Expires:202008272000;;882181
FPUS51 KBTV 271036
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
633 AM EDT Thu Aug 27 2020


VTZ006-272000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
633 AM EDT Thu Aug 27 2020

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy this morning, then becoming partly sunny.
A 20 percent chance of light rain. Highs in the lower 60s. Light
and variable winds. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Light and variable
winds. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Light and
variable winds, becoming northwest around 10 mph in the
afternoon. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Light and
variable winds. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 60s. Southeast winds around
10 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Rain likely. Rain may be heavy at times. Lows
in the lower 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. 

$$


Expires:202008271100;;882041
ASUS41 KBTV 271030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU AUG 27 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-271100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    48  45  89 E3        29.82S                  
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    44  41  89 CALM      29.86S                  
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    42  40  92 CALM      29.83S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     42  39  89 MISG      29.81S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      41  40  97 CALM      29.84R                  
RUTLAND*       MOCLDY    48  47  96 SE3       29.84F                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    46  44  93 CALM      29.84F                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      46  44  90 CALM      29.81S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      41  39  93 SW6       29.82S                  
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    51  47  86 CALM      29.85R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     34 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     36 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     41 N/A N/A NE1         N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     43 N/A N/A W26         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     59  50  72 SW6         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     57  52  82 SE8         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     54  50  87 SE3         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;877322
FXUS61 KBTV 270828
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
428 AM EDT Thu Aug 27 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Clouds will increase quickly this morning with areas of showers
developing, especially across northern New York into parts of 
central and southern Vermont. Rainfall amounts will range from
less than a tenth of an inch across the north to half an inch
over southern Saint Lawrence Valley into southern Vermont. 
Another dry day is anticipated on Friday, before more rain 
arrives on Saturday. Temperatures generally on the cooler side 
of normal with highs mid 60s to mid 70s and lows mid 40s to mid 
50s through the period.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 414 AM EDT Thursday...Fcst challenge today will be areal
coverage of rain showers and impacts clouds/precip have on
temps. Water vapor shows northwest flw aloft is prevailing with
short wave energy and ribbon of mid lvl moisture angling
southeast toward portions of our cwa. It has been noted some
lightning activity near Lake Ontario associated with elevated
instability with developing waa. Given radar and water vapor
trends, still anticipating a sharp sw to ne pops/qpf gradient
acrs our fa today. Highest pops in the 80 to 100% range will be
acrs the southern SLV into Rutland/Windsor Counties, with just
15 to 30% pops acrs the NEK. A similar type pattern is
anticipated in the qpf fields with values in the 0.25 to 0.50
range acrs the south and < 0.10 over the northern sections.
NAM/GFS continue to support a developing narrow axis of enhanced
700mb fgen forcing associated with moderate mid lvl waa from MSS
to BTV to MPV, while better 850mb fgen lift and moisture is from
OGS to VSF. Thinking bands of light rain showers are possible
acrs our cwa, with the heavier axis acrs the south, where pw
values are >1.0 and some weak instability is located to help
with slightly better rainfall rates. In addition, northern
portions will have to overcome llvl dry air on light north
winds, undercutting the deeper moisture aloft. Temps will be
highly influenced by clouds/precip today, as our cwa will be on
the cooler side of the boundary. Thinking highs generally in the
mid 50s to mid 60s, if a period of sun breakouts this aftn, a
few readings near 70f are possible. 

Tonight, soundings show plenty of llvl moisture lingering with
potential for low stratus type clouds, especially northern dacks
into portions of the central/southern Green Mtns. Have minimal
pops as forcing is weak, but areas of spotty drizzle possible in
the higher trrn. Temps hold in the mid 40s to mid 50s with light
winds. Some patchy fog is possible too, but have not mention in
fcst attm. Friday, is dry but lingering moisture at multiple
layers in the atmosphere suggests the potential for clouds,
especially during the morning hours acrs the trrn. Eventually
some breaks in the overcast develop and temps should rebound
back into the mid 60s to mid 70s. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 414 AM EDT Thursday...No significant changes made to going
forecast. Guidance continues to remain on track for a widespread
wetting rainfall Saturday associated with the interaction of a
shortwave trough and deep tropical Moisture. Precipitation begins to
overspread the area early Saturday morning, working into the area
from the W-SW to the NE. Moderate rainfall will remain throughout
much of the day, with the potential for some locally heavy rainfall
Saturday afternoon as sounding profiles show modest elevated
instability. Overall, this rainfall will be beneficial with various
degrees of drought still remaining across the entire North Country.
QPF totals range from largely 1-1.5" with locally near 2" across the
higher terrain. Area rivers and streams may see sharp, but within
bank, rises.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 414 AM EDT Thursday...Continued chances for upslope rain
showers are possible Saturday night into Sunday morning with
scattered rain showers possible throughout the day Sunday as upper
level trough moves through aloft. Another cool and cloudy day is
expected with high temperatures in the mid to upper 60s under breezy
W/NW flow. Briefly ridging settles in aloft for Monday into Tuesday
with a dry and sunny day expected. Temperatures will remain below
normal in the upper 60s to around 70, very similar to what we saw
today, with strong subsidence overhead and light northerly winds.
The long term pattern after this features general troughiness across
the NE with several impulses basing through aloft. We should
continue to see chances for precipitation and below to near normal
temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 06Z Friday...VFR conditions prevail, except mvfr cigs at
slk early this morning. Expect clouds to increase and cigs to
lower this morning with light rain arriving mainly along and
south of MSS to PBG to MPV line. Expect areas of mvfr to locally
ifr cigs possible at slk toward 12z, with mvfr possible at mss,
rut and mpv. Soundings support low clouds lingering much of the
day, especially at SLK with a prolong period of ifr cigs
possible. Vis generally under restricted in the light rain
today with light and variable winds. As evening approaches
expect areas of low clouds to develop with mvfr/local ifr
possible, especially slk. 

Outlook...

Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Definite RA.
Saturday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Likely
SHRA.
Sunday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...LaRocca
LONG TERM...LaRocca
AVIATION...Taber

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html