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SKIVT-L  October 2020, Week 4

SKIVT-L October 2020, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Fri, 23 Oct 2020 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (240 lines)

Expires:202010232000;;698164
FPUS51 KBTV 230719
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
316 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020


VTZ006-232000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
316 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy this morning, then becoming partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
25 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Highs in the mid 50s. Temperature falling into the mid
40s in the afternoon. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph, becoming
northwest in the afternoon. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 30. 
.MONDAY...Rain or snow likely. Little or no snow accumulation.
Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of rain
90 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the lower 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain
showers. Lows around 30. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain
showers. Highs in the mid 40s. 

$$


Expires:202010231100;;706704
ASUS41 KBTV 231031
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-231100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    59  52  77 S16       30.12F                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    53  51  93 CALM      30.23R                  
MORRISVILLE    PTCLDY    51  49  92 CALM      30.17R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     54  50  86 MISG      30.18S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    54  49  85 CALM      30.21S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    57  54  89 S5        30.18R                  
RUTLAND*       MOCLDY    57  55  93 S7        30.20R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    56  54  93 CALM      30.22S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      50  47  88 S3        30.11S                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    54  52  94 S9        30.17S                  
BENNINGTON     PTCLDY    50  48  93 CALM      30.20R FOG              
ISLAND POND*     N/A     50 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     52 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     55 N/A N/A SW6         N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     55 N/A N/A SW31G43     N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     55  50  82 S13G18      N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     55  50  82 S17         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     52  48  87 SE1         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;700504
FXUS61 KBTV 230816
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
416 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Unseasonably warm air will lift into northern New York and the 
Champlain Valley, while cloudier and cooler conditions are trapped 
east of the Green Mountains today. A strong cold front will begin 
passing through the North Country tonight that will produce some 
showers and cause temperatures to tumble. After a dry and seasonably 
cold Sunday, wet weather will arrive by Monday morning across the 
entire area. Temperatures will stay near or a little below normal 
during most of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 416 AM EDT Friday...We're looking at one last mild or 
warm day across the North Country ahead of a sharp cold front 
arriving tonight. East of the Greens, a lot of low clouds in 
place this morning will linger through the day on the strength 
of low-level flow out of the southeast continuing to push 
maritime air into the region. In this area, temperatures will 
only slowly rise through the 50s. Most other locations will warm
through the 60s with at least some sun, with the most sunshine 
initially favored across Franklin and Clinton counties in NY 
expanding westward into the St. Lawrence Valley and eastward 
into northernmost Vermont during the afternoon. Temperatures 
should peak in the 70 to 75 range in the lower elevations west 
of the Green Mountains. Also expect moderately breezy conditions
to develop with gusts peaking in the 15 to 25 mph range, 
strongest late in the day as the pressure gradient tightens due 
to the closest approach of surface low pressure in southern 
Canada.

Breezy and unseasonably warm conditions will be in place tonight as 
temperatures aloft rise slightly ahead of the approaching cold front
and the boundary layer remains at least partially mixed 
overnight. The front still looks to crash through the North 
Country from west to east between about 5 and 11 AM. Cold and 
dry air advection rapidly filtering in behind its passage will 
cause temperatures and dew points to fall so that high 
temperatures are achieved in the morning hours. By late 
afternoon, most locations will see temperatures in the 40s to 
low 50s, or 30s in the higher terrain. Widespread rainfall 
associated with the front will be relegated to mainly northern 
NY, with a few showers in northern Vermont and little (<25%) 
chance of measurable rainfall in the southern half of VT. 
Temperatures will fall below freezing in most areas tomorrow 
night for the first time in several days, as skies trend mostly 
clear and winds calm towards daybreak.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 352 AM EDT Friday...Probably the quietest and coldest period of
weather for the next week will occur Saturday night through Sunday
as surface high pressure builds into the region. Mean 925-850mb
temps crash Saturday night to around -5C, and despite lingering
post-frontal clouds through much of the night, expect lows to run
from the low 20s to low 30s across most of the region except
mid/upper 30s along the Lake Champlain shoreline and Grand Isle
County. As the high centers over the area Sunday, shifting just to
our northeast late in the day, 850mb temps hold steady around -5C
and at 925mb temps only rise to around 0C. This will support high
temps well below normal ranging only through the 40s under partial
sunshine.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 352 AM EDT Friday...Active weather looks to return for the long
term heading into next week with the most impactful period being
late Sunday night through Tuesday. Aforementioned high pressure
exiting the region to the northeast Sunday night will allow a
stalled front over southern New England to return north again with a
weak wave of low pressure traveling northeast along the boundary
into the North Country early Monday morning. Based on current
forecast soundings, there remains the chance for some mixed
precipitation at the onset, mainly across the northern Adirondacks
where shallow cold air will be in place and depending on the depth
of the warm nose, ptype will be either rain, snow or dare we say
freezing rain? Time will tell on that potential, but regardless the
window of opportunity will be brief as boundary layer temps will
warm sufficiently enough by mid-morning Monday to transition
precipitation to a cold rain with temps only in the 40s except for
perhaps the highest peaks where snow may persist.

High pressure builds north of the border late Monday into Tuesday
shifting the surface boundary southward over central/southern zones
while another wave of low pressure traverses the region. Highest
precipitation chances will continue across central/southern areas
through mid-day Tuesday before the boundary finally sags south
again. Temps remain on the cool side of normal supporting rain/snow
across higher elevations and predominantly rain in the lower
elevations. Drier and slightly warmer conditions look to return
Wednesday with additional chances for precipitation arriving
Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 06Z Saturday...Ceilings will bounce around between VFR
and MVFR through the next six hours, although clouds will trend
towards scattering and lifting between 09 and 12Z in the 
airspace over northern NY and Champlain Valley. Meanwhile, 
lowering clouds resulting in MVFR at RUT and IFR at MPV is 
expected as increasing moisture on southeast maritime flow 
develops. Between 12 and 18Z, conditions will slowly improve at 
MPV and more quickly at RUT, and areawide south to southeast 
winds will increase to 10 to 15 kts, including gusts around 25 
kts at PBG and BTV. Strong LLWS will develop by the end of the 
period across western areas of northern NY as jet containing 45 
kt SW winds at about 2 kft enters the region.

Outlook...

Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. Likely SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Kutikoff
NEAR TERM...Kutikoff
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...Kutikoff

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
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May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
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May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
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October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
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July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
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May 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 5
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February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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June 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 5
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May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 1
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August 2006, Week 5
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June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 3
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October 2004, Week 1
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May 2002, Week 1
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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