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SKIVT-L  November 2020, Week 2

SKIVT-L November 2020, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Mon, 9 Nov 2020 06:50:07 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (233 lines)

Expires:202011092100;;565429
FPUS51 KBTV 091128
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
625 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020


VTZ006-092100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
625 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

.TODAY...Sunny this morning, then becoming partly sunny. Patchy
dense fog this morning. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around
10 mph this morning, becoming light and variable. 
.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds around
10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around
10 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
10 to 15 mph. 
.VETERANS DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 40. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs in
the mid 40s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 

$$


Expires:202011091200;;565605
ASUS41 KBTV 091130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON NOV 09 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-091200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     40  37  89 E3        30.32R                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       34  34 100 CALM      30.37R VSB 1/2          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       34  34 100 SW3       30.34S VSB 1/2          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     36  35  96 MISG      30.34R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       34  34  99 CALM      30.35S VSB 1/4          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      38  36  92 CALM      30.32F                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     40  39  97 SE7       30.35R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       33  33 100 CALM      30.35R VSB 1/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      47  41  78 S3        30.32R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      37  36  93 SW5       30.34R                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     36  33  89 CALM      30.34S FOG              
ISLAND POND*     N/A     30 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     37 N/A N/A E1          N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     50 N/A N/A S33         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     52  45  76 S9          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     50  48  93 S6          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     45  45 100 S5          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;557866
FXUS61 KBTV 090835
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
335 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Very warm and dry conditions continue through Tuesday with 
strong high pressure anchored over the eastern US. A cold 
frontal passage Wednesday will bring windy and showery 
conditions, followed by a slight cooling trend towards more 
seasonable temperatures for the second half of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 327 AM EST Monday...Record high temperatures and dry
weather are expected from today through Tuesday. Surface and
upper level ridges will crest over the north country this
morning, then begin to slide eastward. Southwesterly flow will
develop as upper level ridge slides east. High temperatures
today will reach the upper 60s to lower 70s. See Climate section
below for records. Some afternoon clouds will develop, but much
of the day will be sunny. We will have clear skies once again
tonight, though temperatures will remain mild, dropping into the
40s to around 50. Then Tuesday will be the last of our warm and
dry days, temperatures will be close to today's high temps. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 327 AM EST Monday...Deep layer high pressure begins to 
shift east. Meanwhile, a deepening cyclone will lift northeast 
beyond the Great Lakes into Ontario Province. This will 
establish a solid pressure gradient with southwest flow quickly 
bringing in an efficient moisture tap from the Gulf of Mexico. 
Steady southwest winds will keep temperatures into the 50s for 
much of the state. Should cooler air be slow to arrive, then a 
few daily record high minimum temperatures will be possible.

After sunrise, rain chances quickly increasing as an occluding 
cold front slides across the area. Strengthening southwesterly 
gusts will take place before precipitation arrives, mainly in 
the valleys where channeled flow should allow a few gusts of 20 
to 25 mph. The initial wave of precipitation should sweep across
fairly quickly as dry air advects in and surface pressures 
rise. However, it appears the occluded boundary won't make it 
entirely clear of Vermont before surface cyclogenesis starts 
taking place off a leeside trough in the Appalachians late 
Wednesday while the Northeastern US remains in the right 
entrance of an upper jet. Dynamics, convergence, and moisture 
will remain south and east, and the low never consolidates to 
the point where we see any southeasterly flow allow 
precipitation to shift back overhead. So this will likely just 
slow the process of clearing rain from portions of south-central
Vermont Wednesday night. Still expecting warm conditions for 
overnight lows across the Connecticut River Valley as a result 
(lower 50s), with cooler air behind the front in the St. 
Lawrence should bring that region to the upper 30s to lower 40s.

Rainfall totals will feature a south to north gradient. 
Generally 0.25"-0.33" is expected over the southern Adirondacks 
and into south- central Vermont, while most others will see 
about 0.10"-0.25" for this rain event.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 327 AM EST Monday...Precipitation should clear the area 
by Thursday. Dry surface high pressure shifts across the region,
but cold air advection is relatively weak. Thus, temperatures 
remain above normal, but not to the same degree as the past 
week. A stronger cold front shifts east in association with an 
area of low pressure near James Bay in Canada. This feature will
be moisture starved, but could produce some light shower 
activity Friday night into Saturday. After this front, we will 
see more seasonable temperatures.

Right on its heels will be a broad area of low pressure just 
north of the Great Lakes that will bring more widespread 
precipitation for the start of next week. It looks poised to 
serve up a double-barrel low set up. So, we'll see how this 
system evolves over the coming days, but the first half of next 
week looks active.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Through 06Z Tuesday...Similar conditions as 24 hours ago with 
VFR conditions except for IFR/LIFR associated with expected fog 
at MPV, and low chance at SLK, in the 06Z to 12Z period. 
Otherwise, no wind, ceiling, or visibility hazards as high 
pressure sits over the region.

Outlook...

Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Veterans Day: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Likely SHRA.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance
SHRA.
Thursday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.CLIMATE...
With well above normal temperatures expected through the next 
few days, some daily maximum temperature and high minimum 
temperature records could be reached across the North 
Country. Here are the daily records for our climate sites: 

Max Temp Records:
Date     KBTV     KMPV     K1V4     KMSS     KPBG     KSLK
11-09  68|2011  69|2009  67|2011  70|2009  68|2009  70|1945
11-10  74|1948  68|1948  65|2011  70|2002  69|1948  68|1942
11-11  71|2002  71|2002  71|2002  70|2002  74|2002  67|2002

Record High Minimum Temperature Records:
Date     KBTV     KMPV     K1V4     KMSS     KPBG     KSLK
11-09  52|1945  47|1950  48|2006  47|1966  49|1966  48|1966
11-10  57|1966  51|1977  45|2000  52|1966  52|1948  54|1966
11-11  53|1984  51|1984  43|2002  52|1970  50|1946  46|1970

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...Haynes
LONG TERM...Haynes
AVIATION...Neiles
CLIMATE...WFO BTV

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April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 1
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April 2008, Week 5
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January 2008, Week 1
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November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
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March 2007, Week 1
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January 2007, Week 3
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April 2005, Week 3
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March 2005, Week 4
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March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
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September 2004, Week 1
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August 2004, Week 3
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March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
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