Expires:202010202000;;783955
FPUS51 KBTV 200716
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
313 AM EDT Tue Oct 20 2020


VTZ006-202000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
313 AM EDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.TODAY...Rain. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph,
becoming west this afternoon. Chance of rain 90 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. A slight chance of showers until midnight,
then a chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the mid 40s.
North winds around 10 mph, becoming east after midnight. Chance
of rain 40 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then
rain likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds
15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 50s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation
30 percent. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers.
Highs in the lower 50s. 

$$


Expires:202010201100;;790830
ASUS41 KBTV 201031
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 20 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-201100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    59  51  75 S17G26    30.09F                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    53  50  89 SW7       30.17F                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    53  51  93 CALM      30.13F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     52  49  89 MISG      30.15S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    51  48  91 E7        30.16F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    58  51  77 S8        30.13R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    55  53  93 SE13      30.15F                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    53  49  86 CALM      30.19F                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    59  51  74 S9G22     30.05F                  
NEWPORT*       DRIZZLE   52  50  93 S15       30.11F                  
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN  57  50  77 E3        30.17F                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     54 N/A N/A S3          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     48 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     52 N/A N/A S6          N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     50 N/A N/A SW23G40     N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS

$$


Expires:No;;784486
FXUS61 KBTV 200733
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
333 AM EDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A frontal boundary wavering north to south across the area will 
bring unsettled conditions to the region through Wednesday before 
high pressure and drier weather returns for Thursday and Friday. 
Unseasonably warm temperatures persist through the week as well, 
with a strong cold front passage expected for the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 331 AM EDT Tuesday...A quasi-stationary frontal boundary over
northern New York this morning will be the dominant weather feature
for the near term period as it wavers south to north across the
region. A weak wave of low pressure moving northeast along the
boundary will continue to aid in the re-development of light rain
across northern New York early this morning until building high
pressure over the Great Lakes pushes the front eastward into the
Champlain Valley by mid-day and eventually into southeastern Vermont
and central portions of New England later this afternoon. Associated
light rain should become widespread across much the area by mid-
morning and shift southeastward through the afternoon with rainfall
amounts generally a quarter to half inch, except locally higher up
towards 3/4 inch in the St. Lawrence Valley. Clouds and precip will
keep temps fairly steady in the 50s through the day with locally
lower 60s possible in southern VT.

For tonight, the aforementioned frontal boundary will initially
stall over southern Vermont and central New England as high pressure
builds over northern portions of the CWA with low temps occurring
around midnight in the upper 30s to mid 40s north to low 50s south.
After midnight as the high shifts northeastward, and another area of
low pressure tracks into the Great Lakes, south/southwesterly will
once again become re-established and push the front northward as a
warm front with temperatures slowly rising overnight. Some spotty
showers are likely as the front lifts northward, and will become
more widespread across northern New York towards daybreak Wednesday
as the front once again stalls near or over the St. Lawrence Valley.
Wednesday will almost then be a rinse and repeat of Tuesday with
morning showers across western portions of the CWA slowly shifting
east through the day. Stronger south/southwesterly flow owing to a
low level jet of 40-60kts will warm temps well above seasonal
normals in the 60s area-wide except upper 50s in the Northeast
Kingdom, with gusty winds up to 40 mph possible for a brief period
in the Champlain Valley ahead of the front.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 331 AM EDT Tuesday...A cold front will pass Wednesday night
without much fanfare as synoptic forcing weakens. Recent model
guidance has trended quicker with this frontal passage, which if
this trend continues, may allow more organized showers to develop
along the front Wednesday night before the more favorable dynamics
are lost altogether late Wednesday night. For these reasons, a
chance of rain showers exists for Wednesday night, decreasing
through the overnight hours. During this time, winds will weaken and
become westerly in the wake of the passing front. Partly cloudy
skies will persist through the overnight hours, with temperatures
holding steady in the 40s to low 50s. By Thursday, surface high
pressure will begin to encroach upon the region, though ridge-
rolling moisture aloft may keep skies partly cloudy throughout the
day. Winds will remain light, becoming northerly. High temperatures
Thursday will be in mid 50s to mid 60s with the warmest temperatures
across southern Vermont.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 331 AM EDT Tuesday...Flow aloft will become southwesterly
Thursday night as high pressure departs eastward. A warm front will
lift across the forecast area during the overnight hours, which will
set the stage for abnormally warm temperatures on Friday in the 60s
to low 70s. In addition, windy conditions are expected Friday as a
surface low tracks through the Great Lakes and into Quebec. Winds
will be strongest within the Champlain Valley due to channeled
southerly flow, and also along the northern slopes of the
Adirondacks in New York as a result of downsloping. A cold front
will follow sometime early Saturday, bringing a chance of
precipitation as well as a return to near normal temperatures for
the weekend. Additional chances for widespread precipitation exist
for the start of next week due to a series of frontal passages.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...Mainly VFR ceilings will prevail for 
the remainder of the overnight hours from the Champlain Valley 
eastward, while westward, MVFR to IFR will continue. Rain over 
northern New York slowly progresses eastward through the night, 
spreading across the entire region by daybreak with vsby down to
MVFR. In addition, winds aloft increase markedly from 06-12Z
with areas of LLWS likely. After 12Z, ceilings trend to MVFR as
well, with local IFR continuing at KMSS and developing at KSLK 
through 18Z. Thereafter, showers gradually diminish with 
ceilings generally MVFR with periods of VFR at KBTV/KPBG.

Outlook...

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Windy with gusts
to 35 kt. Likely SHRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Windy with
gusts to 30 kt. Slight chance SHRA.
Saturday: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Chance SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 331 AM EDT Tuesday...A lake wind advisory remains in 
effect with southerly winds of 20-30 knots expected over the 
open water through mid-day before shifting to the north and
lower to 5 to 15 knots this afternoon. Waves will peak at 3 to 6
feet this morning, then generally subside to 1 to 3 feet this
afternoon.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Hammond
LONG TERM...Hammond
AVIATION...Lahiff
MARINE...Lahiff

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