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SKIVT-L  September 2020, Week 4

SKIVT-L September 2020, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sun, 27 Sep 2020 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (249 lines)

Expires:202009272000;;429597
FPUS51 KBTV 270730
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
327 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2020


VTZ006-272000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
327 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2020

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy this morning, then becoming partly sunny.
Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
30 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear until midnight, then becoming partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly
sunny. A 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s.
South winds around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. South winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds
10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Chance of rain
90 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Showers. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain
90 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows around 50. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 60. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 40s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. 

$$


Expires:202009271100;;437488
ASUS41 KBTV 271030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 27 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-271100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    69  61  75 S15       29.92S                  
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    64  60  87 S9        30.00F                  
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    63  59  87 CALM      29.95S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     66  60  81 MISG      29.96F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    64  59  85 SE9       30.00S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    68  61  78 S7        29.95F                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    67  62  84 S5        29.99S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    59  57  93 CALM      30.02S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      68  61  77 S8        29.89F                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      61  59  94 S5        29.96S                  
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    63  60  90 E3        30.00S                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     64 N/A N/A S5          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     64 N/A N/A S6          N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     59 N/A N/A SW26G45     N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     68  63  83 SE16G25     N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     66  63  88 S18         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     68  64  88 S8          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;437527
FXUS61 KBTV 271032
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
632 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Seasonably warm and windy weather will prevail through Monday
with a relatively unchanged weather pattern in place dominated
by warm and moist southerly flow. A few stray showers are
expected Monday through Tuesday, but widespread precipitation
isn't expected until Tuesday night into Wednesday morning when 
a frontal boundary will move through. Behind the front, cooler 
weather is expected with some additional showers possible for 
mid to late week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 345 AM EDT Sunday...Overall weather pattern today remains similar 
to yesterdays...and thus similar sensible weather is expected. 
To start the day, main forecast challenge is a low stratus deck 
that has crept northward from southern New England into our 
forecast area throughout the night. Model guidance suggests this
low moisture will be slow to burn off, so expecting quite a 
cloudy morning for much of southern and central Vermont, and 
even into the northern Adirondacks. Expecting the stratus to 
lift late morning into early afternoon as mixing heights begin 
to increase. Winds will again be gusty from the south today as 
we remain under deep southwesterly/southerly flow. The pressure 
gradient between Atlantic ridging and low pressure over northern
Ontario will strengthen over the Northeast today...thus 
expecting winds to be slightly strong than those observed 
yesterday. Maximum wind gusts will occur during the afternoon 
hours today, with gust magnitudes between 20 and 30 mph expected
for much of the area...except the Saint Lawrence and Champlain 
Valleys which will see gusts locally in the 25 to 35 mph range. 
Strongest winds will occur over Lake Champlain with southerly 
channeled flow. Looking at another very warm day with 
temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s. 

A weakening low pressure system over the MidAtlantic today will move 
northward, directing additional moisture into southern New England 
tonight. Thus, expecting another mild night tonight with low stratus
clouds expected over southern and eastern Vermont. Given the 
amount of low level moisture, wouldn't be surprised to see some 
patchy drizzle overnight as the remnants of the weak coastal low
move through the area. Overnight lows will be in the mid 60s. 
Will also feel quite muggy with dewpoints in the low to mid 60s.

Warm and breezy southerly flow will persist through Monday, although 
wind speeds will be weaker with max gusts expected to be in the 15 
to 25 mph range.  Chances for spotty showers ramp up a bit during 
the day Monday as weak shortwaves move through a very moist air 
mass.  Widespread precipitation is not expected, but have included 
PoPs in the 10 to 30 percent range to account for a few stray
showers that may move through. Highs Monday will again range
from the mid 70s to around 80.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 345 AM EDT Sunday...It appears any precipitation threat will
become focused out across northern New York Monday night, especially
out across the Saint Lawrence Valley. This area will be closest to
the upper trough axis that is becoming a rather high amplitude upper
trough. As a result the eastern extent of the precipitation should
be limited. A mild night is expected in the southerly flow with lows
in the upper 50s to middle 60s. On Tuesday precipitation should
slowly spread eastward across the area and should be likely just
about everywhere by late afternoon. Temperatures will remain above
normal with highs on Tuesday in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 345 AM EDT Sunday...The high amplitude upper trough looks to
finally have a more noticeable impact on the region late Tuesday
night into the first part of Wednesday. Widespread precipitation is
expected either from the northern portion of the upper trough or the
shortwave trough in the base of the upper trough well to our south.
Have either likely or categorical precipitation chances during this
period, which was already in the forecast. Previously mentioned
shortwave moves east of the area Wednesday night and region will
stay in broader cyclonic flow aloft. This will lead to daily
precipitation chances on Thursday and Friday with temperatures a
couple of degrees below seasonal normals. Cannot rule out a few
showers over the weekend, especially over the higher terrain with
temperatures a few degrees below seasonal normals.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Main issue for this TAF package is a low
stratus cloud deck encompassing southern New England and
creeping northward into VT/northern NY. This deck will result in
MVFR ceilings developing at KSLK, KMPV, and KRUT between 06Z and
09Z. The stratus deck will be slow to lift in the morning, but
improvement to VFR conditions is expected at these TAF sites
between 13Z and 15Z. After 15Z, looking at widespread VFR
conditions through 03Z Monday. After 03Z, low stratus will creep
back northward over southern and eastern VT, affecting KMPV and
KRUT with MVFR ceilings through the end of the 24 hour TAF
period. 

Winds will be gusty again today from the south, with gusts
peaking between 20 and 30 kts this afternoon. Winds will
diminish to under 10 kts after sunset. 

Outlook...

Sunday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Monday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA.
Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Tuesday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Likely SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly IFR, with areas MVFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Chance
SHRA.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
As of 307 PM EDT Saturday...The combination of south winds 
gusting from 20 to 30 mph and dry soils/fine fuels such as dead 
grass and leaves will lead to enhanced fire weather concerns for
Sunday. While relative humidity values will not fall to 
critically low levels, the fire danger rating for Sunday will be
moderate to high across Vermont. This suggests a higher 
potential for unattended fires from open burning and campfires 
to spread rapidly, burn into ground fuels and become difficult 
to control. Winds will gradually decrease into Sunday evening, 
lowering fire weather concerns.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Duell
NEAR TERM...Duell/Verasamy
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Duell
FIRE WEATHER...JMG

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February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
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December 2008, Week 3
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November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
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January 2006, Week 3
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January 2006, Week 1
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December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
June 2005, Week 5
June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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January 2005, Week 3
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January 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
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August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
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August 2004, Week 1
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July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 1
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May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
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March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
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February 2004, Week 1
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January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
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January 2004, Week 1
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November 2003, Week 3
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November 2003, Week 1
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December 2002, Week 2
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
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October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
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September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
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August 2002, Week 3
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June 2002, Week 5
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June 2002, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
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January 2002, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 2
July 2001, Week 1
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May 2001, Week 3
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May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
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April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
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February 2001, Week 1
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May 2000, Week 2
May 2000, Week 1
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April 2000, Week 4
April 2000, Week 3
April 2000, Week 2
April 2000, Week 1
March 2000, Week 5
March 2000, Week 4
March 2000, Week 3
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March 2000, Week 1
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February 2000, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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