with a coastal low off the
Virginia coastline will overspread the North Country this morning
from southwest to northeast through the morning hours. Based on the
00Z RAOB analysis, the surface high over the northeastern US was
slightly stronger than what the models had been depicting and this
has been reflected in the 00Z run of the American models. Both the
GFS and NAM show precipitation being suppressed to the south as the
high remains very expansive which has led us to cut PoPs to less
than 20% for our entire forecast area. We will still see mostly
cloudy skies through the daylight hours but weak warm air advection
at 925 mb and 850 mb should yield temperatures in the lower to upper
40s this afternoon. Temperatures overnight will also be about 3-5
degrees warmer than those observed this morning due to this weak
warm air advection and increased cloud cover.

Thursday is shaping to be a decent springtime day across the North
Country with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies prevailing from mid-
morning through mid-afternoon. Highs on Thursday will warm into the
mid 40s to mid 50s underneath this partial sunlight. However, we
will begin to see increasing clouds mid-afternoon as we head into
the evening hours ahead of a weak upper level disturbance. Rain
chances will increase as we head into the evening hours, mainly
across northern New York and near the international border as the
disturbance pushes through. Rainfall totals will this disturbance
will be meager at best with amounts totaling 0.05" to 0.15".

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 324 AM EDT Wednesday...Shortwave trough moves across eastern
Canada and northern New England Thursday evening. Dynamic forcing,
sufficient to produce some light precipitation, moves east of the
region after midnight and precipitation will come to an end. Thermal
profile suggests precipitation will mainly be in the form of rain,
but could end as some snow showers at the end of the event. Another
shortwave trough moves toward the region on Friday, this time to our
south, and there could be a few showers across the southern third of
Vermont Friday morning through about mid-afternoon. The rest of the
area will remain dry with highs on Friday generally in the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 324 AM EDT Wednesday...Northwest flow aloft develops over the
area Friday night through Saturday night with dry weather expected
during this period. Slightly warmer temperatures are expected on
Saturday with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Given the
northwest flow aloft over the area...it appears any precipitation
will hold off until later Saturday night. This is when flow aloft
eventually backs to the southwest in response to an strengthening
upper level trough of low pressure moving across the central part of
the country. This system is slow to move across the region and thus
we are looking at an extended period of wet weather, especially
during the Sunday through Monday time period. Deep moisture within
the southwest flow aloft will allow for widespread precipitation to
develop over the area throughout the morning hours on Sunday.
Precipitation will be mainly rain, but could see some snow across
areas east of the Green Mountains in Vermont. Deeper moisture moves
out of the area Sunday night, but dynamic forcing increases over the
area as upper low moves into the region. This should maintain fairly
widespread precipitation across northern New York and Vermont late
Sunday night into Monday. Slow drying takes place as upper low
finally moves east of the area Monday night into Tuesday. High
temperatures Sunday through Tuesday will generally be in the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...VFR conditions prevail across much of the
region this morning with either clear skies or scattered cirrus
moving overhead. Some LIFR fog has formed at KSLK and KMPV this
morning but should remain very isolated to these two terminals.
As high clouds continue to build in from the southwest, the fog
should begin to mix out. However, KMPV could be down until
12Z-13Z based on the cloud timing at this time. VFR conditions
will then develop for the remainder of the TAF period with winds
switching to the southeast at 5-10 knots. It's not looking like
any precipitation that falls today will be south of our forecast
area so have removed all mention of VCSH with this forecast
package.

Outlook...

Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance
SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA,
Slight chance SHSN.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. Chance RA.
Saturday Night: VFR. Definite RA, Definite SN.
Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Likely RA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Clay
NEAR TERM...Clay
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Clay

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
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January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
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December 2008, Week 1
November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
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October 2008, Week 5
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October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
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July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
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June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
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January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
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June 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
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February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
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October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
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August 2006, Week 5
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June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
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May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
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January 2006, Week 5
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January 2006, Week 1
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December 2005, Week 2
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
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December 2004, Week 3
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November 2004, Week 2
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October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
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May 2004, Week 3
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June 2002, Week 5
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
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December 2001, Week 1
November 2001, Week 5
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April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
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March 2000, Week 5
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December 1999, Week 5
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June 1999, Week 3
June 1999, Week 2
June 1999, Week 1
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May 1999, Week 4
May 1999, Week 3
May 1999, Week 2
May 1999, Week 1
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April 1999, Week 1
March 1999, Week 5
March 1999, Week 4
March 1999, Week 3
March 1999, Week 2
March 1999, Week 1
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December 1998, Week 5
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