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SKIVT-L  August 2020, Week 2

SKIVT-L August 2020, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Alan Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 11 Aug 2020 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (243 lines)

Expires:202008112000;;269336
FPUS51 KBTV 110731
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
329 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020


VTZ006-112000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
329 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020

.TODAY...Partly sunny. Patchy dense fog this morning. A chance of
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s.
South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. A chance of
thunderstorms, mainly until midnight. Humid with lows in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain
50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the morning. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds
around 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Light and
variable winds. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Northwest winds around
10 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. 

$$


Expires:202008111100;;277115
ASUS41 KBTV 111030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-111100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    72  66  81 S7        29.92R                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       64  64 100 CALM      30.01R VSB 1/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       66  65  96 CALM      29.96R VSB 1/2          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     65  63  93 MISG      29.96R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       62  61  97 CALM      30.00R VSB<1/4          
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     66  66 100 SE7       29.97S                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    64  62  93 CALM      29.98S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      72  67  84 S6        29.91R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      66  63  88 S3        29.97R                  
BENNINGTON     PTCLDY    64  62  93 CALM      29.97F FOG              
ISLAND POND*     N/A     59 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     66 N/A N/A SW20        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     73  68  83 SE13G18     N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     72  70  94 S22         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     72  70  94 S9          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;272930
FXUS61 KBTV 110843
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
443 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Hot and humid weather for today with valley locations expected
to see heat indices in the mid 90s. Some showers and
thunderstorms will develop this afternoon over northern NY and
progress eastward into Vermont through tonight as a front moves
through. Some storms the afternoon may contain locally gusty 
winds and locally heavy rainfall. The remainder of the week will
be drier with temperatures cooling a few degrees each day as
expansive high pressure pushes down from Canada. 

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 432 AM EDT Tuesday...Everything still on track for today to 
be the hottest day of the week, and heat advisories are in effect
for valley locations starting at noon today. 

Increasing southwesterly flow over the forecast area today will 
advect in warmer and higher PWat air mass...with 850 mb temps 
progged to climb to around 18 to 19 deg C by this afternoon.  This 
will translate to surface temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s, 
although just how high temperatures climb will be dictated by cloud 
cover.  Starting off the day with a bit of valley fog that will 
quickly burn off, giving way to partly sunny skies for the remainder 
of the morning.  Complicating the temperatures forecast is some mid 
and upper-level clouds to our west associated with an approaching 
frontal boundary.  These clouds will spread over northern NY/VT 
through the afternoon, which will limit solar heating to some 
degree.  Nonetheless, very warm air mass will allow temps to quickly 
heat up today even with some clouds around.  Dewpoints will start 
off fairly high, in the upper 60s to low 70s, which will make for a 
muggy start to the morning.  Should see dewpoints lower some during 
the afternoon however with increased mixing progged to nearly 800 
mb...which will bring some drier air down to the surface and limit 
to some degree our heat indices.  Overall temperature forecast 
remains relatively consistent, with heat indices forecast to climb 
into mid 90s in the Champlain Valley, the Saint Lawrence Valley, 
parts of the Connecticut Valley.  Heat advisories remain in effect 
for these valley locations valid from noon today through 7 PM.  

Chances for precipitation this afternoon are trending upward, and 
models starting to come to a better consensus that we will see 
some thunderstorms develop later this afternoon as a front moves
into the western portion of our CWA. HiRes models are showing a
line of showers/tstorms developing over St. Lawrence County 
around 3 or 4 PM, then increasing in coverage as it tracks 
eastward to the Champlain Valley by early evening. The line will
likely weaken with waning diurnal instability east of the Green
Mountains as it moves into VT late evening. Noting relatively 
weak shear (around 20 kts), so still not looking like a 
favorable environment for highly organized convection...however 
the environment will be favorable for some locally heavy 
rainfall and locally gusty winds due to a few wet microbursts. 
Noting in particular high PW values, mid-level dry layer,and 
steep low-level lapse rates...all supportive of wet microbursts.


By the overnight hours tonight, northern NY will be dry, and
could see some fog overnight depending if they're able to clear
out. Further east, the front will slowly progress through
eastern VT during the overnight hours, with the progress slowed
as it runs into strong ridging over the western Atlantic. Thus,
showers may linger into the mid to late morning hours Thursday
for eastern VT. Overnight lows will be in the 60s for much of
northern NY, and in the upper 60s to low 70s for VT where cloud
cover will be greater.

Wednesday will be dry save for an isolated shower or two over
eastern Vermont as the front stalls to our southeast. Humidity levels 
will be noticeably lower behind the front, and highs Wednesday 
will be in the low to upper 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 417 AM EDT Tuesday...Wednesday night and Thursday will feature
quiet weather with a ridge of surface high pressure building into
our area from the North. Skies will be mostly clear/sunny and
temperatures will be about five degrees warmer than seasonal normals
for mid August.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 417 AM EDT Tuesday...The long term portion of the forecast from
Thursday night onwards remains quiet until the next possible frontal
passage around Monday night into Tuesday. High pressure ridge sinks
down over our forecast area out of Canada. A surface low pressure
system lifts northeastward through the St Lawrence river valley on
Monday and cold front crosses the area Monday night. This looks to
be our next chance at some showers and thunderstorms. Otherwise,
temperatures will run a few degrees above seasonal normals through
the period. Overall, a pretty quiet forecast for the Thu night
through Tue timeframe.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...Main aviation concern in the overnight
hours will be fairly widespread valley fog after yesterday's
rain followed by clear skies for the first part of the night.
Could see some temporary and localized fog at all TAF sites, but
expect fog with associated IFR/LIFR ceilings and vis to be most
prevalent and persistent at KSLK and KMPV between 06Z and 12Z.
After 12Z, should see fog lift and widespread VFR conditions for
the remainder of the day. Will see increasing high and mid-level
clouds after 12Z ahead of some rain/tstorms to our west. After
18Z, will see some scattered showers/tstorms develop that could
bring some locally heavy rainfall (resulting in temporary IFR 
visibility) along with some locally gusty winds. Front will move
through after 00Z, accompanied by line of more numerous
showers/storms with the potential for some MVFR ceilings and
temporarily IFR visibilities within heavier showers.  

Winds will be light and variable through 09Z, then become
southerly 5-10 kts, with some gusts 15 to 25 kts possible over
the Champlain Valley between 18Z and 03Z. 

Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. Scattered SHRA, Isolated TSRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM EDT this evening for 
     VTZ001-002-005-009>012.
NY...Heat Advisory from noon today to 7 PM EDT this evening for 
     NYZ026>028-035-087.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Duell
NEAR TERM...Duell
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Duell

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December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
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December 2008, Week 3
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December 2008, Week 1
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November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
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October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
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December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
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November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
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October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
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May 2006, Week 5
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May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
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October 2005, Week 3
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October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
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February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 3
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January 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 3
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October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 1
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August 2002, Week 3
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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May 2001, Week 1
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March 2001, Week 5
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February 2000, Week 3
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February 2000, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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