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SKIVT-L  March 2021, Week 3

SKIVT-L March 2021, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 16 Mar 2021 06:50:02 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (207 lines)

Expires:202103162000;;045295
FPUS51 KBTV 160708
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
305 AM EDT Tue Mar 16 2021


VTZ018-162000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
305 AM EDT Tue Mar 16 2021

.TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph this morning. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy until midnight, then clearing. Lows
14 to 20. South winds around 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Light and
variable winds. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the mid
40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain.
Lows around 15. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of snow. Breezy
with highs in the mid 20s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 10 above. 
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. 
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. 

$$


Expires:202103161100;;054326
ASUS41 KBTV 161031
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 16 2021

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-161100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     11   3  70 CALM      30.33R                  
MONTPELIER     CLEAR      4  -1  80 CALM      30.29R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLEAR      3  -2  79 CALM      30.30R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A      0  -4  83 MISG      30.29R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      -2  -6  85 CALM      30.27R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR       9   0  65 CALM      30.33R                  
RUTLAND*       PTCLDY     9   1  70 CALM      30.32R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY     6   0  76 CALM      30.33R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR       8   3  79 CALM      30.33R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      -1  -5  82 SW3       30.27R                  
BENNINGTON     PTCLDY    12   1  61 SW3       30.29F                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A    -11 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     -9 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A      3 N/A N/A N21         N/A  WCI -18          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS

$$


Expires:No;;046726
FXUS61 KBTV 160733
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
333 AM EDT Tue Mar 16 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Outside passing high clouds, high pressure will generally 
provide quiet and dry weather through Wednesday. The passage of 
a cold front along with low pressure passing south of the area 
may bring a few rain or snow showers to the area Thursday into 
early Friday, especially across southern counties. Thereafter, 
expansive high pressure builds back into the region for the 
upcoming weekend into early next week with dry weather and 
seasonably mild temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 305 AM EDT Tuesday...A persistence forecast continues 
through Wednesday as expansive 1030 hPa surface high across the 
area gradually weakens and shifts east over time. Sheared and 
weakening low pressure across the Great Lakes, remnants of this 
week's High Plains blizzard will remain south of our area 
through tonight as it enters piecemeal into confluent flow aloft
across the Northeast. Outside scattered to occasionally broken 
high clouds associated with this feature, quiet weather is 
expected with light winds and minimal PoPs. High temperatures 
rebound into the 30s today followed by variable readings 
generally in the teens to around 20 tonight with locally colder 
readings in hollows across the Northeast Kingdom. On Wednesday 
airmass moderation continues with scattered high clouds and 
light winds. High temperatures ranging through the 40s to 
locally near 50 still appear reasonable at this point so it 
should be quite a nice day.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 332 AM EDT Tuesday...A northern stream upper-level trough and
trailing cold front will bring a slight chance of mountain snow
showers Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Precipitation will be
light with little to no accumulation. Overnight low temperatures
will be in mid 20s to mid 30s with mostly cloudy skies helping to
keep temperatures mild. The bigger story will be the vertically
stacked cutoff low tracking eastward through the Ohio River Valley
Thursday into Friday. At the same time, upstream ridging will be
cresting into the region from the northwest. This will place the
North Country in the battleground between surface high pressure
positioned to the north and the low pressure system located to the
south. Previous model runs have consistently showed high pressure to
be the winner, shunting the surface low and associated precipitation
south of our forecast area. However, recent trends in model guidance
(namely the NAM12 and CMC) suggest a slightly more northern track of
the low pressure system, which would increase precipitation chances
across southern forecast zones. Therefore, a chance of rain exists
for the southern Adirondacks and south-central Vermont beginning
Thursday afternoon and continuing through Friday morning. Overall,
precipitation totals will be less than a quarter of an inch.

High temperatures on Thursday will be in the 40s, but cold air
advection will begin in earnest Thursday night as northerly winds
increase. This will cause rain to transition to light snow during
the overnight hours Thursday into Friday morning. Total snow
accumulation will be less than an inch. Rapidly decreasing
temperatures Thursday night may also cause wet surfaces to freeze as
temperatures drop below freezing. Low temperatures will be in the
teens with highs on Friday only in the upper 20s to low 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 332 AM EDT Tuesday...Northerly winds will begin to abate Friday
evening as high pressure builds into the region. Skies will clear as
well, allowing overnight temperatures Friday night into Saturday to
drop into the single digits above zero. A warming trend will begin
thereafter with highs Saturday in upper 30s to low 40s. High
pressure will remain firmly in place until mid-week next week
resulting in several dry, sunny days. Temperatures will continue to
warm through the week with highs mainly in the 50s and reaching near
60F by Tuesday as we get into a warm-air-advection regime.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...VFR/SKC will prevail through the 
overnight hours with light and variable winds less than 5 kts. 
After 12-14Z VFR continues as scattered mid to high clouds from
150-250 AGL move in from the southwest, becoming occasionally 
broken by afternoon. Winds will shift to south/southwesterly at
5-10 kts, trending light and variable less than 5 kts once 
again from 00Z onward. No precipitation is expected during the
forecast period.

Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance RA.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight
chance SN.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...Hammond
LONG TERM...Hammond
AVIATION...JMG

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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